A strong start to the year included EBITDA and FCF above our estimates and consensus, driven by a solid operating performance, higher mobilisation income than we expected, and the reversal of an earlier recognised loss. We consider most items primarily isolated to Q1, and have made limited, but positive, estimate revisions, with few changes to its contract backlog since Q4. We reiterate our BUY and NOK30 target price.
We forecast Q1 EBITDA of USD30m versus consensus of USD33m, as we expect low utilisation of the AHTS fleet due to yard stays and other idle time during the quarter. The recent sale of Sea1 Spearfish (above our NAV) was notable, in our view, and the stock is trading at a P/NAV of 0.6x. The sizeable newbuild programme (remaining capex of cUSD400m versus current EV of USD527m) is limiting near-term FCF and creating a more back-end-loaded cash flow profile than peers. We reiterate our BUY, but have ...
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