emain Overweight EM vs. EAFE The MSCI EM index (local currency) has continued to outperform relative to the MSCI EAFE index while the US dollar (DXY) forms a tight consolidation pattern. As a result we continue to favor EM over EAFE; and if EM is going to continue to outperform we would expect to see a breakdown below 98.50 support on the DXY. Like many global indexes, the MSCI EM index remains below resistance from a price perspective. Short-term levels we are watching include resistance at...
Lower High Forming? Major global indexes are showing waning upside momentum and we believe near-term consolidation is likely. This is supported by the charts and the idea that consolidation makes sense following the massive gains off of the March lows. We also believe that the market is in a “wait-and-see†phase as it relates to states and countries re-opening. A resolution of this consolidation period above resistance (bullish) or below support (bearish) will tell us where the major global...
Battleground Spot For Global Equities Last week we highlighted what appeared to be rising wedge breakdowns in the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE indexes, and suggested some consolidation made sense as we get a feel for how the process of re-opening the economy is going. It ended up being a very brief consolidation period and all horizontal support levels held strong. With all the aforementioned indexes breaking above the resistance levels that we highlighted last week, it tells us momentum...
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