The risk of power cuts in the UK, for a variety of reasons, remains real. Low plant margins (i.e. limited spare capacity at peak) in the UK are obvious enough. However, the events of 28 April 2025 ‒ when Spain, Portugal and parts of France were plunged into lengthy power outages ‒ were very disconcerting. A recent Spanish government report has now placed much of the blame on the national system operator, the Redeia-owned Red Electrica. There was some criticism, too, of unnamed private sector gen...
Feature article: Addressing the “risk off” investment challenge As we approach mid-2025, life remains challenging for many UK companies and their shareholders, and ‒ as a broad generalisation – consensus suggests little will change in the foreseeable future. So, are we now facing a real risk of the UK economy stagnating due to lack of funding? If that is the case, who is going to take the initiative and avert such a crisis? Business life must continue, despite the macro environment providing ...
Feature article: Attractive asset managers - Radical derating presumes things only get worse The UK asset management sector has been significantly derated over the past couple of years. It has faced the dual problem of a shift towards passives and to private assets and away from traditional listed equities and bonds. However, the sector’s assets haven’t collapsed; its margins have proved relatively robust and its profits fairly stable, even against all the rising costs. The clear implication, ...
The core of any successful, long-term business lies in offering clients the products they want so that they give you more business and, in turn, you attract new customers. The 2024 results show how ABG has achieved this, with growth in i) specialist lending (now £828m, 35% of loans up 33% in 2023, 27% in 2022 and 21% in 2021), ii) deposit volumes (+10%), and iii) wealth management (FUMA +30%). 1,200 new banking clients were onboarded in 2024. Short-term profits reflected that ABG had optimised r...
Hardman & Co Research Hardman & Co Research: Arbuthnot Banking Group - 2024 results: franchise growing through the noise 04-Apr-2025 / 16:00 GMT/BST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Hardman & Co Research on Arbuthnot Banking Group (ARBB): 2024 results: franchise growing through the noise The core of any successful, long-term business lies in offering clients the products they want so that they give you more business and, in turn, you attract new customers. The 2024 results show how ABG has achieved this, with growth in i) specialist len...
Feature article: 2024 pharma statistics An efficient reporting system has seen all the listed multinational pharmaceutical companies announce results for 2024, which has given us the opportunity to update our industry statistics and drug database. This report provides the first snapshot of global pharmaceutical market growth plus the global and US company rankings for 2024. The year was characterised by 9.2% underlying (ex-COVID-19) growth. Much of the growth was driven by recently launched ant...
In this month's feature article, we review the energy situation in the UK. On the domestic front, Ofgem has recently announced the new price cap figure of £1,849 for a typical household’s annual use of gas and electricity; this figure represents an increase of 6.4% over the January-March 2025 price cap. UK energy policy has changed of late, following the election of a Labour government last summer. The quest for Net Zero by 2030 – a hardly realistic target – is now a priority. Rightly or wrong...
Our daily digest of news from UK Small Caps @HybridanLLP 19th February 2025 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement ****Alphabetically arranged Share prices and market capitalisations taken from the current price on the day of publication Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: Intelligent Ultrasou...
* A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement ****Alphabetically arranged Share prices and market capitalisations taken from the current price on the day of publication Dish of the day Admissions: On the Main market Fintech Asia Limited (FINA.L) cancelled its admission to trading and was re-introduced following a reverse takeover after acquiring ICFG Pte. ...
Feature article: The October 2024 Budget - We got it wrong By Keith Hiscock, CEO at Hardman & Co In this month's feature article, we review the effects of the 2024 Budget and consider what might happen in the coming months. Our Hardman Monthly of October 2024 looked forward to the first Labour Budget for 14 years. The main theme was that, because the new Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, had ruled out increases in taxes on ‘working people’, investors would bear the brunt of any tax increases to fill ...
Feature article: Hardman & Co Healthcare Index, 2024 – Tough year for Life Sciences By Dr Martin Hall The main function of the HHI is to monitor the performance, and to highlight the attractiveness, of life sciences investments over the long term, and to try to identify those stocks that have disruptive technologies that consistently allow them to outperform both the index and the markets. Many of the 53 constituents of the index are high-risk, with micro-capitalisations and a long way from pro...
Adsure Services 20.50p £2.17m (AQSE:ADS) The specialist and diversified business assurance provider reports Interims to September. It operates across the Housing, Healthcare, Government, Education, Charities offering a wide range of services. There are two operational divisions, Risk & Assurance and the long-established Risk & Advisory. The Interims show a 19% increase in Revenue to £5.1m, its EBITDA jumped to £0.55m against £0.16m, with PBT of £0.33m from a £0.3m loss. This is evidence of th...
Duke Capital has announced interim results for 1H25 which are on track to meet our FY25 forecasts with recurring cash revenue of £12.7m, up 4% YoY. The group deployed over £15m in new capital to its capital partners during the half. Post period end, Duke successfully completed an oversubscribed £23.5m equity raise, materially strengthening its balance sheet and intends future capital funding to be generated by way of a third-party capital model. Duke is trading at a c25% discount to book despite...
A director at Arbuthnot Banking Group bought 116,000 shares at 900p and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
Hardman & Co Research Hardman & Co Q&A on Duke Capital (DUKE): Equity raise and third-party capital update 20-Nov-2024 / 10:30 GMT/BST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Analyst interview | Financials Q&A on Duke Capital (DUKE) | Equity raise and third-party capital update Duke Capital (DUKE) is the topic of conversation when Hardman & Co Analyst Mark Thomas joins DirectorsTalk. In this interview, Mark discusses recent developments at Duke Capital, touching on key topics such as their equity raise and progress towards incorporating third-pa...
In our April 2024 initiation, we highlighted that DUKE, by optimising the best of equity and debt, aimed to achieve equity-type returns with debt levels of risk. We highlighted four pillars of returns, namely: i) term credit; ii) participating preference shares, which support DUKE’s high, covered and growing dividend yield (2025E 10.0%, 2026E 10.7%, 2027E 11.4%); iii) early exit fees; and iv) equity stakes. Here, we update investors on how management will take DUKE to the next level, noting i) a...
Hardman & Co Research Hardman & Co Research on Duke Capital (DUKE): Taking Duke Capital to the next level 18-Nov-2024 / 13:20 GMT/BST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Hardman & Co Research on Duke Capital (DUKE): Taking Duke Capital to the next level In our April 2024 , we highlighted that DUKE, by optimising the best of equity and debt, aimed to achieve equity-type returns with debt levels of risk. We highlighted four pillars of returns, namely: i) term credit; ii) participating preference shares, which support DUKE’s high, covered and g...
Duke Capital provides long-term hybrid capital finance to lower-middle market SMEs in a business model unique in the UK. Duke earns an attractive 12%-14% cash yield on initial investment generating reliable cash revenue of c£30m pa, with multiple upside kickers which have generated high returns on recycled investment. Despite increasing returns over WACC, Duke is trading at a discount to its historic rating, which we believe represents a significant opportunity for investors. The company has ju...
* A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement ****Alphabetically arranged Share prices and market capitalisations taken from the current price on the day of publication Dish of the day Admissions: None Delistings: None What’s baking in the oven? ITF announced:*** Potential** Initial Public Offerings: 31 October 2024: Winking Studios: the AAA Art Outsourcing and Game De...
Feature article: “ROOM” (Running Out of Money) risk, How managing liquidity risk can sustain corporate value and maintain shareholder confidence As we come close to the end of a very challenging year for many UK entrepreneurs, as well as a frustrating period for shareholders, it is time to address one elephant in the ROOM! ROOM stands for “Running Out of Money”. The risk of doing so, or the perception that it could occur, can destroy corporate values and prematurely paralyse a business. While ...
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