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Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA: 1 director

A director at Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA maiden bought 65,000 shares at 16.585NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the las...

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

Q3 solid, but in-line

Clean EBITDAR / EBIT in -line er 1-2% below. Reported EBIT +8%. Solid outlook. Clean est unchanged, stock neutral

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

Sep figures; Neutral

Group sales NOK 3.5bn, +1% vs. cons. Limited outlook comments, but do state "encouraging" momentum

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

Aug sales in-line

Group sales NOK 3.77bn, basically in-line. Limited outlook comments, but do say "solid bookings"

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

Sales 1% below on lower load

Group sales NOK 4.76bn, 1% below us. We reiterate that Q3 EBIT est looks +10% too high

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

EBIT 2% better and divi

Clean EBIT 2% higher on slihtly higher sales. Divi, "robust" demand, cost guidance down primarily on sales gain

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

June 5% better

Group sales NOK 3.9bn, +4.9% vs us and cons on better yield/ load

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Petter Nystrøm

May as expeced

Group sales NOK 3.1bn, spot on us and cons (NAS 0.1% better, Widerøe 2% below)

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

Great deal - bond buyback

NAS calls the convertible bond and contemplates a 50% buyback. Pos: Reduced share overhang + nr of shares down ~7%.

Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole Martin Westgaard

Norwegian Air Shuttle (Buy, TP: NOK16.00) - Positive 2025 outlook

While underlying Q1 results were weaker than we expected, we still see a positive outlook for 2025, with solid bookings, a narrowed CASK guidance supported by a NOK1bn profit improvement programme by 2026, FX, and fuel tailwinds. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK16 (17) on estimate reductions.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

Q1 below on higher cost

Clean EBIT below on higher cost (mainly fuel).

Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole Martin Westgaard

Norwegian Air Shuttle (Buy, TP: NOK17.00) - April traffic statistics

We consider this a slightly positive report for Norwegian Air Shuttle, including figures more or less in line with expectations, with a marginally lower yield offset by a higher load, and positive outlook comments with regard to summer bookings. We expect only minor changes to consensus 2025e adj. EBITDA, and believe a neutral to slightly positive share price reaction is warranted.

Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole Martin Westgaard

Norwegian Air Shuttle (Buy, TP: NOK17.00) - April traffic statistics p...

April’s traffic statistics are due at 08:00 CET on 7 May. We are positive ahead of the report, expecting a strong yield recovery supported by Easter timing effects and easing capacity growth. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK17 (15) on positive estimate changes on our revised fuel and USDNOK assumptions.

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