Tame inflation despite the reciprocal tariffs and nascent signs of weakness in the job market has led to expectations of two rate cuts in 4Q25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our preferred BUYs are CICT (Target: S$2.72), FCT (Target: S$3.07) and LREIT (Target: S$0.80) for suburban retail, and DCREIT (Target: US$0.88) and KDCREIT (Target: S$2.87) for data centre, which are less affected by the reciprocal tariffs. We also like CLAR (Target: S$4.02) as it is a beneficiary of preferential tariff.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Market Strategy: 2H25: A big beautiful deal? INDONESIA Update GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/BUY/Rp59/Target: Rp78): EBITDA resilience back in focus as M&A noise fades. MALAYSIA Sector REITs: We maintain MARKET WEIGHT as the positives appear largely priced into current share prices, with limited near-term upside potential. Top picks: PREIT and CLMT. SINGAPORE Update CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP/BUY/S$2.15/Target: S$2.42): Organic growth from AEIs and t...
CICT focuses on generating organic growth through AEIs. Phases 3 and 4 of AEI for IMM Building will be completed in 3Q25, with CICT to finalise plans after for AEI for Tampines Mall in 4Q25 to leverage on URA’s Tampines Master Plan. CICT could acquire the remaining 55% of CapitaSpring in 2026, which may be partially funded by the divestment of Gallileo after ECB takes over as anchor tenant in 4Q25. ION Orchard will provide full-year contribution in 2025. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$2.42.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Sales surge, driven by price cuts and new model launches. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Desay SV and Tuopu. Update Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$14.44/Target: HK$19.00) Revenue remains under pressure but stable operating margin is expected; increasing consumer preference for food delivery over dining in. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Jacobson Pharma (...
A preferential tariff for the export of pharmaceutical and semiconductor products to the US, if successfully concluded, would be a game changer for the manufacturing sector in Singapore. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top pick CLAR (Target: S$3.58) has the largest exposure to business park and hi-tech buildings in Singapore at 53% of portfolio valuation. Technology, logistics and life sciences industries accounted for 65.1% of CLAR’s monthly rental income.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property & Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Manageable pressure in mainland property market; improved tourism and retail sales momentum in Hong Kong. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances in May Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Results CIMB Group (CIMB MK/HOLD/RM6.93/Target: RM7.70) 1Q25: Earnings in line, underpinned by lower provisions. Mai...
Driven by renewed positive investor sentiment, our Alpha Picks portfolio surpassed the STI in May 25, surging by 7.0% mom on an equal-weighted basis and beating the STI by 5.4ppt. On a market cap-weighted basis, our portfolio outperformed as well, up 1.9% mom and beating the STI by 0.3ppt. For Jun 25, we add CD, CSSC, FRKN, FEH and IFAST while removing SCI, MPM, OTEK and SIE.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Beat the STI in May 25 A robust 5.4ppt beat by our Alpha Picks portfolio vs the STI in May 25. Add CD, CSSC, FRKN, FEH, IFAST and remove SCI, MPM, OTEK and SIE. TRADERS' CORNER Seatrium (STM SP): Trading SELL First Resources (FR SP): Trading SELL
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector REITs: S-REITs monthly update (May 25). Results Valuetronics (VALUE SP/BUY/S$0.685/Target: S$0.83): FY25: Record margins and dividend underpin healthy FY26; raise target price by 6%. TRADERS’ CORNER First Resources (FR SP): Trading BUY Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading SELL
Singapore is a haven due to fiscal discipline and having the lowest reciprocal tariff of 10%. The flight to safety is evidenced by a low 10-year Singapore government bond yield of 2.4% and 3-month compounded SORA of 2.3%. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Many blue-chip S-REITs are trading at attractive yields of 6-7%. BUY retail REITs CICT (Target: S$2.37) and FCT (Target: S$2.73), data centre REIT DCREIT (Target: US$0.90) and healthcare REIT PREIT (Target: S$4.85). We also like CLAS (Target: S$1.38).
GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.89/Target: HK$6.20) FY25: Results in line; targets adjusted net earnings growth of 10-20% yoy in FY26. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.50/Target: HK$635.00) 1Q25: Earnings beat; international tourism and AI integration investments as key catalysts. Update Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK/BUY/HK$56.45/Target: HK$66.70) Focus on sales volume and profit growth; aims to raise dividend payo...
Two S-REITs out of 21 under our coverage beat expectations, namely DCREIT (tripledigit reversion for new leases at Los Angeles) and FCT (positive rental reversion of +9.0% driven by Causeway Point, Tampines 1 and Century Square). S-REITs provide a safe haven. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY retail REIT CICT (Target: S$2.37) and FCT (Target: S$2.73), data centre REIT DCREIT (Target: US$0.88) and healthcare REIT PREIT (Target: S$4.85). We also like CLAS (Target: S$1.38).
INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25 Remove ICBP, EXCL, and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Sector Property Amid tariff overhang concerns, we favour companies with clear earnings visibility, solid exposure to affordable housing, and clear re-rating catalysts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Axiata (AXIATA MK/BUY/RM2.09/Target: RM2.50) ...
Despite significant market volatility, our Alpha Picks portfolio outperformed in Apr 25, falling slightly by 0.8% mom on an equal-weighted basis and beating the STI by 2.7ppt. Furthermore, on a market cap-weighted basis, our portfolio dropped by 2.1% mom but still beat the STI by a respectable 1.4ppt. For May 25, we add SSG and CENT and remove CSSC, CSE and YZJSGD.
While trade conflicts and tariffs remain a threat, the recent series of weak economic numbers has led to a lower US government bond yield. Many blue-chip S-REITs have already corrected and are trading at attractive yields of 6-7%. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY retail REIT CICT (Target: S$2.37), data centre REIT DCREIT (Target: US$0.90) and healthcare REIT PREIT (Target: S$4.85). We also like CLAS (Target: S$1.38).
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Takeaways from Shanghai Auto Show 2025. 1Q25 results review for BYD, GWM and GAC. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer: Politburo meeting: Emphasising income improvement and service consumption; prefer consumer companies with strong cost control and domestic focus. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$397.00/Target: HK$510.00): 1Q25: Earnings double yoy, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$510.00. EVE Energy (300014 HK/BU...
CICT clocked a positive rental reversion of 10.4% for retail and 5.4% for office in 1Q25. Portfolio occupancy eased 0.3ppt qoq to 96.4%. CICT’s diversified portfolio, healthy aggregate leverage of 38.7% and low cost of debt of 3.4% appeal to investors seeking safety. Phases 3 and 4 of AEI for IMM should complete in 3Q25 while Gallileo would be handed over to tenant ECB starting 2H25. ION Orchard will provide full-year contribution in 2025. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$2.37.
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