reports
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - May 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
SE SEA ADS
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
SMM SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
333 MIDEA GROUP
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
2013 WEIMOB INC
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
2696 SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
KEX KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
OR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
1209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
PDD PINDUODUO PDD US
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
SMGR SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
SUNWAY SUNWAY BHD
ESSO ESSO THAILAND PCL
HUME HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Greater China Research Team
- Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kong Ho Meng
- Leow Huey Chuen
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Malaysia Research Team
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Singapore Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 03, 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
LH LAND & HOUSES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
002142 BANK OF NINGBO CO. LTD. CLASS A
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
AALI ASTRA AGRO LESTARI
6963 V.S. INDUSTRY
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
600660 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
QH QUALITY HOUSES
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
AP AP THAILAND
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
333 MIDEA GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
338 WEICHAI POWER
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
869 PLAYMATES TOYS LIMITED
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
09868 XPENG INC
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GENTMK GENTING BERHAD
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) - 1Q24: Net Profit Up 1.1% yoy; Slightly Below ...
Despite NIM declining by 30bp yoy and flat non-interest income, 1Q24 net profit was up 1.1% yoy (-20.6% qoq), with ROE remaining high at 19.7%, which was supported by a 19% yoy loan growth and 13bp yoy decline in CoC. Loan yield was stable at 7.7%, but CoF increased 49bp yoy. The wholesale segment’s NPL ratio improved qoq and yoy while retail’s NPL ratio inched up. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rp7,300 as we cut our earnings estimates and ROE assumptions.
- Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
- Johnny Yum
- Leow Huey Chuen
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Indonesia Daily - Friday, May 3, 2024
Strategy: Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ/SELL/Rp6,425/Target: Rp5,715): 1Q24: Within expectations. Maintain SELL as we are concerned with its flat FFB production growth, lower mill utilisation rate and weak downstream margin. Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp6,325/Target: Rp7,300): 1Q24: Net profit up 1.1% yoy, slightly below expectations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price. Trime...
AALI ASTRA AGRO LESTARI
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
PTI TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA TBK PT (ADR)
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Banking – CoF Remains Elevated Due To Liquidity Tightening
As of Feb 24, CoF remained elevated. Combined unconsolidated interest expenses of the big four banks increased 44% yoy in 2M24 while NIM contracted by 21bp in 2M24. Based on historical data, tighter liquidity could improve Indonesian banks’ NIM due to more efficient funding usage. Nevertheless, a longer-term, tighter liquidity can lower NIM. The impact could be different for individual banks, depending on the banks’ funding and asset composition. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: BBCA and BMRI.
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Jonathan Koh
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
ASEAN Banks – ASEAN Banks: Quarterly Update
OVERWEIGHT on Indonesia banks as they offer the highest earnings growth in 2024/25 and benefit from the recent rally in commodity prices. We like Singapore banks for their attractive dividend yields. Our top BUYs are DBS (Target: S$43.25), CIMB (Target: RM7.33), SCB X (Target: Bt130) and BMRI (Target: Rp7,900). We also like OCBC (Target: S$18.15), RHB (Target: RM6.18) and BBNI (Target: Rp6,300) as attractive yield plays.
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCB SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PBBANK PUBLIC BANK BERHAD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
ABMB ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
TTB TMBTHANACHART BANK PCL
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BBYB BANK NEO COMMERCE
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
BTPS BANK TABUNGAN PENSIUNAN NASIONAL SYARIAH TBK PT
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - April 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
SE SEA ADS
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
SMM SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
333 MIDEA GROUP
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
2013 WEIMOB INC
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
2696 SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
KEX KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
OR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
1209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
PDD PINDUODUO PDD US
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
SMGR SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
SUNWAY SUNWAY BHD
ESSO ESSO THAILAND PCL
HUME HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) - Lofty Valuation Despite 20% ROE; Downgrade To...
BMRI’s ROE hit 23% in 2023, up from 14.7% in 2022. The bank expects to maintain its >20% ROE and continue to gain market share by tapping its wholesale customers’ value chains and leveraging technology. Its digital app, LIVIN, has been a big growth driver with 24,600 account openings per day which increased its CASA market share to 18.4% in Nov 23. We raise our target price to Rp7,900 on the back of a lower risk-free rate, but we downgrade our rating to HOLD due its lofty valuation.
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Indonesia Daily - Monday, March 18, 2024
Semen Indonesia (SMGR IJ/BUY/Rp5,850/Target: Rp7,000): 4Q23: Net profit drops on rising COGS and SGA; results below expectations. Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/HOLD/Rp7,400/Target: Rp7,900): Lofty valuation despite 20% ROE; downgrade to HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ): Technical BUY Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ): Technical BUY
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Ceilica Su Rui
- Greater China Research Team
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Ken Lee
- Kong Ho Meng
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tham Mun Hon
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Notes - Monday, March 18, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Weaker appetite for credit could limit impact of policy easing. Sector Aviation: Airlines’ Feb 24 operating data beat our expectations on stronger-than-expected holiday effect. Near-term risk-reward appears more balanced. Upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb180.85 /Target: Rmb250.00): 4Q23: Earnings beat on margins. Maintain BUY. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$41.40/Target: HK$50.00): 4Q23: Net prof...
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - March 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
Z74 MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MAPI SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 MITRA ADIPERKASA
AP4 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
ADRO RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
601888 PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
PTTGC CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
TLKM PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ROTI PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
M4B NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
SE CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
SEA ADS
INRI COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
PTTEP-R INARI AMERTRON BHD
BAL PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
SCGB BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
KPJ SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
SMM KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
3933 SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
MINT THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
MSGB BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
IOI MAH SING GROUP BHD
CPALL TB IOI CORP BHD
ECW CP ALL
GENM ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
MAHB GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
06098 MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
01801 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
2013 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
EKO WEIMOB INC
RGB EKOVEST BHD
SCB-R RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
709 SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
FEH GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
1199 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
601138 COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
FRKN FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MRDIY MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
09988 MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09999 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
2696 NETEASE INC
KEX SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
OR KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
TIDLOR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
1209 NGERN TID LOR PCL
BUKA CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
CVL BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 CIVMEC
PDD KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 PINDUODUO PDD US
BBTN BAIDU INC
BBNI BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
EXCL BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO XL AXIATA TBK PT
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CLAS PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
SMGR CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
NATGATE SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NCKL NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
SUNWAY PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
ESSO SUNWAY BHD
HUME ESSO THAILAND PCL
09961 HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
BTG CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Banking – Loan Growth To Support Earnings Growth in 2024
Indonesian banks could sustain their lofty valuations on the back of: a) solid bank performances, b) stability after the election, and c) a resilient domestic economy. The rate cuts, which are expected to take place in 2H24, can serve as a positive catalyst as rate cuts usually have a positive impact on Indonesian banks. Following a 15% CAGR net profit in 2019-23, we expect the big four banks to deliver 11%/10% net profit growth in 2024/25 respectively. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks: BBNI, ...
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - February 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: We remain hedged, adding COSCO Shipping Holdings and Foxconn Industrial Internet to our BUY list, but include additional SELL calls on Li Auto and Xpeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24: Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Eyes Also On Results Season Winners: Our Alpha Picks performance again trounced the KLCI in Jan 24 (+9.6% vs +4.0%). Feb 24 pic...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
Z74 MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MAPI SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 MITRA ADIPERKASA
ADRO OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601888 PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
PTTGC CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
TLKM PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ROTI PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
VALUE NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
SE VALUE8 N.V.
SATS SP SEA ADS
INRI SATS LTD.
1801 INARI AMERTRON BHD
PTTEP-R INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC
BAL PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
KPJ BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SMM KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MINT SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
IOI BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPALL TB IOI CORP BHD
GENM CP ALL
2013 GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
6098 WEIMOB INC
EKO COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES
RGB EKOVEST BHD
SCB-R RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
709 SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
FEH GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
9988 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
1199 ALIBABA (9988 HK)
601138 COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
FRKN FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
2696 MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
KEX SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
OR KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
1024 PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY
1209 NGERN TID LOR PCL
9868 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
9888 XPENG INC
BUKA BAIDU INC
2015 BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL LI AUTO INC
PDD CIVMEC
9999 HK PINDUODUO PDD US
9961 NETEASE INC
BBNI TRIP.COM GROUP LTD
GOTO BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CLAS PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
SMGR CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
NATGATE SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NCKL NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
SUNWAY PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
ESSO SUNWAY BHD
HUME ESSO THAILAND PCL
HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) - 4Q23: Net Profit Up 15.6% qoq And 52.1% yoy; ...
Net profit grew strongly by 15.6% qoq and 52.1% yoy in 4Q23, bringing 2023 net profit growth to 33.7% yoy. ROE hit a new high of 23% while NPL fell to 1.2%. BMRI’s digital initiatives helped it increase its share of the CASA market to 18.4% in 2023 (2021: 16.6%). Following the strong 2023 earnings, we project a 9.4% net profit growth in 2024, mainly driven by strong loan growth and cost control. CoC will be higher, but below 2019’s 1.4%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Rp7,400.
- Johnny Yum
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24
Our portfolio delivered a 2.5% return in Jan 24, while the JCI declined 3.4% during the same period. The top gainers were BMRI (+7.4%), AKRA (+7.3%), MAPI (6.7%), BBNI (+4.5%), CTRA (+4.3%) and JSMR (+0.2%). Losers were MYOR (-8.1%) and TLKM (-2.2%). Barito Group stocks softened in Jan 24 with BREN and BRPT dropping 33.78% and 20.3% respectively. We replace TLKM with EXCL. Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA.
- Johnny Yum
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Indonesia Daily - Monday, February 5, 2024
Strategy: Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24: Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp6,675/Target: Rp7,400): 4Q23: Net profit up 15.6% qoq and 52.1% yoy; CASA market share rising. TRADERS’ CORNER Charoen Pokphand Indonesia (CPIN IJ): Technical BUY Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper (INKP IJ): Technical BUY
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
- Johnny Yum
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Kong Ho Meng
- Leow Huey Chuen
- Malaysia Research Team
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Notes - Monday, February 05, 2024
GREATER CHINA Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$12.20/Target: HK$21.60): 4Q23 results preview: Solid results on resilient smartphone margins. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24: Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. Results Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp6,675/Target: Rp7,400): 4Q23: Net profit up 15.6% qoq and 52.1% yoy; CASA market share rising. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Eyes Also On Results Season Winners: Our Alpha Picks performance again...
- Jonathan Koh
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
ASEAN Banks – ASEAN Banks: Quarterly Update
Interest rates have peaked and entered a downcycle. Indonesian banks are the biggest beneficiaries of lower interest rates and have the highest earnings growth in 2024 and 2025. Our top BUYs are OCBC (Target: S$16.85), CIMB (Target: RM6.65), SCB X (Target: Bt124) and BBNI (Target: Rp6,300). Yield plays, such as DBS (Target: S$41.65), RHB (Target: RM6.35), KTB (Target: Bt21.50) and BMRI (Target: Rp6,500), are attractive in an environment of lower bond yields.
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCB SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PBBANK PUBLIC BANK BERHAD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
ABMB ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
TTB TMBTHANACHART BANK PCL
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BBYB BANK NEO COMMERCE
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
BTPS BANK TABUNGAN PENSIUNAN NASIONAL SYARIAH TBK PT
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
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