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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Always a pleasure to debate with management. Avantium: Summer Doldrums. Gimv: Itineris out

Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

AEGON/Section 899 could spell trouble for Transamerica/BUY

Section 899 of the US “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” calls for strong additional taxes for countries that have “unfair foreign taxes”, and the Netherlands looks like one. This still needs to go through the Senate, and then implementation could be complex or used in the overall Tariff negotiations. As it stands, however, it could affect AEGON's US earnings (sub 5% INGF) but could very seriously dent the ability of AEGON to remit US Cash to the Group, with the worst-case scenario being a 50% tax on ...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage

In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Strong capital, SBB in line, legacy negative one-offs. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 1Q26 results. CM.com: CMD feedback; some highlights. Zabka: Peer Dino Polska 1Q25 results

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

AEGON/Time/BUY

After a disappointing set of FY24 results, the 1Q25 trading update is likely to be less eventful. Do expect though a larger Share Buyback (€250m INGF). The headwinds in both the US and Asset Management and the creeping restructuring costs in the US indicate that progress will slow. The ASR stake uncertainty and AEGON's inaction when shares reached highs in March suggest to us that a clearer response is needed here. AEGON should perhaps continue to shed businesses, as holding on to THB in Asia ev...

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