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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: US Life Brighthouse sale to PE a (slow) trend. Athora: Peer of ASR, NN, 1H25 results. Strong OCG growth, lower Solvency. EVS: Peer Evertz 1Q26 results

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON & ASR: placing a 6% stake in ASR, happy family. Events Calendar

Cor Kluis ... (+2)
  • Cor Kluis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Cor Kluis ... (+2)
  • Cor Kluis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

REVISED VERSION - AEGON/Unsettling uncertainty/BUY - Corrected report ...

AEGON has been through a couple of disappointing set of results. The 2Q is likely to be better (OCG we are at the top of the guided range), benefiting from better claims experience in the US, while reflecting some headwinds from FX and US Equity markets (from the end of March). US RBC ratio while lower, remains very adequate at 429% (INGF), and Cash while at c.€2bn, doesn't include the final dividend payment that eventually came in 3Q. Ahead of the CMD in December, AEGON is unlikely to announce ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Always a pleasure to debate with management. Avantium: Summer Doldrums. Gimv: Itineris out

Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

AEGON/Section 899 could spell trouble for Transamerica/BUY

Section 899 of the US “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” calls for strong additional taxes for countries that have “unfair foreign taxes”, and the Netherlands looks like one. This still needs to go through the Senate, and then implementation could be complex or used in the overall Tariff negotiations. As it stands, however, it could affect AEGON's US earnings (sub 5% INGF) but could very seriously dent the ability of AEGON to remit US Cash to the Group, with the worst-case scenario being a 50% tax on ...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage

In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...

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