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Audrey Celia ... (+10)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, July 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Update Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb7.44/Target: Rmb8.20) Riding the policy wave, watching for undercurrents. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH/BUY/Rmb231.84/Target: Rmb325.00) Regaining growth momentum from Q3 2025, on track for top 10 global medtech status. INDONESIA Sector Consumer 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Results Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,...

Audrey Celia ... (+2)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Consumer – 2Q25 Preview: Mixed Results

Despite macroeconomic headwinds, we expect 1H25 results across the consumer sector to reflect resilient momentum in selective segments, with performance diverging by product category, pricing power, margin management and adaptability. While weak purchasing power likely weighed on mass-market demand, easing soft commodity prices may improve sentiment. We upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: KLBF, CMRY and ERAA.

Audrey Celia ... (+4)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Monday, July 28, 2025

Consumer: 2Q25 preview: Mixed results. Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,090/Target: Rp5,100): 2Q25: NIM likely to have bottomed, with recovery expected in 2H25. TRADERS’ CORNER Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ): Technical BUY Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP IJ): Technical BUY

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...

BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Strategy - Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June

Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.

Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, July 3, 2025

Strategy: Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. TRADERS’ CORNER Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ): Technical BUY Astra International (ASII IJ): Technical BUY

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+19)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, May 16, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...

Willinoy Sitorus
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) - Soft Results; Margin Recovery Expected In 2H2...

We lower our 2025 net profit assumptions by 8.5% following the weaker-than-expected 1Q25 results (20% and 22% of our and consensus 2025 net profit estimates. The company guides for 10% revenue growth and 22-25% gross margin in 2025, with exports as its key growth driver. We expect gross margin to improve slightly in 2H25 on product reformulation, a round of ASP adjustments and cost-optimisation. The company has proposed a Rp1t share buyback from 5 Jun 25 to 5 Jun 26.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Friday, May 16, 2025

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,310/Target: Rp2,400): Soft results; margin recovery expected in 2H25. TRADERS’ CORNER Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ): Technical BUY Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ): Technical BUY

Stevanus Juanda
  • Stevanus Juanda

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) - Margins Will Still Be Negatively Affected In ...

MYOR guided that the steep increase in cocoa and coffee prices is likely to continue negatively impace margins in 4Q24 and 1H25. 4Q24 margin improvement on a qoq basis is expected while margins will be soft yoy. A mixed performance was observed in export markets. In 2025, MYOR will introduce 5-10 new products. We expect 2025 NPAT to increase 11.1% yoy and 2024 NPAT to decline 7.7% yoy. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Rp2,300.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+5)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 31, 2025

INDONESIA Update Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,500/Target: Rp2,300) Margins will still be negatively affected in 4Q24 and 1H25. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas PAO aligns with our view on cuts in exploration/JU rig demand, but maintenance demand remains intact. Plant turnaround may be the biggest winner, but with high execution risks in 2Q25, 2Q26 and 1Q27. SINGAPORE Sector REITs ...

Hendri Effendi ... (+2)
  • Hendri Effendi
  • Stevanus Juanda

Indonesia Daily - Friday, January 31, 2025

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,500/Target: Rp2,300): Margins will still be negatively affected in 4Q24 and 1H25. TRADERS’ CORNER Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ): Technical BUY Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ): Technical BUY

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+21)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, August 29, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$16.46/Target: HK$19.50) 1H24: Below expectations; exploring opportunities in overseas markets. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target: HK$33.70) 1H24: Results in line with surprise from special dividend. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$12.34/Target: HK$19.60) 1H24: Core net profit up 13% yoy. Accelerated store opening pace in 2H24; dividend payout expected to remain at reasonable leve...

Stevanus Juanda
  • Stevanus Juanda

Consumer – Consumer Companies Strong Thanks To Lower Raw Material Cost...

Consumer companies’ 2Q24 core NPAT rose 19.8% yoy. Indofood Group performed well, with core NPAT of ICBP and INDF rising 31.5% and 41.2% yoy. Consumer companies’ margins expanded thanks to a decline in wheat and skim milk powder prices. Retailers’ margins were stable, with 2Q24 NPAT declining 17.2% yoy. Boycotts on multinational companies are likely to continue. The 2H24 outlook should be similar to that of 1H24, with a bleak 2025 outlook. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our picks: ACES and CMRY.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Stevanus Juanda

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, August 29, 2024

Consumer: 2Q24 and 1H24 wrap: Consumer companies strong thanks to lower raw material costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. TRADERS’ CORNER Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ): Technical BUY AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ): Technical BUY

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+17)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Ming San Soong
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, August 27, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Cross Currents We expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024; we prefer TMT, tech hardware and defensives like banks, communication services and utilities. Results Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.30) 1H24: In line; shifting focus to offshore WTG and overseas markets. Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.49/Target: HK$3.50) 1H24: Result...

Stevanus Juanda
  • Stevanus Juanda

Consumer – Potential Negative Impact Of Excise Sugar Tax On Sweetened ...

In the 2025 State Budget, the government plans to enact an excise tax on sweetened package drinks. This could impact consumer products such as juices, 3-in-1 coffee, sweetened tea, soda, energy drinks and sweetened condensed milk. Implementation in other countries led to long-term sales volume dropping 17-32%. The plastic tax will not be implemented in 2025; four other countries in Asean have enacted this tax. Downgrade the sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Our picks: ACES and CMRY.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Stevanus Juanda

Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Consumer: Potential negative impact of excise sugar tax on sweetened packaged drinks. Downgrade the sector to MARKET WEIGHT. TRADERS’ CORNER Adhi Karya (ADHI IJ): Technical BUY Bank Danamon (BDMN IJ): Technical BUY

Stevanus Juanda
  • Stevanus Juanda

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) - 2Q24: Rising Raw Material Costs Affect Gross ...

MYOR recorded 2Q24 NPAT of Rp605.5b, up 23.2% yoy but down 45.5% qoq. Gross margin in 2Q24 collapsed 202bp yoy and 427bp qoq as prices of raw materials increased. 1H24 NPAT came in at Rp1,718b, rising 40.5% yoy, in line with our and the street’s expectation. MYOR is reducing expenses to mitigate the gross margin decline. We believe it is still too early to be bullish. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Rp2,500.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+15)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Paula Ruth
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, August 05, 2024

GREATER CHINA Update LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$33.55/Target: HK$42.76): Takeaways from visits to Hong Kong and Shenzhen malls near the border. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. Results Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,470/Target: Rp2,500): 2Q24: Rising raw material costs impact gross margin. Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp2,850/Target: Rp4,200): 2Q24: 6% yoy growth in core profit; to improve cost effi...

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