Following the attack on Iran by the US and Israel late last month which targeted key military sites and strategic infrastructure, as well as a retaliation by Iran, there have been structural shifts in the oil & gas and energy markets. In this report, we discuss the effects of these structural shifts, as well as the impact of the conflict on global supply chains and our coverage universe.
Sasol reported weak but acceptable H1/25-26 numbers, as higher volumes across businesses were offset by soft pricing. The company recorded several impairments and was impacted by certain one-off issues, including the shutdown of an ethylene terminal for TAR. Several cost-saving and business restructuring programmes were initiated and have already yielded results, although these involved one-off costs. Cash-flow generation was somewhat weak, but should improve thanks to working-capital reversal. ...
While macroeconomic events were relatively subdued at the end of the month, CEEMEA corporates generated a wave of significant credit news: Sasol, Sibanye Stillwater, and WE Soda reported stronger-than-expected results, while Turk Telekom finalised its long-awaited licence concession agreement with the Turkish telecoms regulator. The upcoming week features key macroeconomic data releases, including US labour market figures. The geopolitical calendar will also be active, with China hosting politic...
Sasol has reported weak FY 2024-25 results, albeit there was underlying improvement in some businesses. Cash flow was decent, with moderately positive FCF. Looking ahead, the macroeconomic landscape is challenging, although the outlook is for a gradual improvement in earnings, cash flow and net debt on the back of cost optimisation, a focus on mix and robust capital management. Liquidity is adequate, and Sasol has solid market access. We maintain our "Hold" recommendation on the bonds.
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