In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
Tags: Koshidaka (2157 JT), Kakuyasu Group (7686 JT), Daiichikosho (7458 JT) Hiroyuki Terada lowers his FY25~27 OP estimates for karaoke operator Koshidaka and discusses how a possible income tax threshold hike might benefit demand.
PSA's small-cap analyst Hiroyuki Terada revises down his FY24~26 forecasts for Kakuyasu but finds that after FY24's challenges, prospects for the company are set to improve. Changes to the income tax threshold would also take pressure of hiring costs.
PSA Professional Services: Park24 (4666 JT) 4% Dividend Yield in FY27 Attractive Growth is steady and dividend yield, buybacks and payout ratio look attractive. Balance sheet quality has improved and risk of equity financing is limited.
In light of karaoke operator Koshidaka’s strong Q4 performance, analyst Hiroyuki terada has adjusted his OP forecasts for FY25 and FY26 up, mainly due to stronger same store sales and an acceleration of new store openings. We also introduce our forecasts out to FY27 as the firm has released its mid-term plan. Management is guiding for a payout ratio of 35% which we expect can generate at DPS of Y44, so offers an attractive dividend yield of 3.7%.
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
Several of the small-cap companies analyst Hiroyuki Terada covers will be reporting their quarterly results from 10 October. Here, we provide a snapshot of our forecasts, vs company guidance and/or consensus estimates, and follow with details of KPIs.
Small cap analyst Hiroyuki Terada reviews the August performance at Park24 and revises his FY24 / FY25 / FY26 forecasts, which are ahead of company guidance and consensus estimates, as he is more optimistic on contributions to earnings from the high-margin Mobility business. And while the market is monitoring several financial events which could lead to a possible equity finance, we think the risk is very low.
Shares have fallen despite a consensus beat. This is due to concerns over the Australia business, and young members’ unexpectedly high accident rate for the mobility business. Hiroyuki Terada looks at the concerns of investors, to see whether or not, their concerns will prove unfounded. Please see report for details.
We update our earnings model and review the recent FY23 performance of Sanrio to conclude that the company guidance for FY24 1H is conservative. On undemanding valuations and a -17% correction in the shares since the firm released its FY24 outlook on 14 May, a better-than-expected Q1 performance analyst Hiroyuki Terada is modelling for may provide a catalyst for the stock.
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