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Niklas Wetterling
  • Niklas Wetterling

Sveafastigheter (Buy, TP: SEK45.00) - Last quarter until costs normali...

We believe Q4 results will include one-off costs in relation to bringing in-house the final externally managed properties. We believe the market is looking for a track record for the company’s normalised cost base before a repricing could materialise – we expect this to happen in 2025–2026. We reiterate our BUY, while cutting our target price to SEK45 (47) due to an interest rate uptick.

Niklas Wetterling
  • Niklas Wetterling

Sveafastigheter - Initiation of coverage - Two-in-one

We believe Sveafastigheter standalone could get back to creating value in its sizeable residential development business and reinvest earnings from its SEK24.5bn portfolio of rent-regulated apartments. In our view, the segment is nearing an inflection point, backed by non-cyclical demand and our expectation of above-CPI rent increases for several years. The stock is trading at a 54% discount to NAV (sector average: 23%), which looks attractive given its 43% LTV and renewed balance sheet. We initi...

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