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Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Hong Kong Landlords: Improved liquidity supporting local spending and ...

Despite a drop in retail sales and a peaking vacancy rate, we saw some positive signals, eg a qoq improvement in per capita spending and resilient restaurant receipts. A lower market rate will reduce landlords’ finance costs, with Wharf REIC set to benefit the most. Upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT and expect a marginal improvement in retail sales in the coming summer. Raise target prices by 8-11% for the stocks under our coverage for a lower risk-free rate. Top pick: Wharf REIC.

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China & Hong Kong Property, Hong Kong Landlord Strategy: Manageable pr...

In May 25, data from 28 cities and the top 100 developers’ sales point to a mom increase but yoy fall in new home sales. Secondary transactions in 12 cities continued to see a yoy hike. Homebuyers’ sentiments remain weak and divergent among cities, but better supply-demand dynamics lower the urge to introduce strong policies. For Hong Kong, the gentle yoy decline in retail sales and stronger tourist numbers growth are positive developments. Maintain sector ratings. Top picks: CR Land, SHKP and L...

Damon Shen ... (+6)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Singapore Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property & Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Manageable pressure in mainland property market; improved tourism and retail sales momentum in Hong Kong. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances in May Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Results CIMB Group (CIMB MK/HOLD/RM6.93/Target: RM7.70) 1Q25: Earnings in line, underpinned by lower provisions. Mai...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlords Strategy: Tariffs c...

The tariffs announced by Trump increased uncertainties over the Fed’s rate cuts, weighing on the recovery of the Hong Kong residential market and tourism. The mainland property market will be less affected, backed by China’s relatively independent monetary policy. For 2025, leading SOE developers’ earnings stabilisation will be a key highlight. Maintain sector weights with this pecking order: China property>Hong Kong developers>Hong Kong landlords. Top picks: CR Land and SHKP.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+11)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, April 08, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...

TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
ICBP PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SE US SEA LIMITED
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Hysan Development (14 HK): 2024: Positive growth in rental income supp...

Hysan reported a 6.2% growth in revenue, driven by a 9.5% yoy growth in retail rents, thanks to the completion of AEIs at Lee Gardens and positive rental reversion. Excluding fair value loss and impairment on JV projects, underlying net profit increased 6.8% yoy to HK$1.96b, 5.3% higher than our estimate. DPS is HK$1.08/share, flat yoy. With a normalised base in 2025, recovery of consumption will be a key driver for Hysan. Maintain BUY with UNP forecasts. Target price: HK$14.19.

Damon Shen ... (+5)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, February 19, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$90.20/Target: HK$93.00) Baidu’s 4Q24 earnings beat expectations. Revenue dipped 2% yoy to Rmb34.1b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin inched down 3ppt yoy to 47.2%, within consensus expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb5b, down 29% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 15%. Non-GAAP net profit plummeted 13% yoy to Rmb6.7b, albeit surpassing consensus estimate by 39%. Maintain HOLD with an unchanged target p...

Benyamin Mikael ... (+10)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ming San Soong
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, February 19, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$90.20/Target: HK$93.00): 4Q24: Solid earnings beat and strong AI cloud revenue growth outlook in 2025. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$14.19): 2024: Positive growth in rental income supported stable DPS. INDONESIA Update Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ/BUY/Rp1,035/Target: Rp1,440): Expect continuation of all-time high marketing sales in 2025 (+10% yoy). MALAYSIA Results Hartalega Holdings (HART MK/BUY/RM2.61/Target: RM3.14): 3QFY25:...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China And Hong Kong Property Strategy: Observations of 2025 Chinese Ne...

Property sales in both mainland China and Hong Kong weakened during 2025’s CNY. Another key development around CNY was the change in Vanke’s top management, which we think cannot eliminate the risks associated with Vanke due to the financial constraint of Shenzhen Metro. Hong Kong saw a low growth in tourist arrivals during CNY. We think further policy support is needed and possible. Maintain our respective sector ratings. Top picks are CR Land, SHKP and LINK REIT.

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Property: Hong Kong Landlords -- Per capita tourism spending weakens f...

In 2024, Hong Kong saw a recovery in the number of visitors, but per capita spending weakened further. For 2025 we expect a stronger-than-expected Hong Kong dollar to continue to diminish the competitiveness of Hong Kong tourism and shopping, and weigh on the valuation of landlords. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Trim earnings for Wharf REIC and Hysan. Lower the target prices for our covered stocks. LINK REIT is our top pick for the resilience of community malls.

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Strategy: Hong Kong Developers And Landlords -- Top developer leads st...

In Oct 24, the primary property market showed signs of recovery, with a notable increase in transaction volume. Nov 24 may see a pullback in transaction volume on lower high-quality new supply. However, we still expect a 3% recovery in property prices in 4Q24-1Q25, driven by rising rental yields and supportive macro factors. On the other hand, retail landlords continue to face challenges from GBA integration. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT and prefer developers over landlords. SHKP and LINK REIT are our...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+12)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 05, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Hong Kong Developers And Landlords Top developer leads strong sales rebound in Oct 24; landlords continue to face challenges from GBA integration. Sector Internet - China Encouraging monetisation visibility from adtech and LLM upgrades. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$27.30/Target: HK$31.70) 3Q24 results preview: Robust growth in IoT se...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Strategy: Hong Kong Developers And Hong Kong Landlords -- Takeaways of...

The Chief Executive delivered the 2024 Policy Address on 17 Oct 24. The government pledged to continue relaxing demand-side policies by expanding new CIES and raising LTV. On the supply front, the government reiterated its land supply plan, and expedite construction in the northern metropolitan area. Policy easing may positively impact the market in the near term. However, restoring confidence and further rate cuts are crucial. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. SHKP and LINK REIT are our top picks.

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Hong Kong Developers And Landlords: Expect the strong performance of t...

The CCL index fell 7.71% in 9M24. We anticipate a 3% rebound, supported by both rate cuts and China's economic stimulus policies. For the Golden Week holiday, the first six days registered a 24% yoy growth in the number of mainland tourists, with F&B being the major beneficiary. However, the relatively high Hong Kong dollar exchange rate may continue to weigh on high-end tourism spending. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, preferring developers. Our top picks are SHKP and LINK REIT.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+6)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Philip Wong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, October 08, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Developers And Landlords Expect the strong performance of the stock market to have a positive impact on property prices. INDONESIA Update Summarecon Agung (SMRA IJ/BUY/Rp700/Target: Rp865) Potential further re-rating from SMIP IPO and more rate cuts. MALAYSIA Update KPJ Healthcare (KPJ MK/HOLD/RM2.07/Target: RM1.90) KPJ’s transformation programme continues to gathe...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Hysan Development (14 HK): 1H24 Interim results remain stable yoy; ret...

Hysan’s 1H24 recurring underlying net profit (after PCs) is flat yoy at HK$805m, equivalent to 58% of our annual estimation. Overall, Lee Gardens’ AEI has markedly improved the competitiveness and growing capability of Hysan’s core portfolio, despite some concerns from: a) impairment from the JV residential project, and b) rise of net gearing. Factoring in more conservative margin and dividend assumption, we trim earnings forecast. Trim target price by 14% to HK15.41. Maintain BUY.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+20)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, August 26, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb9.96/Target: Rmb12.50) 1H24: Results lower than expected; striving for growth amid weak economic conditions. ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$53.50/Target: HK$58.40) 1H24: Below expectations; earnings dragged by sluggish new installation and absence of LNG trading gain. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$11.36/Target: HK$15.41) 1H24 Interim results remains stable yoy; retail portfolio being ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, August 26, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb9.96/Target: Rmb12.50) Aier reported lower-than-expected results with revenue and adjusted net earnings up 2.9% and 1.5% yoy respectively in 1H24. Despite the weak economic conditions, Aier still achieved a 9% yoy growth in outpatient numbers, demonstrating its resilient business expansion capabilities. Striving for growth, Aier further expanded its hospital network by acquisitions. We believe the newly added hospitals will bri...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Hong Kong Property: Developers’ low-price strategy proves effective; n...

For the Hong Kong market, we notice two trends in Jul 24: a) developers' low-price strategy proved effective; and b) daily average of Hong Kong residents going north saw a mom drop. However, we need more evidence to conclude that property prices have bottomed out and that the trend of going north to shop has reversed. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for rising interest in high-yield assets and improvement in home buyers’ sentiment. Top picks: SHKP and LINK REIT.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+12)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 30, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Developers’ low-price strategy proved effective; northbound traveling marginally weakened in Jul 24. Internet Pipeline of high-quality games as key catalyst amid strong seasonality. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/HOLD/Rp1,530/Target: Rp1,700) 2Q24: Net profit down 31% qoq, below ...

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