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Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

SATCOM deal is Group’s largest acquisition

Cohort has announced a conditional sale and purchase agreement to acquire EM Solutions Pty Ltd from Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd, for an enterprise value of AUS$144.0m, c.£75.0m This is Cohort’s largest acquisition to date. The purchase will be funded from Group cash resources, debt facility plus a share placing, and is expected to be EPS-accretive from FY25/26. EM Solutions offers a range of satellite-based secure communications systems including satellite on-the-move (SOTM) and radio f...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

AGM gives another confident update

In a statement to accompany today’s AGM, Cohort reported that, propelled by trading and order intake, notably in the Sensors & Effectors division, H1 25 is expected to be significantly ahead year-on-year, with net margin improvement. The Group indicates that FY25 revenue and (adj.) operating profit are now expected to be slightly ahead of management prior expectations. The year-end record closing order book was £518.7m, with visibility out to 2037 and an estimated 90% of FY25 consensus estimat...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

FY24: record results and maintained momentum

Cohort reported strong FY24 results, with revenue +11%YoY at £202.5m, which was 8% above our outlook, and (adj.) operating profit of £21.1m +11%YoY (3% above EDE). The closing order book was £518.7m +58%YoY with order intake of £392.1m, +78%YoY, and estimated 95% coverage of our FY25 revenue outlook. The year closed with net cash of £23.1m. National security and spending on defence became an issue of top priority through the course of pre-election campaigning, with the Labour Government indicat...

Robin Byde
  • Robin Byde

Audio Note: Avon Protection and Cohort - Updates on two thriving UK de...

Robin Byde discusses UK midcap defence technology companies – Avon Protection and Cohort. Defence spending is rising everywhere, as are share prices; but are these stocks now up with events?

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

Trading update: performance ahead of expectations

In an Update for the year to 30 April 2024 Cohort reports overall performance slightly ahead of market expectations. We note that the Group reports very strong order intake of c.£387m (compared to £218m in FY23) resulting in a closing order book which stood at c.£518m (FY23: £329.1m), inclusive of the March SEA Royal Navy £135m Ancilia contract. The group notes strong H2 performance, with overall growth in the Sensors & Effectors division, notably Chess and SEA, outpacing the Communications & I...

Emily Liu
  • Emily Liu

Hybridan Research: Sector Review: Artificial intelligence in UK cybers...

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a double-edged sword in cybersecurity. Whilst new AI models, architectures, and innovations are emerging to protect the security posture of organisations, attackers are also benefiting from deepfakes, sophisticated phishing, and automation of malicious codes. To ensure the impact of AI on cybersecurity to be a net-positive, we need to pit good AI against bad AI. Point solutions enhanced with machine learning: Global cybersecurity has been built with point soluti...

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 26 Mar 24

26th March 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

Major £135m contract award

Cohort announces that its subsidiary SEA (Systems Engineering and Assessment Ltd.) has been awarded a major contract by the UK’s Ministry of Defence to provide Electronic Warfare Counter Measures (Increment 1a) (EWCM 1a) to the Royal Navy with a total value of at least £135m. This includes provision and support of SEA’s Trainable Decoy Launcher System, Ancilia. At the FY 24 interim results Cohort had commented on an overall “increased tempo” of order intake. The Group reported a closing order b...

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 29 Jan 24

29th January 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obje...

Cohort: 1 director

A director at Cohort maiden bought 15,000 shares at 545p and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...

Hybridan Small Cap Feast

13th December 2023 Small Cap Team will take a break until Monday 8 January 2024 after this Friday 15th December. Merry Christmas to all our readers. @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

Strong H1 24 results backed by a record order book

For the six months to 31 October 2023 Cohort reported revenue of £94.3m, +22%YoY, EBIT (adj.) of £6.0m, +20%YoY and (adj.) EPS of 10.36p (adj. dil., 10.33p). The closing order book further increased to £353.9m (FY23, £329.1m). With £90m of orders deliverable in H2 the Group reports that 95% of market consensus revenue outlook is covered, whilst the order book has longevity to 2033. The net cash position was £13.3m compared to £15.6m at year-end FY23 and H1 23 net debt of £0.6m boosted by operat...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

AGM update on growing momentum in orders

In a statement to accompany today’s AGM, Cohort PLC reported that, following a year of record earnings in FY23, the Group has continued to build its order book, adding a further £90m in contract wins since the start of FY24. Consequently, as of 22 September the order book had risen to £370m, representing revenue cover of 93%. Compared to a year-end FY23 net cash position of £15.6m, net funds at the end of August were £15.2m, providing sufficient cash in conjunction with banking facilities to b...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

Record results in FY23 and positive outlook

For the year to 30 April 2023, Cohort reported record revenue of £182.7m +33%YoY, matched by record (adj.) EBIT of £19.1m, +23%YoY. The closing order book of £329.1m (FY22: £291.0m) was also at a high, boosted by order intake of £220.9m; by June this had reached £360m. EPS rose 17%YoY to 36.48p/share, with the proposed total dividend of 13.4p/share +10%YoY. Notwithstanding a strategically firm defence outlook – based on the conflict in Ukraine, tensions in the South China Sea, and cohesion amon...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

FY 23 trading update: ahead and unified

In a Trading Update for the year to 30 April 2023, Cohort plc expects performance to be slightly ahead of market expectations based on higher revenue. We note FY23 net funds reported at c.£15.0m - well ahead of ED estimated, at £4.6m - strong order intake of c.£218m (FY22: £186.7m), and a closing order book of £325m - at the Interim £304.2m. This underpins £145m, i.e. 83%, of our FY 24 estimated revenue, compared with 69% in FY23 (E). Overall, the update confirms the strength of momentum into th...

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

Closing FY23 orders highlight group attractions

Finland joining NATO; the leak of classified US documents relating to the war in Ukraine; recent Chinese military drills around Taiwan: defence-related news flow has remained prominent in areas of present military tension. Following a strong first half, Cohort PLC itself is closing FY23 with contract extensions at MASS and CHESS totalling c. £30m over periods of up to 7 years, with a focus on e-warfare. We noted at the Interim that over £80m of orders deliverable in the second half equates t...

Toby Thorrington
  • Toby Thorrington

Cohort - Defence remains an increasing priority

Cohort’s expertise in innovative defence and security products and services are increasingly suitable for a wide range of global customers whose budgets are likely to rise. It is in a prime position to benefit from the growth in global defence spending that should result from increased geopolitical tension. We expect a return to sustainable organic growth in the current year accompanied by strong cash flow. An FY24e P/E multiple of 11.8x is undemanding, accompanied by 10% dividend income growth.

Mike Jeremy
  • Mike Jeremy

Record closing order book

For the six months to 31 October 2022, Cohort PLC reported a strong performance: revenue was up 29%YoY to £77.5m; an operating profit (adj.) of £5.0m was achieved (H1 22: £1.7m); and EBITDA (adj.) was £7.1m. Order intake of £88.6m resulted in a record closing order book of £304.2m. The interim dividend is raised 10% to 4.25p/share. Absorption of working capital meant that H1 net debt was £0.6m; however, Cohort reports that as of 9th December net funds were £7.6m. Added to H1 revenue, over £80m ...

Toby Thorrington
  • Toby Thorrington

Cohort - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Schroder Asia Pacific (SDP), Fundsmith Emerging Equities Trust (FEET), Cohort (CHRT) and Akobo Minerals (AKOBO). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.

Toby Thorrington
  • Toby Thorrington

Cohort - Reversing anticipated FY24 tax benefit

In our recent note following the trading update on 26 September 2022, we upgraded our FY24 EPS estimate to reflect an expected cut in future UK corporation tax rates. As the proposed tax cut has now been withdrawn, it is necessary to reverse that adjustment. As a result, Cohort is trading at a still undemanding FY24e multiple of 13.6x and, while falling by 6% to 683p, the DCF value remains at a substantial premium to the current share price.

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