The focus looks set to remain on US trade policy and tariff noise, with macro data taking a back seat. EM credit should remain resilient amid the noise, although valuations look fairly tight for most names. We have reviewed operating results of Turkish renewable energy companies and decided to add Zoren Enerji Bonds to our trade ideas lists with an 11.0% yield target.
The focus looks set to remain on US trade policy and tariff noise, with macro data taking a back seat. EM credit should remain resilient amid the noise, although valuations look fairly tight for most names. We have reviewed operating results of Turkish renewable energy companies and decided to add Zoren Enerji Bonds to our trade ideas lists with an 11.0% yield target.
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Guala Closures, House of HR, Itelyum Group, TeamSystem, Fedrigoni, Forgital, Canpack, Cirsa, International Personal Finance, La Doria, Polynt, Samvardhana Motherson, Grupo Antolin, Sasol, Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Odigeo, Adler Pelzer
The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.
The trade war de-escalation has offered some breathing space for investors and driven positive sentiment, but we expect headline volatility to continue. Much of the focus will also be on geopolitical developments. In this report we have reviewed a large number of Turkish non-financial corporates, added the idea to buy SGLSJ'29 and closed the idea to buy WE SODA.
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: TK Elevator, Verisure, Arxada, Modulaire, Omnia Technologies, Eircom, Iliad, Travelodge, Advanz Pharma, Trivium, Cheplapharm, Teva, Biofarma, Biogroup, AMS Osram, Ardagh, ASK Chemicals, Rino Mastrotto, Scan Global Logistics, Sasol
Trade tensions continue to whipsaw the credit markets, while the focus is now more intensely on the potential slowdown in economic growth in the US. We would still prefer to be positioned relatively cautiously despite the spread widening YTD, given the potential for further volatility and headline noise.
Sasol has reported weak H1/24-25 results, driven by impairments and low volumes against a challenging macro backdrop. The margins weakened, albeit somewhat supported by a better mix and decreased costs. Cash-flow development strengthened, but remained weak. The company foresees some sequential improvement in H2, though medium-term risks persist.
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