Steadying The Course; War Premium May Benefit LNG And Petroleum Although we still think MISC is not yet out of the woods in terms of LNGC downside risk for 2025, it appears that the Middle East geopolitical tension reignited by Iran-Israel may provide some trading upside given that it is positive to sentiment for both the petroleum and gas divisions (more prominent for LNG). Regardless, we still expect MISC to remain at the forefront of shipping decarbonisation. Retain BUY. Target price: RM8.20.
GREATER CHINA Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$5.34/Target: HK$8.00) Confident in achieving full-year targets; Saucony on track to reach mid-term goal. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Bank KB Bukopin (BBKP IJ/NOT RATED/Rp60) Turnaround hinges on CoF reduction. MALAYSIA Update Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK/HOLD/RM20.46/Target: RM20.50) We expect 3QFY25 results to come in flat qoq, supported by firmer plantation output and lower forex ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
Industry Consolidation Continues In 2025: The Age Of Electricity As the International Energy Agency (IEA) terms 2025 as the “Age Of Electricity” where investments focusing on AI, data centers and grid/storage/battery upgrades take centerstage, we see continued consolidation in the local O&G industry, driven by Petronas’ right-sizing exercise, recalibration following the Petros issue, and the shift towards new industries such as CCS, despite near-term upside risk to oil prices from geopolitical e...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Property Weakening sales in China has raised hopes of policy support in July; rebound in HIBOR will test the strength of recovery in Hong Kong property sales. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp5,025/Target: Rp6,000) 5M25: Steady earnings amid NIM pressure. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
1Q25: Profit Deemed In Line, As 2025 Is Expected To Be LNG Trough MISC’s 1Q25 profit is in line, considering its LNG fleet is still undergoing rejuvenation while LNGC market conditions may hit a low in 2025. Both the gas and petroleum segments are actively investing in a range of net-zero fuels and maritime decarbonisation. While sentiment on MISC may still be impacted by uncertainties over the MISC-Bumi Armada FPSO merger, a new CEO for AET (petroleum segment) may open doors for M&As or unlock ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: New home sales improved mom in May 25; channel check of Suzhou’s primary residential market. Results Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$36.05/Target: HK$47.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; intact AI progress; solid game pipeline. MALAYSIA Results Hong Leong Bank (HLBK MK/BUY/RM19.94/Target: RM23.80): 3QFY25: Earnings above expectations, supported by strong non-interest income and substantial provision write-backs. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of RM23.8...
Geopolitical Risk May Extend to CCS, Allowing Sector Consolidation Regardless the details to be announced in PM Anwar and Sarawak Premier Jo’s new agreement later this week, we take a view that the Petronas-Petros geopolitical risk may prolong, extending to carbon storage (the next business frontier for the sector), until the shift of monetary flows are more balanced between the regions. If this happens, the sector will have breathing space to consolidate; hence, we continue to advise focusing o...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
Weathering The Tariff Storm As expected, based on our unchanged assumption of a hefty discount on LNG, the LNGC outlook in the near term continued to be weak with rates plummeting by nearly 90% yoy. LNGC rates may remain depressed due to Trump’s Tariff 2.0 measures, which may also impact the petroleum segment, although tankers (especially Aframaxes) may demonstrate resilience. Regardless of the IMO, we expect MISC to continue to be at the forefront of shipping decarbonisation. Retain BUY, target...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Supportive policy remarks by Premier Li Qiang point to further upside; upcoming Politburo meeting to be an important policy window. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: HK$68.00) 1Q25: Earnings up 46% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68.00. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb24.27/Target: Rmb32.20) 1Q25: Net pro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
Clear Water Muddled By “Grey Areas” — Simply Theatrics Or Chess Game? Petronas reported lower profit yoy amid a weakened LNG position and higher costs in 2024, due to various events including the Petronas-Petros development. Lately, some “misunderstandings” on the scope (i. LNG) and the correct DGO date are potentially precarious. If they are proven to be mere theatrics, then these matters should be resolved quickly. However, if the chess game prolongs, it will contribute towards sector risks. W...
REGIONAL Sector Plantation Guest speakers at our Palm Oil Seminar 2025 flag diverging palm production prospects between Malaysia and Indonesia, alongside downside risks to CPO prices. GREATER CHINA Results Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$462.00/Target: HK$630.00) 4Q24: Earnings beat; continuous efforts in international expansion. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ...
2024: Ancitipate Weak LNG Near-term Outlook Before Returning To Growth MISC outperformed our 2024 forecast due to stronger-than-expected petroleum performance. Markets may have lukewarm reception on the celebration of FPSO Mero- 3’s first oil, which was overshadowed by various provisions, and react negatively over the bleak near-term LNG outlook, which may lead to low LNG earnings in 2025. Despite cutting forecasts by 7-10%, we advise long-term investors to look beyond 2025 weakness for long-ter...
GREATER CHINA Update Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH/BUY/Rmb257.82/Target: Rmb330.00) Embraces business opportunities provided by digital and intelligent solutions. INDONESIA Update Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (MTEL IJ/BUY/Rp640/Target: Rp820) Expanding fibre optic network length by 20% following the acquisition. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Results MISC (MISC MK/BUY/RM7.15/Target: RM8.60) 2024: Results outperform, but marke...
O&G Landscape Entering “Right-Sizing” Mode Petronas has confirmed a downsizing exercise, involving a review of 30% of its staff force, as it aims to be nimble for its survival. While this exercise is not driven by the Petros saga, we are concerned about the potential impact on the sector’s earnings, given its timing will coincide with heavy plant turnarounds. The Shell MDS injunction against Petronas/Petros implies more uncertainties. Should near-term earnings risk materialise, we advise accumul...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Seasonal demand lifted downstream inflation. Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$36.25/Target: HK$52.00) Expects significant expansion in 2025; targeting revenue of Rmb20b in 2027. INDONESIA Results Bank Syariah Indonesia (BRIS IJ/BUY/Rp3,020/Target: Rp3,450) 2024: Net profit up 22%, above expectations; upgrade earnings forecasts. MALAYSIA...
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