GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
KBANK reported 1Q25 earnings of Bt13.8b (+2% yoy, +28% qoq). The results beat our forecast by 16% and market expectations by 9%. Management maintains its 2025 financial targets guidance. However, we raise its provision expenses given the uncertainties surrounding the US tariffs. We have factored in the expected policy rate of 1.5%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt175.00. A special dividend will help to limit its share price’s downside. KBANK is our top banking pick
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt148.50/Target: Bt175.00) 1Q25: Results beat expectation; a significant decrease in credit costs. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt50.00/Target: Bt48.00) 1Q25: Results miss market expectations; provisions jump yoy and qoq. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt112.50/Target: Bt130.00) 1Q25: Results in line; intends to maintain a high dividend payout ratio.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Supportive policy remarks by Premier Li Qiang point to further upside; upcoming Politburo meeting to be an important policy window. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: HK$68.00) 1Q25: Earnings up 46% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68.00. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb24.27/Target: Rmb32.20) 1Q25: Net pro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
GREATER CHINA Results Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK/HOLD/HK$10.90/Target: HK$11.20) 2024: Results slightly miss our forecast but a solid beat of consensus estimates. Yields to moderate further in 2025. Maintain HOLD. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Rukun Raharja (RAJA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp2,260) Leveraging stability in oil & gas business. MALAYSIA Results Bermaz Auto (BAUTO MK/HOLD/RM1.04/Target: RM1.00) 9MFY25: Results below e...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: Add AIA, CR Land, Haier and Han’s Laser to our BUY list. Take profit on Crystal, Geely, Trip.com and Weimob. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Underperformance In Jan 25: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Spotlight On The Upcoming Results Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Jan 25. Feb 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, Kossan, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, VSI...
We came away from the annual analyst and fund manager meeting with a neutral view. The CEO announced KBANK’s 2025 financial year targets which include normalised credit cost and flat loan growth. Furthermore, KBANK set a target to achieve doubledigit ROE in 2026. We anticipate seeing a higher dividend payout ratio. However, the CEO assured that the bank does not plan to do a stock repurchase this year. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt190.00.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Observations of 2025 Chinese New Year: Weakened new-home sales in Jan 25 and low growth in tourists to Hong Kong; further policy support is needed and possible. Sector Healthcare: CRDMO leaders take a temporary reprieve, aiming faster growth in 2025. INDONESIA Strategy Trade War Begins: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, CMRY, KLBF, SIDO, CTRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks...
KBANK reported 4Q24 earnings of Bt10.5b (+12% yoy, -12% qoq). The results are in line with our forecast but exceed market expectation by 9%. Strong non-II boosted the overall performance. A qoq increase in credit cost raises our concerns but KBANK will likely maintain a normalised credit cost in 2025. We expect KBANK to maintain good asset quality in 2025. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Bt190.00. KBANK is one of our top picks in the banking sector.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt151.50/Target: Bt170.00) 4Q24: Results in line with expectations; a significant drop in NPL ratio qoq. Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt190.00) 4Q24: Results exceed market expectations; maintain normalised credit cost. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt21.80/Target: Bt25.50) 4Q24: Results in line; big drop in credit costs signalling good asset quality. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt121.50/Target: Bt140.00) 4Q24: Results beat expectation...
GREATER CHINA Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$64.80/Target: US$80.00): 2QFY25: Revenue in line but earnings miss expectations; better growth outlook in 2HFY25. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp4,910/Target: Rp6,000): Diversifying its businesses to avoid depending solely on automobile. MALAYSIA Results Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.33/Target: RM0.40): 2QFY25: Results within expectations as newly-launched sales office in China sees its maiden con...
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware Solid 2024 Shipment Data; recovery in 2025 remains intact. Maintain OVERWEIGHT . INDONESIA Small/Mid Caps Highlights Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp2,690) Strong production outlook towards 2029. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Malaysian banks are likely to take a cautious and gradual approach to capital managemen...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Ample Domestic Catalysts: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Dec 24. Jan 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, SP Setia, VSI and Yinson. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI A strong rebound for non-manufacturing PMI. Sector Macau Gaming Dec 24 GGR below expectations; expect 2025 GGR to recover to 82% of 2019’s level. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target: Rp3,300) Expect a double-digit earnings growth in 2025 MALAYSIA Sector Heal...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
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