reports
- Steffen Evjen
Mixed risk for dividend cuts
Following the recent sharp oil price drop to ~USD70/bbl, we see increased investor concerns about the robustness of shareholder distributions. Historically, disappointments related to dividends and/or buybacks have triggered meaningful negative share-price reactions. For our large-cap NCS coverage, we believe oil prices would have to move below USD60/bbl for any negative surprises to unfold for Aker BP and Equinor, as both have strong balance sheets, enabling dividend flexibility. On the other h...
- Stephane Foucaud
ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Production boost at Anshof in October
• The ANS-2A sidetrack well has encountered a 6.5 m net vertical oil column in high quality Eocene-aged sandstone reservoir. • The reservoir quality encountered at ANS-2A is consistent with ANS-2 (porosity and permeability ~20% higher than at ANS-3). The oil-water contact was encountered very close to the top of the water wet reservoir encountered at ANS-2. Pressure data recovered from ANS-2A and the producing ANS-3 well confirms a continuous oil pool. These are two important positives. • This ...
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, we published an update on DNO, seeing significant value potential from its Norwegian portfolio. As one of the most successful NCS exploration companies in recent years, the company has discovered net resources of ~135mmboe. In other news, we upgraded Aker BP to BUY (HOLD), viewing its recent underperformance as an attractive entry point. Also, a gas market update with Equinor left us slightly more bullish with regards to the near- and long-term gas market outlook.
Parex Resources Inc: 1 director
A director at Parex Resources Inc bought 7,200 shares at 13.075CAD and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
- Ana Arjona-Martinez
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Sven Edelfelt
- Ana Arjona-Martinez
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Sven Edelfelt
- Ana Arjona-Martinez
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Sven Edelfelt
- Ana Arjona-Martinez
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Sven Edelfelt
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY -136/09/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price £0.40 per share: Anchois-3 encounters gas in the appraisal targets but one of the exploration target is dry – The Anchois-3 well has 3 objectives. While the initial pilot hole encountered the targeted reservoirs at the Anchois Footwall prospect, they were interpreted as water wet. Our ReNAV for this prospect was £0.03/sh. The well was sidetracked in the B sands which are the main appraisal targets. Prel...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO : IEA report: a surplus in 2025 that is acting as a drag on price...
>Growth in demand slowing due to China - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised further down its demand growth estimates by 70kb/d to +900 kb/d for 2024 and by 30 kb/d to +950 kb/d for 2025. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d pre-Covid and a record of +2.1 Mb/d in 2023, an exceptional year marked by a catch-up effect. This decline is mainly due to the slowdown in China, which contributes to the tune of ~60% to growth in global demand....
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO : Rapport AIE : un surplus en 2025 qui pèse sur les cours. Scénar...
>La croissance de la demande ralentit à cause de la Chine - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise une nouvelle fois en baisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 70 kb/j à +900 kb/j pour 2024 et de 30 kb/j à +950 kb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j avant le COVID et un record de +2.1 Mb/j en 2023, une année exceptionnelle marquée par un effet rattrapage. Cette baisse s’explique pour l’essentiel par le ralentissement en Chine, ...
- Steffen Evjen
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Cumulative free cash flow near market ca...
• 1H24 production was 43.7 mboe/d, which is in line with our expectations. Net cash of ~US$143 mm at the end of June was also near our forecasts. • The FY24 production is expected to be towards the bottom end of the guidance of 41-46 mboe/d, mostly due to more downtime than expected at the Triton hub. The summer maintenance lasted >61 days instead of scheduled 40 days. • With further visibility on the UK fiscal regime expected at the end of October, the key takeaway from the announcement is Seri...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, the Aker BP-operated Tyrving field commenced production ahead of the planned start-up in October. In other news, Vår Energi completed the divestment in the Norne area to DNO; adjusting for cash flow between the effective transaction date on 1 January and close on 30 August, DNO paid a net cash consideration of ~USD24m. Also, BlueNord reported August preliminary production of 27.0kboed. Adjusting for the Harald fiel
Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Witnesses Signing Ceremony for ADNOC and ...
ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates & SPRING, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- His Highness Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Chairman of the Abu Dhabi Executive Council, has witnessed the signing of an agreement today that ADNOC will acquire a 35% equity stake in Exxon Mobil Corporation’s (NYSE: XOM) proposed low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia production facility in Baytown, Texas. The agreement represents a significant investment in the United States’ (U.S.) energy production and the global energy transition. It will help reduce greenhouse gas emissions across h...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO : Oil impacted by bearish sentiment – scenario slightly revised d...
>Oil prices impacted by bearish sentiment on oversupply - Brent prices fell yesterday by almost 5% to $ 73/b amid bearish sentiment. This is mainly due to news that i/ OPEC+ could start a planned gradual easing of the cut in October by 180 kb/d per month, ii/ weak economic data from China, the largest crude importer and iii/ news that Libya may soon resume production after a shutdown of 0.7 Mb/d out of its 1.2 Mb/d production.The market is expected to swing to...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
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