With Vopak initiating some large new investments in recent years, investors should prepare for an acceleration in EBITDA growth, which together with improved financial KPIs should act as drivers for a re-rating of the shares in the coming 6-12 months, we believe. First, following a period of strategic divestments, Vopak is now well equipped for the years to come with a stronger return profile of its portfolio. Second, cash conversion has improved and should continue to be strong with promising p...
Yesterday, Energynow.ca published an article on the withdrawal of support by the Metlakatla First Nation citizens of Canada. Supposedly the Metlakatla First Nation's decision to retract its backing for the nearly completed REEF export project is rooted in concerns that it was not informed of an exclusivity agreement granting REEF an export monopoly, which could harm its economic interests in the rival Trigon terminal where it holds a 10% stake. A recent BC Supreme Court ruling allowing Metlakatl...
After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...
For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...
While we do not deny the uncertainties and risks associated with artificial intelligence (pricing pressures, organisational change, etc.), we remain constructive on this issue, given the significant volume opportunities in prospect for the sector with the integration of agentic AI. Moreover, improving growth momentum in 2026 should reduce pressure on sector valuations (discount >30% vs Stoxx 600 vs a premium of 10% four years ago). On this basis, we have upgraded Bechtle (Outperform vs Neutral),...
Sans nier les incertitudes et risques liés à l’IA (pressions tarifaires, changements organisationnels, etc.), nous restons constructifs sur cette thématique tant les opportunités de volumes autour de l’intégration de l’IA agentique sont importantes pour le secteur. D’autant plus que l’amélioration de la dynamique de croissance en 2026 devrait permettre de réduire la pression sur les valorisations du secteur (décote >30% vs Stoxx 600 contre une prime de 10% il y a 4 ans). Dans ce contexte, nous r...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...
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