Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP/BUY/S$0.91/Target: S$1.56): 2Q25: Portfolio reconstitution through expansion in living sector and AEI. Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE SP/BUY/US$0.22/Target: US$0.24): 1H25: Gradually restoring payout ratio. Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$7.04/Target: S$6.03): 1QFY26: Results a major miss due to cost pressure and Air India drag. Downgrade to SELL. TRADERS’ CORNER Hongkong Land Holdings (HKL SP): Trading BUY Wilmar International (WI...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
SIA’s 1QFY26 reported net profit of S$186m (-58.8% yoy, -54.6% qoq) was a major miss against our guided range of S$400m-500m. The miss was mainly driven by three factors: a) higher-than-projected non-fuel opex, b) larger-than-expected drop in interest income, and c) heavier-than-projected loss of Air India. All these factors should largely persist for the rest of FY25. We cut our FY26-28 earnings forecasts by 30%/18%/21%, respectively. Downgrade SIA to SELL. Target price of S$6.03.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.87/Target: S$6.63): May 25 operating data in line. Recent industry events have mixed impacts on SIA. Maintain HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY Singapore Airlines (SIA SP): Trading SELL
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
SIA’s May 25 operating data were in line with expectations, with pax and cargo loads rising 3.1% and 4.2% yoy respectively. We forecast that SIA would deliver a steady 1QFY26 core net profit of S$400m-500m, broadly comparable yoy. The closure of Jetstar Asia presents an opportunity for SIA/Scoot to capture additional market share at Changi Airport. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pose upside risks to jet fuel prices. Maintain HOLD on SIA with a target price of S$6.63.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.90/Target: S$6.63): FY25: Headline earnings in line but core missed; expect earnings to moderate in FY26. TRADERS’ CORNER Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP): Trading BUY Parkway Life Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb19.22/Target: Rmb25.30) 2Q25 guidance in line; GB200/GB300 smooth production ramp as the key driver for 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy JCI rallies from global tailwinds Market rebound gains momentum amid global tailwinds and rate cut hopes. MALAYSIA Results Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.76/Target: RM4.20) 1Q25: Strong set of results; earnings d...
4QFY25’s headline net profit of S$410m (-29% yoy) was in line with our guidance of S$400m. However, stripping out one-off items, including a sizeable reversal of tax overprovision, FY25 core net profit missed our projection. The final DPS of 30 S cents was a positive surprise, but this level of dividend is likely unsustainable. Despite support from benign fuel prices, FY26 net profit is likely to be dragged by full-year negative contributions from associate Air India. Maintain HOLD. Target: S$6....
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: 1Q25 growth tops estimates as stimuli gain traction. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Sidestepping Trump’s tariffs: Prefer domestic names. Top pick: JBM Healthcare. Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales surge continues, BYD leads as competition escalates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Results China State Construction Engineering Corporation (601668 CH/BUY/Rmb5.48 /Target: Rmb6.61): 2024 earnings below expectation...
Mar 25 pax load dropped 0.8% yoy while cargo load rose 2.0% yoy. We keep our 4QFY25 net profit forecast at S$400m, down 30% yoy and 24% qoq. The recent sharp drop in jet fuel prices would support SIA’s FY26 financial performance, leading to a 17% lift in our FY26 earnings forecast. Cargo faces more uncertainties in the medium term, but 1QFY26 may benefit from Asia ex-China’s shipment frontloading ahead of US tariff uncertainties. Maintain HOLD. Target price:S$6.22.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 1Q25 results preview: Calm before the storm. Update Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.35/Target: S$6.22) Expect yoy softer 4QFY25 earnings; FY26 to benefit from weak fuel prices. Maintain HOLD. MONTHLY TECHNICAL - INDICES OUTLOOK FTSE Straits Times Index (STI IND): Price remains bullish
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small Mid Cap: Identifying stocks that could benefit from MAS’ S$5b liquidity boost. Results Seatrium (STM SP/BUY/S$2.38/Target: S$2.96): 2024: After seven long years, STM is back in the black. Maintain BUY with a slightly higher target price of S$2.96. SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$3.30/Target: S$3.86): 3QFY25: A slight miss; expect some uncertainties for cargo in FY26. Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.55/Target: S$6.09): 3QFY25: Results in line; pax yield moderation to conti...
SIA’s 3QFY25 core net profit of S$528m (-14.8% yoy, +76.7% qoq) came in within guided range of S$500m-600m, at the lower part. 3QFY25 pax yield (-5.1% yoy) was slightly better than expected, but its positive impact on earnings was largely offset by higher-than-expected non-fuel cost per unit of capacity. Management expects pax and cargo yield moderation to continue into FY26, but pace of pax yield moderation is likely to be slower than that in FY25. Upgrade SIA to HOLD. Target price: S$6.09.
GREATER CHINA Update China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$41.20/Target: HK$49.00) 4Q24 preliminary results: Every cloud has a silver lining. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.18/Target: HK$12.00) Management expects IDG business’ growth to accelerate in 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp384/Target: Rp480) New cooperation with XPENG and HONOR; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Gamuda (GAM MK/BUY/RM...
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