 
                                                                                Top Stories Company Update | Bumitama Agri (BAL SP/HOLD/S$1.28/Target: S$1.20) We expect BAL’s results to fare better in 3Q25, supported by higher production as well as firmer ASPs. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of S$1.20 from S$0.90 previously. Company Update | Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$6.53/Target: S$6.03) SIA’s Sep 25 pax load was in line with our expectations, up 3.7% yoy, but cargo load missed, down 3.8% yoy, partly due to Typhoon Ragasa affecting SIA’s East Asia operat...
 
                                                                                Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s auto sector faces a geopolitical bind: Europe demands tech transfers for new investments, while China restricts such transfers. We see no earnings impact from the EU’s tech transfer requirement, but that allows first movers like CATL to enjoy unrivalled advantages. China raises market access requirements for automakers, targeting inexperienced players. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Small/Mid Ca...
 
                                                                                SIA’s Sep 25 pax load was in line with our expectations, up 3.7% yoy, but cargo load missed, down 3.8% yoy, partly due to Typhoon Ragasa affecting SIA’s East Asia operations. We cut our 2QFY26 earnings forecast for SIA to S$30m-130m, a significant drop yoy and qoq, as we expect Air India to be an even more significant drag to SIA in this quarter due to weak seasonality and some temporary operation adjustments. Maintain SELL on SIA. Target price: S$6.03.
 
                                                                                Top Stories Company Update | Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$6.51/Target: S$6.05) SIA’s Aug 25 operating data were broadly in line with our expectations, with pax load and cargo rising 5.4% and 0.5% yoy respectively. We forecast 2QFY25 earnings at S$100m-200m, representing a significant yoy drop mainly due to major earnings drags from Air India, which is expected to remain in a loss-making position. Given the expected earnings decline in FY26, we reckon market sentiments towards SIA will sta...
 
                                                                                Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s economic activity weakened further in Aug 25. Industrial production grew 5.2% yoy (-0.5ppt) while retail sales slowed to 3.4% yoy (-0.3ppt). Fixed asset investment growth also declined to 0.5% yoy (-1.1ppt), dragged by a sharp 12.9% yoy (-0.9ppt) decline in property investment. The unemployment rate rose to 5.3% (+0.1ppt). Data missed expectations across the board, reflecting fragile domestic demand and weak consumer confidence. We expect furt...
 
                                                                                SIA’s Aug 25 operating data were broadly in line with our expectations, with pax load and cargo rising 5.4% and 0.5% yoy respectively. We forecast 2QFY25 earnings at S$100m-200m, representing a significant yoy drop mainly due to major earnings drags from Air India, which is expected to remain in a loss-making position. Given the expected earnings decline in FY26, we reckon market sentiments towards SIA will stay subdued. Maintain SELL on SIA, with an updated target price of S$6.05 (previously S$...
 
                                                                                Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
 
                                                                                Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
 
                                                                                KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP/BUY/S$0.91/Target: S$1.56): 2Q25: Portfolio reconstitution through expansion in living sector and AEI. Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE SP/BUY/US$0.22/Target: US$0.24): 1H25: Gradually restoring payout ratio. Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$7.04/Target: S$6.03): 1QFY26: Results a major miss due to cost pressure and Air India drag. Downgrade to SELL. TRADERS’ CORNER Hongkong Land Holdings (HKL SP): Trading BUY Wilmar International (WI...
 
                                                                                GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
 
                                                                                SIA’s 1QFY26 reported net profit of S$186m (-58.8% yoy, -54.6% qoq) was a major miss against our guided range of S$400m-500m. The miss was mainly driven by three factors: a) higher-than-projected non-fuel opex, b) larger-than-expected drop in interest income, and c) heavier-than-projected loss of Air India. All these factors should largely persist for the rest of FY25. We cut our FY26-28 earnings forecasts by 30%/18%/21%, respectively. Downgrade SIA to SELL. Target price of S$6.03.
 
                                                                                KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.87/Target: S$6.63): May 25 operating data in line. Recent industry events have mixed impacts on SIA. Maintain HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY Singapore Airlines (SIA SP): Trading SELL
 
                                                                                GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
 
                                                                                SIA’s May 25 operating data were in line with expectations, with pax and cargo loads rising 3.1% and 4.2% yoy respectively. We forecast that SIA would deliver a steady 1QFY26 core net profit of S$400m-500m, broadly comparable yoy. The closure of Jetstar Asia presents an opportunity for SIA/Scoot to capture additional market share at Changi Airport. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pose upside risks to jet fuel prices. Maintain HOLD on SIA with a target price of S$6.63.
 
                                                                                KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.90/Target: S$6.63): FY25: Headline earnings in line but core missed; expect earnings to moderate in FY26. TRADERS’ CORNER Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP): Trading BUY Parkway Life Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT SP): Trading BUY
 
                                                                                GREATER CHINA Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb19.22/Target: Rmb25.30) 2Q25 guidance in line; GB200/GB300 smooth production ramp as the key driver for 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy JCI rallies from global tailwinds Market rebound gains momentum amid global tailwinds and rate cut hopes. MALAYSIA Results Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.76/Target: RM4.20) 1Q25: Strong set of results; earnings d...
 
                                                                                4QFY25’s headline net profit of S$410m (-29% yoy) was in line with our guidance of S$400m. However, stripping out one-off items, including a sizeable reversal of tax overprovision, FY25 core net profit missed our projection. The final DPS of 30 S cents was a positive surprise, but this level of dividend is likely unsustainable. Despite support from benign fuel prices, FY26 net profit is likely to be dragged by full-year negative contributions from associate Air India. Maintain HOLD. Target: S$6....
 
                                                                                GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: 1Q25 growth tops estimates as stimuli gain traction. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Sidestepping Trump’s tariffs: Prefer domestic names. Top pick: JBM Healthcare. Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales surge continues, BYD leads as competition escalates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Results China State Construction Engineering Corporation (601668 CH/BUY/Rmb5.48 /Target: Rmb6.61): 2024 earnings below expectation...
 
                                                                                Mar 25 pax load dropped 0.8% yoy while cargo load rose 2.0% yoy. We keep our 4QFY25 net profit forecast at S$400m, down 30% yoy and 24% qoq. The recent sharp drop in jet fuel prices would support SIA’s FY26 financial performance, leading to a 17% lift in our FY26 earnings forecast. Cargo faces more uncertainties in the medium term, but 1QFY26 may benefit from Asia ex-China’s shipment frontloading ahead of US tariff uncertainties. Maintain HOLD. Target price:S$6.22.
 
                                                                                KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 1Q25 results preview: Calm before the storm. Update Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.35/Target: S$6.22) Expect yoy softer 4QFY25 earnings; FY26 to benefit from weak fuel prices. Maintain HOLD. MONTHLY TECHNICAL - INDICES OUTLOOK FTSE Straits Times Index (STI IND): Price remains bullish
 
    
 
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