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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indonesian Telcos Q3 24 review: Softer, expect Q4 to improve on price...

Q3 was softer across the board, with Indosat ahead on topline growth and Telkom the underperformer again. XL expanded margin for the third consecutive quarter which led to an upgraded EBITDA guidance, as expected.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile Q2 FY25 review: Renewed acceleration off tariff hike, F...

Indian mobile revenue growth accelerated to mid-teens on the back of the tariff hike in July, with EBITDA margin expansion across all three operators.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

5G FWA in EM Hold on for a massive acceleration in FWA demand, Bharti...

When Jio announced it was targeting 100m 5G FWA customers we said this was likely to be game changing for the industry globally, and so it is proving.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile Broadband upgraded as FWA takes off; Bharti price targe...

Jio’s recent FWA figures suggest India is entering an S-curve of adoption. We think this means Jio is set to capture the lion’s share of a $20bn revenue industry (by 2030). Bharti is likely to benefit strongly too.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Reliance Industries (Neutral, TP: INR 3,400, +25%) Q2 FY25 Quick Take...

Reliance Industries posted results yesterday. Jio remained the bright spot as it benefited from the tariff hike effective since July. However, weaker O2C and Retail saw revenue decelerate whilst EBITDA was lower due to the fall in O2C product margins. Notwithstanding this, momentum is building up for Jio AirFiber as FWA additions accelerated and commentary suggests that Retail sales is picking up in October leading up to the festive period.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Telcos Jio targeting doubling in size and 1m monthly adds for FWA ...

What's New: At Reliance Industries’ AGM last week, Jio announced 2 key things, and did not announce a 3rd: What was announced: 1. A doubling of Jio’s profitability in 3-4 years 2. Target of 1m FWA adds per month What was not announced: 1. A time line for Jio IPO Our thoughts and implications for the Indian & Global telco markets below

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indonesian Telcos Q2 24 review: Continued margin expansion from XL an...

Indonesian telcos returned to a more sustainable pace of revenue growth, with EBITDA ahead of topline for XL and Indosat again. As a result, Indosat recorded its highest ever EBITDA margin whilst XL’s margin remained well ahead of guidance. For Telkomsel, enterprise accelerated with strong Indihome net additions but was marred by continued mobile revenue share dilution (although easing) as peers grabbed shares in ex-Java.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Reliance Industries (Neutral, INR 3,400 from INR 3,270, +12%) Deeper ...

As speculation mounts that the Jio IPO is forthcoming we carry out a deep dive analysis on the major drivers. We value Jio at US$ 119bn. The IPO is set to spark intense interest in Indian mobile.

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