reports
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) - Expect Better 2H25 Results Despite Persistent...
Highlights • MYOR’s 1H25 net profit fell 32% yoy on margin compression, although revenue remained solid, supported by stronger export growth. • Expect a seasonal recovery in 3Q25, with 2H25 domestic demand likely to be more favourable than that in 1H25, supported by expected improvements in macro conditions. • We revise 2025-26 EPS by -13.1%/-13.0% due to margin pressure from the rise in raw material prices. Maintain HOLD with Rp2,400 target price and roll over valuation to 2026 with a multiple ...
- Audrey Celia
- Maskun Ramli
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Wednesday, September 17, 2025
Economics | External Debt Indonesia's external debt fell to US$432.5b in Jul 25, with growth slowing to 4.1% yoy. The decline was driven by reduced government and central bank borrowings, while private sector debts contracted due to high global interest rates and domestic liquidity. This improved the nation's interest payment costs. Debt is projected to grow at a faster pace, supported by easing global interest rates and stronger domestic economic activity. Company Update | Mayora Indah (MYOR I...
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 17, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spri...
- Johnny Yum
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July
In Jul 25, our portfolio underperformed the JCI by -11.1%, mainly due to the rally in conglomerate-related stocks (with the largest contributors being DCII, BREN, BRPT, DSSA and CDIA). Assuming no price movement in the top 10 conglomerate-related stocks, our portfolio underperformed the JCI by -5.3%. Events to monitor next week include Indonesia’s 2Q25 GDP figure and MSCI announcements on 5 and 7 August. Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, MTEL, KLBF and MYOR.
- Johnny Yum
- Maskun Ramli
- Audrey Celia
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Jonathan Koh
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Sunny Chen
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, July 28, 2025
GREATER CHINA Update Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb7.44/Target: Rmb8.20) Riding the policy wave, watching for undercurrents. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH/BUY/Rmb231.84/Target: Rmb325.00) Regaining growth momentum from Q3 2025, on track for top 10 global medtech status. INDONESIA Sector Consumer 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Results Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,...
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
600019 BAOSHAN IRON & STEEL CO. LTD. CLASS A
MLK MALAKOFF CORP BHD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
300760 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
CTOS CTOS DIGITAL BHD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer – 2Q25 Preview: Mixed Results
Despite macroeconomic headwinds, we expect 1H25 results across the consumer sector to reflect resilient momentum in selective segments, with performance diverging by product category, pricing power, margin management and adaptability. While weak purchasing power likely weighed on mass-market demand, easing soft commodity prices may improve sentiment. We upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: KLBF, CMRY and ERAA.
- Audrey Celia
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Monday, July 28, 2025
Consumer: 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,100): 2Q25: NIM likely to have bottomed, with recovery expected in 2H25. TRADERS’ CORNER Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ): Technical BUY Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP IJ): Technical BUY
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
- Johnny Yum
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June
Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.
- Johnny Yum
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Ken Lee
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Sunny Chen
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Notes - Friday, May 16, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
CENTEL CENTRAL PLAZA HOTEL
AOT AIRPORTS OF THAILAND PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
09999 NETEASE INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Willinoy Sitorus
Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) - Soft Results; Margin Recovery Expected In 2H2...
We lower our 2025 net profit assumptions by 8.5% following the weaker-than-expected 1Q25 results (20% and 22% of our and consensus 2025 net profit estimates. The company guides for 10% revenue growth and 22-25% gross margin in 2025, with exports as its key growth driver. We expect gross margin to improve slightly in 2H25 on product reformulation, a round of ASP adjustments and cost-optimisation. The company has proposed a Rp1t share buyback from 5 Jun 25 to 5 Jun 26.
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Stevanus Juanda
Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) - Margins Will Still Be Negatively Affected In ...
MYOR guided that the steep increase in cocoa and coffee prices is likely to continue negatively impace margins in 4Q24 and 1H25. 4Q24 margin improvement on a qoq basis is expected while margins will be soft yoy. A mixed performance was observed in export markets. In 2025, MYOR will introduce 5-10 new products. We expect 2025 NPAT to increase 11.1% yoy and 2024 NPAT to decline 7.7% yoy. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Rp2,300.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kong Ho Meng
- Stevanus Juanda
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 31, 2025
INDONESIA Update Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,500/Target: Rp2,300) Margins will still be negatively affected in 4Q24 and 1H25. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas PAO aligns with our view on cuts in exploration/JU rig demand, but maintenance demand remains intact. Plant turnaround may be the biggest winner, but with high execution risks in 2Q25, 2Q26 and 1Q27. SINGAPORE Sector REITs ...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5681 PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD.
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
3816 MISC BHD
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
UZMA UZMA BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
BAB BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
MMHE MALAYSIA MARINE AND HEAVY EN
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
- Hendri Effendi
- Stevanus Juanda
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Ringo Tang Chi Yu
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Stevanus Juanda
- Sunny Chen
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, August 29, 2024
GREATER CHINA Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$16.46/Target: HK$19.50) 1H24: Below expectations; exploring opportunities in overseas markets. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target: HK$33.70) 1H24: Results in line with surprise from special dividend. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$12.34/Target: HK$19.60) 1H24: Core net profit up 13% yoy. Accelerated store opening pace in 2H24; dividend payout expected to remain at reasonable leve...
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
INDF PT INDOFOOD SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
1155 MALAYAN BANKING BHD.
UNVR PT UNILEVER INDONESIA TBK
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
3605 ACES ELECTRONIC CO. LTD.
6888 AXIATA GROUP BHD.
002352 S.F. HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
IJM IJM CORP BHD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
FFB FARM FRESH BHD
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
- Stevanus Juanda
Consumer – Consumer Companies Strong Thanks To Lower Raw Material Cost...
Consumer companies’ 2Q24 core NPAT rose 19.8% yoy. Indofood Group performed well, with core NPAT of ICBP and INDF rising 31.5% and 41.2% yoy. Consumer companies’ margins expanded thanks to a decline in wheat and skim milk powder prices. Retailers’ margins were stable, with 2Q24 NPAT declining 17.2% yoy. Boycotts on multinational companies are likely to continue. The 2H24 outlook should be similar to that of 1H24, with a bleak 2025 outlook. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our picks: ACES and CMRY.
- Maskun Ramli
- Stevanus Juanda
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