On 15 May, GEVORKYAN reported better-than-expected results, with EBITDA of EUR 7.3m (+24% yoy), a 17% beat vs. our estimate of EUR 6.2m. The revenues were up by 31% yoy, at EUR 24.2m, a 10% beat vs. our expectations. Management has reiterated its guidance for 2024E but, if the 2Q24E results are above the company’s plan, it could upgrade its guidance. In 1Q24, GEVORKYAN delivered an EBITDA margin of 30%, 2ppts higher than we anticipated. For 2024E, we are more conservative on the operating profit...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: strong 1Q24, but May card base estimate disappoints POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 1Q24E results review – EBITDA up 46% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2024E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line print in 1Q24, but loan book development remains absent POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: 1Q24 EBITDA up 24% yoy, 17% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q24 EBITDA 5% above our forecast, 6% miss vs. the consensus NEUTRAL • DataWalk: 1Q24 numbers fully in line with ...
HEADLINES: • mBank: revises up 1Q24 FX mortgage saga costs NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 4Q23 results broadly in line; new contracts from Poland and Sweden NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 1Q24 results – sales up 100% yoy, to PLN 6.43m POSITIVE • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 1Q24 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: real users in April 2024 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q24E preview – 9% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 21 May) • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q24E results preview – flat y...
GEVORKYAN published its 2023 annual report on 30 April, with the audited financial results for 2023. In 4Q23, GEVORKYAN reached EBITDA of EUR 3.8m (-33% yoy) on revenues of EUR 20.2m (+12% yoy); while, in 2023, its net debt to EBITDA stood at 3.5x, and the FCFF was at -EUR 4.2m. The results were broadly in line with our estimates and we expect a neutral market reaction.
EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • CTP: better late than never (upgraded to BUY) • Georgia macro: protests in Tbilisi • Raiffeisen Bank International: posts solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance (but only on ex. Russia and Belarus basis), facing huge pressure to address Russia and Belarus exposures from officials • Air Astana Group: 1Q24 – 15% ASK growth, RASK down slightly yoy, but CASK stable • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 1Q24 highlights NEUTRAL • Alkaloid: 1Q24 numbers a strong start to the year POSITIVE • National Ban...
HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: the power of powder (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Turkish Airlines: 4Q24 – ending a very good year on a strong note POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q23 results – adjusted EBITDA up 18% yoy, 8% above the market consensus POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q23 results NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 4Q23 results POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q23-24 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • Bank of Georgia: finalises Ameria acquisition POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q24 traffic – goo...
We initiate coverage of GEVORKYAN, a European leader in powder metallurgy component production, with a BUY rating and a 12M price target (PT) of CZK 348/share (37% upside). Its high-tech production process allows it to develop intricate components, which its customers cannot easily procure elsewhere. This gives GEVORKYAN significant pricing power, driving an industry-leading EBITDA margin (2018-23 average of 26%, vs. 16% for its peers). Its contracts are long term, giving good visibility on its ...
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