Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs S-REITs would be active in asset recycling in 2026, supported by depressed domestic interest rates. M&A activities could be a positive surprise. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs: FLT (Target: S$1.22), LREIT (Target: S$0.81), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: S$1.42). Company Results | CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP/BUY/S$0.98/Target: S$1.42) Portfolio RevPAU increased 2% yoy to S$180 in 4Q25 as occupancy improved 2ppt yoy to 83%. Portfolio...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
We lift our 3QFY26 earnings forecast for SIA to S$450m-530m, driven by: a) in-line operating statistics, b) earlier-thanexpected pax yield stabilisation, and c) favourable jet fuel prices in late-Nov to Dec 25. Our estimate represents a significant qoq rebound from 2QFY26’s low of S$52m. Current consensus FY26 earnings estimate is likely on the low side and poised for upward revisions. Backed by 4% yields in FY26/27, we upgrade SIA to HOLD, with a higher target price of S$6.16.
Top Stories Company Update | Hong Leong Asia (HLA SP/BUY/S$2.13/Target: S$2.82) A recent site visit highlights HLA's exposure to Singapore's construction demand. Key updates include an AI pilot programme to improve efficiency and a material growth opportunity in diesel gensets for data centres. Maintain BUY with a target price of S$2.82. Market Spotlight • US stocks were higher on Tuesday, with all three major indexes advancing as the healthcare, consumer discretionary and communication service...
Summary Marketline's AirAsia Berhad Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by AirAsia Berhad - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments repor...
Top Stories Company Results | First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$2.05/Target: S$2.30) FR reported 9M25 earnings of US$240m which came in above both our and market expectations. Production is on track to hit management’s growth forecast of 20-25% in 2025, boosted by the fresh acquisition of ANJ’s assets, whereas 4Q25 is expected to be the peak production quarter this year. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$2.30 (from S$1.97), based on 10x 2026F PE. Company Results | SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$3.4...
2QFY26 earnings of S$52m (-82% yoy, -72% qoq) were in line with our expectations. Air India’s loss was larger than expected, while SIA’s operating profit was better than expected. We cut our FY26-28 earnings forecasts by 7-12% to reflect the updated Air India loss projections and recent rebound in jet fuel prices. SIA’s new capital return plan (paying 10 S cents special dividend p.a. over FY26-28) leads to our updated FY26-28 yield forecasts of 3.7%. Maintain SELL. Target price: S$6.10.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Our Alpha Picks portfolio gained 8.5% mom in Oct 25, outperforming the STI’s 3.0%. Strength came from MPM, RSTON and CSE. For Nov 25, we add CIT and ASL as BUYs and introduce SIA as a short candidate. The portfolio remains poised for expected EQDP-driven flows into small-/mid-cap names in the next few months.
Top Stories Company Update | Bumitama Agri (BAL SP/HOLD/S$1.28/Target: S$1.20) We expect BAL’s results to fare better in 3Q25, supported by higher production as well as firmer ASPs. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of S$1.20 from S$0.90 previously. Company Update | Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$6.53/Target: S$6.03) SIA’s Sep 25 pax load was in line with our expectations, up 3.7% yoy, but cargo load missed, down 3.8% yoy, partly due to Typhoon Ragasa affecting SIA’s East Asia operat...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s auto sector faces a geopolitical bind: Europe demands tech transfers for new investments, while China restricts such transfers. We see no earnings impact from the EU’s tech transfer requirement, but that allows first movers like CATL to enjoy unrivalled advantages. China raises market access requirements for automakers, targeting inexperienced players. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Small/Mid Ca...
SIA’s Sep 25 pax load was in line with our expectations, up 3.7% yoy, but cargo load missed, down 3.8% yoy, partly due to Typhoon Ragasa affecting SIA’s East Asia operations. We cut our 2QFY26 earnings forecast for SIA to S$30m-130m, a significant drop yoy and qoq, as we expect Air India to be an even more significant drag to SIA in this quarter due to weak seasonality and some temporary operation adjustments. Maintain SELL on SIA. Target price: S$6.03.
Top Stories Company Update | Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$6.51/Target: S$6.05) SIA’s Aug 25 operating data were broadly in line with our expectations, with pax load and cargo rising 5.4% and 0.5% yoy respectively. We forecast 2QFY25 earnings at S$100m-200m, representing a significant yoy drop mainly due to major earnings drags from Air India, which is expected to remain in a loss-making position. Given the expected earnings decline in FY26, we reckon market sentiments towards SIA will sta...
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s economic activity weakened further in Aug 25. Industrial production grew 5.2% yoy (-0.5ppt) while retail sales slowed to 3.4% yoy (-0.3ppt). Fixed asset investment growth also declined to 0.5% yoy (-1.1ppt), dragged by a sharp 12.9% yoy (-0.9ppt) decline in property investment. The unemployment rate rose to 5.3% (+0.1ppt). Data missed expectations across the board, reflecting fragile domestic demand and weak consumer confidence. We expect furt...
SIA’s Aug 25 operating data were broadly in line with our expectations, with pax load and cargo rising 5.4% and 0.5% yoy respectively. We forecast 2QFY25 earnings at S$100m-200m, representing a significant yoy drop mainly due to major earnings drags from Air India, which is expected to remain in a loss-making position. Given the expected earnings decline in FY26, we reckon market sentiments towards SIA will stay subdued. Maintain SELL on SIA, with an updated target price of S$6.05 (previously S$...
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP/BUY/S$0.91/Target: S$1.56): 2Q25: Portfolio reconstitution through expansion in living sector and AEI. Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE SP/BUY/US$0.22/Target: US$0.24): 1H25: Gradually restoring payout ratio. Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$7.04/Target: S$6.03): 1QFY26: Results a major miss due to cost pressure and Air India drag. Downgrade to SELL. TRADERS’ CORNER Hongkong Land Holdings (HKL SP): Trading BUY Wilmar International (WI...
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