We are cautiously optimistic that inflation would ease gradually in 1H23. The external environment remains uncertain with geopolitical rivalries persisting. We focus on defensive S-REITs with resilient balance sheets. S-REITs would benefit from the easing of interest rates in 2024 in the event economic growth slows down or falters. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY CLAS (Target: S$1.39), CLAR (Target: S$3.30), FLT (Target: S$1.56) and MLT (Target: S$1.99).
Our Alpha Picks portfolio easily surpassed the STI by 8.0ppt on an equal-weighted basis in Mar 23. For 1Q23, our portfolio rose 9.1%, materially outpacing the STI’s 0.2% gain. For Apr 23, we add OCBC, LREIT, AZTECH and SMM. We have also taken profit on GENS as it has done well since its inclusion and is close to our target price. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has beaten the STI in 12 out of the past 13 months.
We are cautiously optimistic that inflation would ease albeit gradually. The external environment remains uncertain with geopolitical rivalry persisting. Thus, we advocate focusing on S-REITs with resilient balance sheets that can weather a protracted period of elevated interest rates. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY CLAS (Target: S$1.39), CLAR (Target: S$3.30), FLT (Target: S$1.56) and MLT (Target: S$1.99).
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: We expect consolidation in February, as investors await management guidance for 2023 in the upcoming earnings season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jan 23, Add HMSP: Our picks: HMSP, ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, EXCL, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Off To A Strong Start In January: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in January. Feb 23 picks: BAT, Genting Malaysia, Hap Seng Plantations, Malaysia A...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Expect equities to take a breather on delays in growth normalisation. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformed The JCI In 4Q22 And 2022: Our picks: ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, EXCL, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Mostly China Reopening Beneficiaries: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI in Dec 22 but outperformed in 2022. Jan 23 picks: Genting Malaysia, Malaysia Airports, MyEG Services, Press Metal and Yinson. ...
Sentiment has improved with the favourable readings for US CPI in Oct and Nov 22 suggesting that inflation has peaked. The sector bottomed in Oct 22. We focus on S-REITs with resilient balance sheets to weather the protracted period of elevated interest rates. BUY CLAS (Target: S$1.27), CLAR (Target: S$3.21), FLT (Target: S$1.48), MINT (Target: S$3.12) and MLT (Target: S$1.87). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
While the China reopening story may see a short-term bullish reaction in the market, we believe that recessionary risks persist nonetheless. For 2023, we forecast 6% EPS growth for the large-cap stocks under our coverage, and from a top-down basis, our 2023 year-end target of 3,520 for the STI implies 8% upside from current levels. Importantly, the index’s valuations are not stretched at present, trading at 2023F PE and P/B of 10.7x and 1.0x respectively, and paying a yield of 4.5%.
While the China reopening story may see a short-term bullish reaction in the market, we believe that recessionary risks persist nonetheless. For 2023, we foreacast 6% EPS growth for large-cap stocks under our coverage, and from a top-down basis, our 2023 year-end target of 3,520 for the STI implies 8% upside from current levels. Importantly, the index’s valuations are not stretched at present, trading at 2023F PE and P/B of 10.7x and 1.0x respectively, and paying a yield of 4.5%.
Our Alpha Picks’ 5.5% and 8.1% returns for 4Q22 and 2022 respectively easily beat the STI by 1.6ppt and 4.0ppt respectively on a market-cap weighted basis. For Jan 23, we rejig our REIT preference by adding Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT) and cutting losses on Lendlease REIT (LREIT). We like MLT’s exposure to the China reopening story as its China and Hong Kong portfolio constituted 21% and 23% of its portfolio valuation respectively as at end-3Q22.
Sentiment has improved with the favourable reading for US CPI in October suggesting that inflation has peaked. S-REITs are likely to have bottomed in late-October. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our bottom-up and diversified BUY picks for blue chips are CLAS (Target: S$1.27), FCT (Target: S$2.46), LREIT (Target: S$0.82), MINT (Target: S$3.12) and MLT (Target: S$1.87).
S-REITs are under pressure due to elevated inflation and rising government bond yields. The latest US CPI reading of 8.2% for Sep 22 adds to the pessimism. The nasty correction has brought valuations to attractive levels, and bargains have emerged. Our bottom-up and diversified BUY picks for blue chips are CLAS (Target: S$1.27), FCT (Target: S$2.56), LREIT (Target: S$0.91), MINT (Target: S$3.12) and MLT (Target: S$1.94). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Europe has almost resolved its energy crisis brought about by the Russia-Ukraine war, judging by the steep fall in electricity prices. The UK has made a policy U-turn and relented on tax cuts for top earners. Recent panic selling has brought valuations for S-REITs to attractive levels and bargains have emerged. Our bottom-up and diversified BUY picks are CLAS (Target: S$1.29), FCT (Target: S$2.56), LREIT (Target: S$0.91), MINT (Target: S$3.12) and MLT (Target: S$1.94). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
A disciplined and hawkish Fed and the UK’s fiscal policy mishap sent S-REITs reeling by 7.8%. We see sanity gradually being restored as nerves are calmed. S-REITs are resilient due to their stable cash flows. The panic selling has brought valuations to attractive levels and bargains have emerged. Our bottom-up and diversified BUY picks are CAT (Target: S$1.29), FCT (Target: S$2.56), LREIT (Target: S$0.91), MINT (Target: S$3.12) and MLT (Target: S$1.94). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
It is a tumultuous time for S-REITs with elevated inflation dominating headlines. The sector has nevertheless eked out a small gain of 0.5%. S-REITs are resilient due to their stable cash flows. Investors are likely to turn their attention to S-REITs when economic growth and inflation start to moderate more meaningfully. Our bottom-up and diversified BUY picks are FCT (Target: S$2.74), LREIT (Target: S$0.99), MINT (Target: S$3.36) and MLT (Target: S$2.08). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
S-REITs declined 4.3% as the Fed maintained a hawkish stance during the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Outlook is also clouded by a protracted Russia-Ukraine War. S-REITs are resilient due to their stable cash flows. Investors are likely to turn their attention to S-REITs when economic growth and inflation start to moderate. Our bottom-up and diversified BUY picks are FCT (Target: S$2.74), LREIT (Target: S$0.99), MINT (Target: S$3.36) and MLT (Target: S$2.08). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
S-REITs suffered a mild decline but underperformed the STI by 1.8% in the first two weeks of August. Inflation has moderated with US CPI easing 0.6ppt mom to 8.5% in Jul 22. S-REITs are resilient due to their defensive characteristics and stable cash flows despite the outlook being clouded by the Russia-Ukraine war and potential economic slowdown. Focus on reopening plays. BUY FCT (Target: S$2.74), FEHT (Target: S$0.83) and LREIT (Target: S$0.96). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.