KBANK reported 2Q25 earnings of Bt12.5b (-1% yoy, -9% qoq). The results beat our forecast by 9% but fell in line with market expectations. KBANK expects credit costs to exceed the 2025 target of 140-160bp and land at 160-165bp. In 2Q25, credit costs rose qoq, partly from adding management overlay as a cushion against future uncertainties. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt185.00. KBANK is our top banking pick.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt185.00) 2Q25: Results in line with market forecasts; provision expenses increased qoq. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt48.00/Target: Bt50.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations; provisions declined yoy and qoq. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.40/Target: Bt24.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment gains boosted a strong bottom line. SCB X (SCB TB/HOLD/Bt121.00/Target: Bt134.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment and trading incom...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Channel check on Guangzhou’s and Shenzhen’s primary residential markets; 1H25 earnings preview for Longfor. INDONESIA Sector Banking: 1H25 results preview: Diverging earnings growth. MALAYSIA Sector Renewable Energy: PETRA announced the approval of 180.8MW of FIT RE projects and EPCC jobs worth RM1.87b. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Tenaga, Malakoff and Pekat. Results CapitaLand Malaysia Trust (CLMT MK/BUY/RM0.65/Target: RM0.78): Q25: Results in line. The stock...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
The BOT attended our seminar to provide our clients with Thailand's economic outlook for 2H25. The BOT has revised its 2025 GDP forecast from 2.0% to 2.3% in the meeting. It foresees a softening of exports in 3Q25, due to the front-loading of exports in 1H25. The PM has been suspended, with a caretaker in charge, but there should be no impact on 2026’s budget. We highlight four sectors related to the BOT event. Top picks: KBANK, MTC, CPALL and STECON.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
KBANK reported 1Q25 earnings of Bt13.8b (+2% yoy, +28% qoq). The results beat our forecast by 16% and market expectations by 9%. Management maintains its 2025 financial targets guidance. However, we raise its provision expenses given the uncertainties surrounding the US tariffs. We have factored in the expected policy rate of 1.5%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt175.00. A special dividend will help to limit its share price’s downside. KBANK is our top banking pick
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt148.50/Target: Bt175.00) 1Q25: Results beat expectation; a significant decrease in credit costs. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt50.00/Target: Bt48.00) 1Q25: Results miss market expectations; provisions jump yoy and qoq. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt112.50/Target: Bt130.00) 1Q25: Results in line; intends to maintain a high dividend payout ratio.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Supportive policy remarks by Premier Li Qiang point to further upside; upcoming Politburo meeting to be an important policy window. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: HK$68.00) 1Q25: Earnings up 46% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68.00. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb24.27/Target: Rmb32.20) 1Q25: Net pro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
GREATER CHINA Results Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK/HOLD/HK$10.90/Target: HK$11.20) 2024: Results slightly miss our forecast but a solid beat of consensus estimates. Yields to moderate further in 2025. Maintain HOLD. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Rukun Raharja (RAJA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp2,260) Leveraging stability in oil & gas business. MALAYSIA Results Bermaz Auto (BAUTO MK/HOLD/RM1.04/Target: RM1.00) 9MFY25: Results below e...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: Add AIA, CR Land, Haier and Han’s Laser to our BUY list. Take profit on Crystal, Geely, Trip.com and Weimob. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Underperformance In Jan 25: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Spotlight On The Upcoming Results Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Jan 25. Feb 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, Kossan, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, VSI...
We came away from the annual analyst and fund manager meeting with a neutral view. The CEO announced KBANK’s 2025 financial year targets which include normalised credit cost and flat loan growth. Furthermore, KBANK set a target to achieve doubledigit ROE in 2026. We anticipate seeing a higher dividend payout ratio. However, the CEO assured that the bank does not plan to do a stock repurchase this year. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt190.00.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Observations of 2025 Chinese New Year: Weakened new-home sales in Jan 25 and low growth in tourists to Hong Kong; further policy support is needed and possible. Sector Healthcare: CRDMO leaders take a temporary reprieve, aiming faster growth in 2025. INDONESIA Strategy Trade War Begins: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, CMRY, KLBF, SIDO, CTRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks...
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