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Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4

For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: Are We at Peak Japan Soft Power? Considerin...

Switch 2, Hello Kitty and Demon Slayer have underlined the success of Japan’s global pop culture influence. In this review, Pelham Smithers discusses whether 2025 will be the peak, or if there more to come. In light of the capital limitations faced by Japanese game developers evident at TGS2025, Pelham thinks further consolidation is likely and suggests three likely scenarios.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Specialty Retail: Sanrio (8136 JT) – Q2 Earnings Should Be Next Ca...

Small-cap specialist Terada-san reviews Sanrio’s Q1 performance and full-year guidance. Despite US tariffs, contributions expected from new licensees and continued steady demand for Hello Kitty products leads him to revise up his OP forecasts for FY25~FY27.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Leisure Facilities: Koshidaka (2157 JT) – Aggressive Cost Control ...

Having spoken with management after the release of its FY25 Q3 results, analyst Hiroyuki Terada revises up his forecasts for FY25~27 to reflect the firm’s aggressive cost control efforts and the planned accelerated pace of new store openings.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA HR & Employment Services: Insource (6200 JT) FY25 Q3 Review and Ou...

Small- / mid-cap specialist Hiroyuki Terada updates his earnings model for Insource post the Q3 release.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Commercial Services: Park24 (4666 JT) – No Equity Finance Risk Any...

With attractive valuations, a dividend yield of 4.6% for FY27 and, in analyst Hiroyuki Terada’s opinion, there is no longer the risk of an equity finance, this update on Park24 reviews the recent Q2 performance and the earnings outlook.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Small- / Mid-Caps: Quarterly (Mar to May) Results Preview

Tags: Koshidaka Holdings (2157 JT), Curves Holdings (7085 JT), Treasure Factory (3093 JT), TKP (3479 JT), Novarese (9160 JT), Lilycolor (9827 JT) Analyst Hiroyuki Terada provides insights on the next quarterly set of results for the small- / mid-cap companies which we cover.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Consumer Services / Hotels, Resorts: Kyoritsu Maintenance (9616 JT...

Following the release of FY24 (Mar yr-end) Q4 results for Kyoritsu Maintenance and his discussion with management, analyst Hiroyuki Terada revises up his FY25 and FY26 forecasts and introduces his FY27 numbers.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Food Retail: Kakuyasu Group (7686 JT) – Attractive Dividend Yield ...

In the wake of Kakuyasu’s strategic acquisition of Daiwa Express, which will enable it to expand its delivery services and achieve higher margins, analyst Hiroyuki Terada adjusts his numbers.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Specialty Retail: Sanrio (8136 JT) Europe & Asia Business to Offse...

Despite a negative from US tariffs, analyst Hiroyuki Terada remain confident in the long-term earnings outlook for Sanrio, revising up his estimates for FY25~26 and introduces his forecast for FY27.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Professional Servies: Insource (6200 JT) – Three New Prefectural C...

Small- / Mid-cap specialist Hiroyuki Terada updates his earnings model for Insource. He has raised is forecasts over the FY25~FY27 period and highlights rising OPMs and low valuations.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Broadline Retail: Treasure Factory (3093 JT): Inbound Sales Still ...

Second-hand retailer Treasure Factory has an advantage over mainstream luxury goods retailers, explains analyst Hiroyuki Terada in this update which adjusts PSA’s forecasts downwards and introduces our FY27 numbers.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q2

In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Leisure Facilities: Koshidaka (2157 JT) – FY25 Q2 Outlook Disappoi...

Tags: Koshidaka (2157 JT), Kakuyasu Group (7686 JT), Daiichikosho (7458 JT) Hiroyuki Terada lowers his FY25~27 OP estimates for karaoke operator Koshidaka and discusses how a possible income tax threshold hike might benefit demand.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Consumer Discretionary / Hotels & Leisure: Kyoritsu Maintenance (9...

After a discussion with management, analyst Hiroyuki Terada revises up his FY25 and FY26 numbers for Kyoritsu Maintenance on the back of rising average daily rates.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Consumer Staples Distribution / Food Retail: Kakuyasu Group (7686...

PSA's small-cap analyst Hiroyuki Terada revises down his FY24~26 forecasts for Kakuyasu but finds that after FY24's challenges, prospects for the company are set to improve. Changes to the income tax threshold would also take pressure of hiring costs.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Professional Services: Park24 (4666 JT) 4% Dividend Yield in FY27 ...

PSA Professional Services: Park24 (4666 JT) 4% Dividend Yield in FY27 Attractive Growth is steady and dividend yield, buybacks and payout ratio look attractive. Balance sheet quality has improved and risk of equity financing is limited.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA: Professional Services: Insource (6200 JT) - Update - Good Start t...

Insource business is going well, there is strong demand for DX related training and their monthly KPIs are strong. We revise our forecasts in this report. Please see attached report by analyst Hiroyuki Terada.

Hiroyuki Terada
  • Hiroyuki Terada

PSA Leisure Facilities: Koshidaka Holdings (2157 JT) Update

In light of karaoke operator Koshidaka’s strong Q4 performance, analyst Hiroyuki terada has adjusted his OP forecasts for FY25 and FY26 up, mainly due to stronger same store sales and an acceleration of new store openings. We also introduce our forecasts out to FY27 as the firm has released its mid-term plan. Management is guiding for a payout ratio of 35% which we expect can generate at DPS of Y44, so offers an attractive dividend yield of 3.7%.

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