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Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Spud of Carrizales Norte horizontal

Arrow has announced spud of the first horizontal well on its Carrizales field onshore Colombia, targeting higher production rates and enhanced well economics

 PRESS RELEASE

GeoPark Reports First Quarter 2024 Results

BOGOTA, Colombia--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- GeoPark Limited (“GeoPark” or the “Company”) (NYSE: GPRK), a leading independent Latin American oil and gas explorer, operator, and consolidator, reports its consolidated financial results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2024 (“First Quarter” or “1Q2024”). A conference call to discuss these financial results will be held on May 16, 2024, at 10:00 am (Eastern Daylight Time). FIRST QUARTER 2024 SUMMARY In 1Q2024, GeoPark delivered $111.5 million Adjusted EBITDA, an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 67%, and $30.2 million net profit that was 15% higher t...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Discovery in Gabon. Reiterating producti...

• The Hibiscus South exploration well on the Dussafu permit has encountered 25 m of pay in an overall hydrocarbon column of 35 m in the Gamba formation. • This discovery could add ~5-6 mmbbl gross recoverable reserves (~1 mmbbl net to Panoro). • The Hibiscus South structure is a separate accumulation with a deeper oil-water contact than the nearby Hibiscus Field. • Importantly, a production well could now be drilled at Hibiscus South and tied to the MaBoMo facility, which would boost the overal...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK): Entering the Vaca Muerta

• GeoPark is acquiring 49.5 mmboe 2P reserves (>90% light oil), 118 mmboe 3C contingent resources and ~5 mmboe unconventional production across four blocks in the oil window of the Vaca Muerta in Argentina from a subsidiary of Mercuria. • The Vaca Muerta in Argentina is a hot spot for unconventional development and a strategic area for most supermajors and YPF. The formation is estimated to hold 16 bn bbl of oil and 300 tcf of natural gas and produces >350 mbbl/d (x4 since 2019). • The asset pa...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Panoro Energy (Buy, TP: NOK41.00) - Positive prospects

At its Q1 trading update, Panoro Energy reported net production of 9.6kboed, in line with our 9.5kboed forecast. We estimate EBITDA of USD42m (Bloomberg consensus at USD41m) ahead of the Q1 results (due at c07:00 CET on 23 May). We view the recent discovery at Hibiscus South as accretive to our NAV by ~NOK1/share, illustrating the strong prospectivity and commerciality at the Dussafu licence. We reiterate our BUY and NOK41 target price.

 PRESS RELEASE

GeoPark Announces Acquisition of Working Interest in Four High Quality...

BOGOTA, Colombia--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- GeoPark Limited (“GeoPark” or the “Company”) (NYSE: GPRK), a leading independent Latin American oil and gas explorer, operator, and consolidator, today announced that it has signed an Asset Purchase Agreement with Phoenix Global Resources (“PGR”), a subsidiary of Mercuria Energy Trading (“Mercuria”), for the acquisition of non-operated working interest (WI) in four adjacent unconventional blocks in the Neuquén Basin in Argentina as follows: a 45% WI in each of the Mata Mora Norte producing block and Mata Mora Sur exploration block, located in Neuquén Provinc...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

US shale: limited growth expected

Our Q1 survey of the US shale universe showed limited revisions to guidance for 2024, and we still expect muted 2024 production growth of ~4% YOY (+8% YOY in 2023). The companies now expect fewer tailwinds from cost deflation, primarily due to operational efficiencies. Our survey also suggested capex down ~2% YOY, as companies guide for flat activity. For Q1, our universe spent 102% of its operating cash flow, split c50/50 capex and shareholder distributions.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

Key takeaways from this week are: 1) BlueNord’s Q1 figures were in line with our estimates, and due to technical issues, the Tyra plateau ramp-up was prolonged to mid-Q4 (2024 production guidance reduced from >40kboed to ~35kboed); 2) DNO’s Q1 report showed net production slightly above consensus, and it announced it has acquired stakes in five fields in the Norne area from Vår Energi, adding ~3kboed of net production near-term; and 3) Panoro Energy’s Q1 trading update showed net production of 9...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d. The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement. As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 m...

 PRESS RELEASE

GeoPark Signs New Offtake Agreement With Vitol for the Llanos 34 Block...

BOGOTA, Colombia--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- GeoPark Limited (“GeoPark” or the “Company”) (NYSE: GPRK), a leading independent Latin American oil and gas explorer, operator and consolidator, today announces the execution of an offtake and prepayment agreement with Vitol, one of the world’s leading energy and commodity companies. The offtake agreement provides for GeoPark to sell and deliver to Vitol a minimum of 20,000 bopd of production from the Llanos 34 Block (GeoPark operated, 45% WI). The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by 15 cents (USD) per barrel vs the current agreement, or by ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Acquisition in Peru – More than meets the e...

• PetroTal is acquiring Block 131 onshore Peru including the Los Angeles field from CEPSA for US$5 mm. The field produces ~900 boe/d from 4 existing wells and holds 4.9 mmbbl of 40-45 deg API oil 2P reserves. • We estimate that 3 new wells (at ~US$12 mm per well) could increase production to 2-3 mbbl/d. There are also opportunities to develop bypassed oil with horizontal wells drilled high on the structure. • The oil is currently sold at the Iquitos refinery and passes by the Bretana field (in b...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Financials in line. Operations on track.

• The 1Q24 production of 21.9 mbbl/d and cash position of ~US$194 mm at the end of March had been reported previously. • Operations are on track. Drilling is underway at the Nong Yao A platform, with two new wells that are expected to be completed in the coming week. • Drilling at the Nong Yao C development is expected to result in first oil in 3Q24 to boost production from the area to 11 mbbl/d, and later in the year there will be a 5-well infill drilling programme on Jasmine/Ban Yen, also int...

 PRESS RELEASE

Genel Energy PLC: Results of AGM

Genel Energy PLC (GENL) Genel Energy PLC: Results of AGM 09-May-2024 / 13:00 GMT/BST 9 May 2024    Genel Energy plc Results of Annual General Meeting 9 May 2024   The Annual General Meeting of Genel Energy plc was held today, Thursday, 9 May 2024 and the results of the votes by shareholders are set out below. The number of ordinary shares of £0.10p each in the Company in issue at the date of the meeting was 279,402,863 and each share attracted one vote.   The results were as follows:   Resolutions For % Against % ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Genel Energy PLC: Trading and operations update

Genel Energy PLC (GENL) Genel Energy PLC: Trading and operations update 09-May-2024 / 07:00 GMT/BST 9 May 2024   Genel Energy plc Trading and operations update   Genel Energy plc ('Genel' or 'the Company') issues the following trading and operations update relating to Q1 2024, ahead of the Company's Annual General Meeting, which is being held today.   Paul Weir, Chief Executive of Genel, said: “We have achieved balanced income and expenditure in the first quarter of the year, which is ahead of schedule. Local sales from the Tawke licence have been robust to date, with the sa...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published a note on Aker BP highlighting our growing concerns of sharp cuts to consensus FCF, with capex assumptions beyond 2026 looking far too low to us – we are ~40% below consensus on 2027–2030e FCF. As well as BW Energy’s Q1 trading update revealing net production just below our estimate, it announced a sale & leaseback agreement, which we see as marginally accretive to our NAV. In other news, we believe the Tyra ramp-up will be in focus in BlueNord’s Q1 results, due next week

 PRESS RELEASE

GeoPark Publishes Its 2023 SPEED/Sustainability Report

BOGOTA, Colombia--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- GeoPark Limited (“GeoPark” or the “Company”) (NYSE: GPRK), a leading independent Latin American oil and gas explorer, operator and consolidator, today announced the publication of its 2023 SPEED/Sustainability Report. The SPEED/Sustainability Report outlines the Company’s advancements in environmental, social and governance areas, highlighting the significant reduction in 2023 of the Company’s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions intensity. Two years after announcing its GHG emissions reduction strategy with ambitious short, medium, and long-term targets, GeoPar...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.75 per share: Raising new equity to fund a high impact activity programme – ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Important step to unlock Sicily

• ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. • The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at the Welchau exploration well (the well might also be deepened to assess the exploration potential below the current total depth of the well), (2) the residual drilling cost (n...

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