In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
As Nissan’s merger talks with Honda have terminated, Nissan needs to review its options, both in regard to its restructuring plans and to entering new partnerships. Analyst Julie Boote reviews the automaker’s possible course of action and markets’ reaction.
Tags: Hino Motors (7205 JT), Toyota Motor (7203 JT), Nissan Motor (7201 JT), Honda Motor (7267 JT), Volkswagen (VOW GR), Cummins Inc. (CMI US), Isuzu Motors (7202 JT), Daimler Truck (DTG GR) News that Hino Motors settled its emission fraud case with US authorities should finally put an end to an affair that has dragged down Hino for almost three years. Investor focus can now return to the truck maker’s operational performance. While a sales recovery in Japan is already under way, Asia is still ...
Nissan and Honda’s share prices have been volatile since the announcement last December of a possible business integration. With the agreement deadline for June approaching rapidly, analyst Julie Boote comments here on the many factors at play, and on whether, and in what form, the deal could happen.
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Honda and Nissan Plan Merger for 2026 We discuss Honda and Nissan's announcement elaborating the possibility of a merger in 2026 and understanding of what conditions need to be met. Honda is clearly in the driver's seat.
Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.
Toyota Motor (7203 JT) has traditionally been keen on holding on to its portfolio of strategic and non-strategic shareholdings, which it has built up over many years and regards as being mutually beneficial to all parties involved in terms of stability, protection from take-over and business interests. Based on analyst Julie Boote’s discussion with the company, this report provides an update on how Toyota’s thinking has evolved regarding the groups’ cross-shareholdings.
As the earning season has concluded, investors are taking stock about the auto sector’s FY24 Q2 results and updated guidance numbers. Analyst Julie Boote reviews the key developments in the industry, and how these could affect automakers’ earnings in the second half of the fiscal year.
With details of the provisions given, Hino has riased its full-year FY24 sales and OP guidance, mainly due to a better-than-expected performance in Japan / Toyota sales and lower than previously predicted fixed costs. However, Julie Boote cautions that while the trend is improving, it is unlikely that Hino will be in a position to pay out any dividends this year or next.
Toyota Motor (7203 JT) is likely to report a profit decline in FY24 Q2, as high expenses are set to more than offset moderate positive contributions from vol/mix/price and the currency. However, since this OP decline is anticipated (as per consensus numbers), the key focus should be on Toyota’s FY24 guidance: we view the automaker’s profit forecasts as conservative, leaving room for an upgrade.
Given that the EV market is not a free market, led by demand and supply, but a distorted market, moved by political intervention in the form of subsidies (or lack of), making EV sales forecasts is very challenging indeed. This is a headache for analysts, but even more so for auto companies with a ten-year planning horizon. In this report, we outline the sales situation for different regions, as well as providing an outlook based on currently available information.
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
As the emission data manipulation case is dragging into its fourth year, Hino’s earnings outlook for FY24 remains weak. Sales restrictions in Japan and poor market conditions in Asia are limiting Hino’s sales growth, and high costs are weighing on profitability. But is there an upside? Analyst Julie Boote investigates.
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