reports
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, May 19, 2025
GREATER CHINA Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb19.22/Target: Rmb25.30) 2Q25 guidance in line; GB200/GB300 smooth production ramp as the key driver for 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy JCI rallies from global tailwinds Market rebound gains momentum amid global tailwinds and rate cut hopes. MALAYSIA Results Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.76/Target: RM4.20) 1Q25: Strong set of results; earnings d...
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PLANB PLAN B MEDIA
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Willinoy Sitorus
Strategy - JCI Rallies On Global Tailwinds
The global market narrative shifted after a US-China tariff truce and softer US inflation data from Apr 25, boosting sentiment. The rupiah strengthened, raising the market expectations of a BI rate cut, and driving the JCI up 4% in a week with banks seeing the biggest inflow. The slower GDP and weak purchasing power might have already been priced in by the market, providing a more constructive view going forward on easing monetary policies and improved fiscal spending. Our year-end JCI target is...
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Banking – 1Q25 Results: Divergent Earnings Growth
Banks showed mixed earnings, with BBCA and BRIS leading profit growth, while BBRI saw a decline in 1Q25. Loan growth was flat qoq due to tight liquidity and cautious loan disbursements. BBCA and BMRI had the best asset quality while BBRI faced elevated credit costs. The impact of the tariff war could be visible in 2Q25. Despite headwinds, banks remain fundamentally strong. We maintain OVERWEIGHT on expectations of: a) rate cuts, b) higher fiscal spending in 2H25, and c) reduced SRBI reissuance.
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Chong Lee Len
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Singapore Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, May 05, 2025
INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25 Remove ICBP, EXCL, and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Sector Property Amid tariff overhang concerns, we favour companies with clear earnings visibility, solid exposure to affordable housing, and clear re-rating catalysts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Axiata (AXIATA MK/BUY/RM2.09/Target: RM2.50) ...
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
SPSB SP SETIA BHD
SWB SUNWAY BHD
UEMS UEM SUNRISE BHD
PROP PROPNEX LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
MCH MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
STM SEATRIUM LTD
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
OTEK OILTEK INTERNATIONAL (OTEK SP)
- Johnny Yum
- Johnny Yum
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - 1Q25: Net Profit Up 9.8% yoy On NIM Expa...
BBCA’s net profit was Rp14.1t, up 9.8% yoy (+2.8% qoq). PPOP grew 9.9% yoy due to: a) 12.6% loan growth, b) 20bp NIM expansion, and c) manageable opex. The NIM improvement was due to a higher CASA ratio and LDR. There was a slight uptick in retail loans’ NPL, but overall asset quality remained sound with the NPL ratio standing at 2%. Liquidity was ample, with LCR/LDR at 300%/76%. We make no changes to our estimates. Maintain BUY. Lower target price to Rp10,500 due to a higher risk-free rate.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ISAT INDOSAT
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TOWR PT SARANA MENARA NUSANTARA TBK
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
MTEL IJ PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Indonesia Daily - Friday, April 25, 2025
Telecommunications: 4Q24: NPAT down slightly by 2% yoy. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp8,475/Target: Rp10,500): 1Q25: Net profit grows 9.8% yoy on the back of NIM expansion. TRADERS’ CORNER Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ): Technical BUY Indosat (ISAT IJ): Technical BUY
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Ejann Hiew
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 11
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures remain. Sector Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; indirect spillovers uncertain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.55/Target: HK$108.80) 1Q25 sales me...
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
SCC SIAM CEMENT PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
IOI IOI CORP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Banking – Maintaining Strength Through The Cycles
Indonesian banks face risks from global trade tensions through corporate borrowers, exporters and forex exposure. Historical data for 2012–24 shows banks' resilience during major shocks like COVID-19, the taper tantrum and the US-China trade war. Stress tests show that CAR remains above regulatory minimums even in severe scenarios, supported by strong capitalisation. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BBCA is our top pick due to its robust CAR and ample liquidity. Tactical trades can be deployed around volati...
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Singapore Research Team
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, April 08, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
ICBP PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SE US SEA LIMITED
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
- Johnny Yum
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25
Our portfolio in Mar 25 outperformed relative to the JCI and LQ45 by +3.3%/+2.7% respectively (simple average). In terms of the weighted average free float market cap, the portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +10.9%/+10.3% respectively due to a large rebound in BBRI. We remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF, and add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA to our portfolio. Given Trump’s 32% reciprocal tariffs on Indonesia, our portfolio picks lean towards defensive stocks: BBCA, ICBP, ERAA, EXCL, MIKA,...
- Johnny Yum
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Banking – SOE Banks: Balancing Growth, Dividends And Leadership Change...
BBRI, BMRI and BBNI raised their 2024 DPRs, with share buybacks planned while maintaining their high-teens capital buffer. SOE banks saw major leadership changes. Overall, PPOP was flat with mixed profit trends, and loan growth was strong at 10.3% yoy in Feb 25. Danantara’s new leadership, comprising experienced professionals, may boost investor confidence. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are: BBCA>BMRI>BBNI> BRIS>BBRI.
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kate Luang
- Philip Wong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, March 27, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$25.85/Target: HK$32.40) 2024: Results in line; positive outlook for property sales in 2025. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$34.50/Target: HK$38.70) 2024: Results beat with 100% payout ratio; pursuing high-quality growth. Giordano International (709 HK/BUY/HK$1.52/Target: HK$2.14) 2024: 2H24 revenue rebound; 3-5% revenue growth and improving net margin in 2025. Haidilao Internatio...
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
SPRC STAR PETROLEUM REFINING
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MNHB MYNEWS HOLDINGS BHD
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
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