Top Stories Company Update | Hong Leong Asia (HLA SP/BUY/S$2.13/Target: S$2.82) A recent site visit highlights HLA's exposure to Singapore's construction demand. Key updates include an AI pilot programme to improve efficiency and a material growth opportunity in diesel gensets for data centres. Maintain BUY with a target price of S$2.82. Market Spotlight • US stocks were higher on Tuesday, with all three major indexes advancing as the healthcare, consumer discretionary and communication service...
Top Stories Company Results | First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$2.05/Target: S$2.30) FR reported 9M25 earnings of US$240m which came in above both our and market expectations. Production is on track to hit management’s growth forecast of 20-25% in 2025, boosted by the fresh acquisition of ANJ’s assets, whereas 4Q25 is expected to be the peak production quarter this year. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$2.30 (from S$1.97), based on 10x 2026F PE. Company Results | SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$3.4...
2QFY26 earnings of S$52m (-82% yoy, -72% qoq) were in line with our expectations. Air India’s loss was larger than expected, while SIA’s operating profit was better than expected. We cut our FY26-28 earnings forecasts by 7-12% to reflect the updated Air India loss projections and recent rebound in jet fuel prices. SIA’s new capital return plan (paying 10 S cents special dividend p.a. over FY26-28) leads to our updated FY26-28 yield forecasts of 3.7%. Maintain SELL. Target price: S$6.10.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Our Alpha Picks portfolio gained 8.5% mom in Oct 25, outperforming the STI’s 3.0%. Strength came from MPM, RSTON and CSE. For Nov 25, we add CIT and ASL as BUYs and introduce SIA as a short candidate. The portfolio remains poised for expected EQDP-driven flows into small-/mid-cap names in the next few months.
Top Stories Company Update | Bumitama Agri (BAL SP/HOLD/S$1.28/Target: S$1.20) We expect BAL’s results to fare better in 3Q25, supported by higher production as well as firmer ASPs. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of S$1.20 from S$0.90 previously. Company Update | Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$6.53/Target: S$6.03) SIA’s Sep 25 pax load was in line with our expectations, up 3.7% yoy, but cargo load missed, down 3.8% yoy, partly due to Typhoon Ragasa affecting SIA’s East Asia operat...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s auto sector faces a geopolitical bind: Europe demands tech transfers for new investments, while China restricts such transfers. We see no earnings impact from the EU’s tech transfer requirement, but that allows first movers like CATL to enjoy unrivalled advantages. China raises market access requirements for automakers, targeting inexperienced players. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Small/Mid Ca...
SIA’s Sep 25 pax load was in line with our expectations, up 3.7% yoy, but cargo load missed, down 3.8% yoy, partly due to Typhoon Ragasa affecting SIA’s East Asia operations. We cut our 2QFY26 earnings forecast for SIA to S$30m-130m, a significant drop yoy and qoq, as we expect Air India to be an even more significant drag to SIA in this quarter due to weak seasonality and some temporary operation adjustments. Maintain SELL on SIA. Target price: S$6.03.
Top Stories Company Update | Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$6.51/Target: S$6.05) SIA’s Aug 25 operating data were broadly in line with our expectations, with pax load and cargo rising 5.4% and 0.5% yoy respectively. We forecast 2QFY25 earnings at S$100m-200m, representing a significant yoy drop mainly due to major earnings drags from Air India, which is expected to remain in a loss-making position. Given the expected earnings decline in FY26, we reckon market sentiments towards SIA will sta...
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s economic activity weakened further in Aug 25. Industrial production grew 5.2% yoy (-0.5ppt) while retail sales slowed to 3.4% yoy (-0.3ppt). Fixed asset investment growth also declined to 0.5% yoy (-1.1ppt), dragged by a sharp 12.9% yoy (-0.9ppt) decline in property investment. The unemployment rate rose to 5.3% (+0.1ppt). Data missed expectations across the board, reflecting fragile domestic demand and weak consumer confidence. We expect furt...
SIA’s Aug 25 operating data were broadly in line with our expectations, with pax load and cargo rising 5.4% and 0.5% yoy respectively. We forecast 2QFY25 earnings at S$100m-200m, representing a significant yoy drop mainly due to major earnings drags from Air India, which is expected to remain in a loss-making position. Given the expected earnings decline in FY26, we reckon market sentiments towards SIA will stay subdued. Maintain SELL on SIA, with an updated target price of S$6.05 (previously S$...
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP/BUY/S$0.91/Target: S$1.56): 2Q25: Portfolio reconstitution through expansion in living sector and AEI. Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE SP/BUY/US$0.22/Target: US$0.24): 1H25: Gradually restoring payout ratio. Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$7.04/Target: S$6.03): 1QFY26: Results a major miss due to cost pressure and Air India drag. Downgrade to SELL. TRADERS’ CORNER Hongkong Land Holdings (HKL SP): Trading BUY Wilmar International (WI...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
SIA’s 1QFY26 reported net profit of S$186m (-58.8% yoy, -54.6% qoq) was a major miss against our guided range of S$400m-500m. The miss was mainly driven by three factors: a) higher-than-projected non-fuel opex, b) larger-than-expected drop in interest income, and c) heavier-than-projected loss of Air India. All these factors should largely persist for the rest of FY25. We cut our FY26-28 earnings forecasts by 30%/18%/21%, respectively. Downgrade SIA to SELL. Target price of S$6.03.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.87/Target: S$6.63): May 25 operating data in line. Recent industry events have mixed impacts on SIA. Maintain HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY Singapore Airlines (SIA SP): Trading SELL
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
SIA’s May 25 operating data were in line with expectations, with pax and cargo loads rising 3.1% and 4.2% yoy respectively. We forecast that SIA would deliver a steady 1QFY26 core net profit of S$400m-500m, broadly comparable yoy. The closure of Jetstar Asia presents an opportunity for SIA/Scoot to capture additional market share at Changi Airport. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pose upside risks to jet fuel prices. Maintain HOLD on SIA with a target price of S$6.63.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/HOLD/S$6.90/Target: S$6.63): FY25: Headline earnings in line but core missed; expect earnings to moderate in FY26. TRADERS’ CORNER Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP): Trading BUY Parkway Life Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT SP): Trading BUY
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