The BOT attended our seminar to provide our clients with Thailand's economic outlook for 2H25. The BOT has revised its 2025 GDP forecast from 2.0% to 2.3% in the meeting. It foresees a softening of exports in 3Q25, due to the front-loading of exports in 1H25. The PM has been suspended, with a caretaker in charge, but there should be no impact on 2026’s budget. We highlight four sectors related to the BOT event. Top picks: KBANK, MTC, CPALL and STECON.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance Weighing the risks and returns. Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$65.15/Target: HK$100.00) Takeaways from 2025 Investor Day. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and TCOM. Update Qingdao Port International (6198 HK/NOT RATED/Price: HK$6.54) Key takeaways from NDR. INDONESIA Update Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp2,620/Target: Rp3,000) Synergy potential from Lawson; expansion outside Java remains intact. MALAYSIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Wrap-Up ...
Following the analyst meeting, we maintain a positive outlook on CK’s construction business. Although no new contracts have been signed recently, the company still holds a sizeable backlog that will continue to support revenue. We expect earnings momentum to accelerate in 2Q–3Q25. Additionally, we believe CK will benefit from positive sentiment as government project bidding gradually resumes in 2H25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.20.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
CK reported a net profit of Bt282m in 1Q25, increasing significantly yoy and a strong rebound from the previous quarter’s net loss. The results came in above both our expectations and market consensus. We are encouraged by its 1Q25 performance and remain optimistic about its earnings outlook for 2Q–3Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CH Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt14.00/Target: Bt20.20) 1Q25: Earnings improve yoy and qoq, beating expectations. Stecon Group (STECON TB/BUY/Bt7.00/Target: Bt9.00) 1Q25: Exceeded expectations; outlook remains positive. Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/HOLD/Bt35.00/Target: Bt39.00) Concerns on earnings miss have been alleviated. Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/BUY/Bt21.30/Target: Bt29.00) A challenging 2Q25 awaits. Charoen Po...
We maintain an optimistic outlook for CK’s operations in 2025, with revenue targeted to grow by 7-10% and a healthy gross margin of 7-8%. CK aims to strengthen its backlog continually, reinforcing its long-term growth through key infrastructure projects. Additionally, the sale of LPCL shares will enhance financial stability and reduce earnings volatility. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.20.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow; smart EVs to benefit from policy support. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$179.00/Target: HK$220.00): 4Q24: Strong earnings beat; resilient top-line bolstered by trade-in programme. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$15.46/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Harum...
CK posted a net loss Bt171m in 4Q24 (-209% yoy, 117% qoq), falling short of our expectation. Despite steady construction revenue growth, higher costs and weak equity income weighed on CK’s bottom line. We remain cautious about rising costs but are optimistic about CK’s 2025 revenue outlook. CK's undemanding valuation offers a trading buy opportunity, supported by the upcoming progress in project bidding. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.20.
Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.90/Target: Bt35.00) 4Q24: Net income misses expectations but still robust yoy and qoq. AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.70/Target: Bt11.30) 4Q24: Earnings in line; aggressive strategy for 2025. Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB/BUY/Bt183.50/Target: Bt232.00) 4Q24: Strong 4Q24 earnings attributable to tax benefit. Hana Microelectronics (HANA TB/HOLD/Bt20.10/Target: Bt22.00) 4Q24: Net loss from high impairment. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.30/Target: Bt30.00)...
CK’s 4Q24 results are expected to be negative, weighed by a lower share of profits, rising SG&A and interest expenses, and the absence of dividend income. While operational growth is anticipated in 2025, concerns over expenses and forex volatility persist. However, CK’s undemanding valuation and potential to secure new orders from upcoming project biddings support its share price. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt20.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/HOLD/Bt19.60/Target: Bt21.00) 4Q24: Results in line with expectations. Update CH Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt15.20/Target: Bt20.20) 4Q24 results preview: Disappointing results expected. Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/SELL/Bt96.50/Target: Bt75.00) Facing multiple challenges; reiterate SELL. Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt27.75/Target: Bt38.00) Firmly on the growth path.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Observations of 2025 Chinese New Year: Weakened new-home sales in Jan 25 and low growth in tourists to Hong Kong; further policy support is needed and possible. Sector Education: Widespread AI adoption to fuel education sector’s monetisation growth. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$45.15/Target: HK$52.40): 4Q24 results preview: expect solid beat across all four segments. Maintain BUY. Small-mid Cap Highlight Cheerwin Group (6601 HK/NOT RATED...
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware Solid 2024 Shipment Data; recovery in 2025 remains intact. Maintain OVERWEIGHT . INDONESIA Small/Mid Caps Highlights Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp2,690) Strong production outlook towards 2029. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Malaysian banks are likely to take a cautious and gradual approach to capital managemen...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
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