SCC recorded strong qoq and yoy growth in net profit for 2Q25, mainly supported by substantial one-time gains. Stripping out these gains, core earnings came in below our and consensus estimates by 27% and 17% respectively. Core earnings improved qoq, driven by recoveries at SCGC and SCGP, and lower financing costs following debt repayment using the one-time gains. We have revised up our core earnings projections for 2025-26. Upgrade to BUY. Target price: Bt240.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Food Poultry operators stand out as key winners from trade deal tailwinds. Results Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt240.00) 2Q25: Core earnings below our and consensus expectations, but 2H25 earnings improve hoh. Upgrade to BUY. Update COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt21.10/Target: Bt29.50) 2Q25 results preview: Solid growth expected.
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Bi-Weekly: Expecting strong 1H25 results. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb277.09 /Target: Rmb390.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line, with margins hitting record-high levels. Maintain A-share at BUY. Downgrade H-share to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$44.37/Target: US$55.00) ...
We expect SCC to post a 2Q25 net profit of approximately Bt2.2b, up 103% qoq, driven by a recovery in both the petrochemical and packaging businesses. This estimate does not yet include potential one-time gains, such as the recognition of negative goodwill from CAP acquiring the Shell refinery complex in Singapore, or gains from the sale of CAP shares in early-June. As for the LSP project, SCC’s management expects operations to resume by the end of 3Q25. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt160.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aeon Thana Sinsap (Thailand) (AEONTS TB/BUY/Bt94.50/Target: Bt140.00) 1QFY26: Results in line; NPL ratio down qoq but credit cost up qoq. Update Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF TB/HOLD/Bt21.90/Target: Bt21.00) Record-high earnings expected in 2Q25, but outlook turns cautious. Downgrade to HOLD. Siam Cement (SCC TB/HOLD/Bt170.50/Target: Bt160.00) 2Q25 net profit expected to recover qoq.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales down 30% wow as promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$123.60/Target: HK$158.00): 2Q25 preview: Intact top-line growth; expecting margin erosion on FD investment. INDONESIA Update Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,720/Target: Rp6,000): We expect 2Q25 results to remain strong; double-digit guidance remains intact. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: Inventory continues t...
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Apr 25 GGR beat expectations; May Day Golden Week visitor arrivals expected to grow 4% yoy. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$52.20/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb63.40/Target: Rmb70.80): 1Q25: Core net profit down 16% yoy; sequential improvement in Hainan duty-free sales. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$18.94/Target: HK$30.00)...
We expect 2Q25 core profit to rise qoq, driven by improvements in the cement, petrochemical and packaging businesses, supported by higher cement prices, lower production costs and a recovery in petrochemical spreads. The LSP project restart remains unscheduled, and we are closely monitoring the supply situation. While trade tensions could reduce supply and support spreads, they may also weigh on demand. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt160.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property 1Q25 earnings under pressure; recovery outlook remains uncertain. Update Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.20/Target: Bt3.30) Expect strong earnings growth in 1Q25. Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB/HOLD/Bt168.50/Target: Bt178.00) Less optimistic on foreign patient numbers. Downgrade to HOLD. Siam Cement (SCC TB/HOLD/Bt160.00/Target: Bt160.00) Timeline for the LSP project to resume operations remains uncertain.
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures remain. Sector Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; indirect spillovers uncertain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.55/Target: HK$108.80) 1Q25 sales me...
We expect SCC to report a 1Q25 net profit of Bt652m. The CBM and packaging businesses have shown a strong recovery, supported by seasonal demand growth. For 2Q25, we anticipate a significant qoq rise in net profit, driven by improved performances in the CBM and petrochemical businesses. However, we believe the improvement in petrochemical spreads is temporary. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt160.00.
SCC recorded a net loss in 4Q24 of Bt512m due to underperformance in its core businesses, including CBM, petrochemicals and packaging. Although SCC has benefited from a higher dividend income and stock gains, these were insufficient to counterbalance the losses from its core operations. However, the petrochemical sector continues to face challenges, particularly in 1H25, leading to a persistently negative outlook for this segment. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt160.00.
We expect SCC to report a net loss of Bt930m in 4Q24, with earnings declining across all business segments. The petrochemical division will be particularly affected, continuing its downturn due to weak olefins spreads. We have lowered our net profit forecasts for 2024-25 to reflect reduced profitability across all business segments, especially with the ongoing supply challenges that are expected to pressure the petrochemical business over the next 2-3 years. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt1...
GREATER CHINA Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50): 3Q24: Reported earnings miss expectations on forex loss but core business recovery picking up; maintain BUY. BYD Company (1211 HK/HOLD/HK$295.00/Target: HK$260.00): 3Q24: Earnings up 12% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain HOLD. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.97/Target: HK$6.70): 3Q24: Earnings growth returns to positive territory on lower credit cost. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.84/Target: Rmb...
SCC reported a qoq and yoy drop in net profit for 3Q24 due to reduced sales and margins across all sectors, compounded by the appreciated Thai baht. The 3Q24 net profit included substantial extra gains, and without these, the loss would have been greater than our and consensus estimates. We still expect a rebound in net profit in 4Q24 due to the low base effect from 3Q24. We are still cautious on the petrochemical business. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt220.00.
We expect SCC to report a net loss of Bt286m, with weaker performances across all business segments and a rise in stock losses. While we expect net profit to rebound in 4Q24, the petrochemical sector remains a concern due to a slower-than-expected demand recovery and a significant increase in new supply. These supply challenges are likely to keep exerting pressure on the petrochemical business over the next 2-3 years, prompting us to remain cautious. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt250.00.
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