reports
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Ken Lee
- Kong Ho Meng
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 08, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Surprising beat on exports. Sector Automobile Weekly: Trump’s tariff to reshape China automobile supply chain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. Results Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$36.35/Target: HK$46.00) 3Q24: EBITDA decline due to higher reinvestmen...
BCP THE BANGCHAK PETROLEUM PCL
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ITMG INDO TAMBANGRAYA MEGAH
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
7160 PENTAMASTER CORP. BHD
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
INCO VALE INDONESIA
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
LPN LPN DEVELOPMENT PCL
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
ADROIJ ADARO ENERGY
- Johnny Yum
- Stevanus Juanda
Strategy - Trump Wins: What Is The Potential Impact On Indonesia?
We expect the impact on Indo-US export flows to be manageable as a 10-20% tariff is unlikely to compensate for the US’ high labour cost. The risk may come from Indo-China trade as a sizeable amount of exports to China are commodities. We focus on sectors likely to benefit from domestic policies − banks, auto, property, technology and consumer − while reducing positions in commodities. Our BUYS: BBNI, BBRI, BBTN, BSDE, CTRA, CMRY, ACES, GOTO and ASII. Trim: ADRO, ITMG and INCO.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ITMG INDO TAMBANGRAYA MEGAH
INCO VALE INDONESIA
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ADRO ADARO ENERGY INDONESIA TBK PT
- Johnny Yum
- Maskun Ramli
- Stevanus Juanda
Indonesia Daily - Friday, November 8, 2024
Strategy: Trump Wins: What Is The Potential Impact On Indonesia? Positives: Banking − BBNI, BBRI, BBTN; property − BSDE, CTRA; consumer − CMRY; retail − ACES; technology − GOTO. Negatives: ADRO, ITMG, INCO. TRADERS’ CORNER Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS IJ): Technical BUY Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ): Technical BUY
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ITMG INDO TAMBANGRAYA MEGAH
INCO VALE INDONESIA
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ADROIJ ADARO ENERGY
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Jonathan Koh
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Malaysia Research Team
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Thailand Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 02, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI below 50% for a second month. Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Major SOE developers saw sales rebound in June; policy support for Hong Kong tourism weaker-than-expected. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 24 GGR down 12% mom, missing expectations. INDONESIA Results Vale In...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
INCO VALE INDONESIA
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
CPALL TB CP ALL
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
FLT FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
DCREIT DIGITAL CORE REIT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
- Limartha Adhiputra
Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ) - 1Q24: Weakness In Core NPAT Due To Lower Ni...
Lower nickel prices in 1Q24 caused INCO’s 1Q24 EBITDA and NPAT to fall significantly. 1Q24 EBITDA came in at US$52.4m, down 46.8% qoq and 69.8% yoy, while core net profit came in at US$19.1m, down 26.2% qoq and 80.6% yoy, below our and market expectations. Looking forward, we expect an improvement in 2Q24 profit as nickel prices inched higher, with 2024 EBITDA reaching US$272m (-42.8% yoy) and NPAT reaching US$104m (-62.0% yoy). Maintain HOLD with a lower target price of Rp3,800.
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Limartha Adhiputra
Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ) - Issuance Of New Shares To Complete Divestme...
INCO will issue 6.07% new shares as part of the share divestment obligation to the government of Indonesia. The ratio of the rights issue will be 500 new shares for every 8,233 old shares with an exercise price of Rp3,050/share, and the maximum proceeds could reach Rp1.8t. We think investors could consider exercising their rights given a potential capital gain of 1.7%. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Rp4,300.
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jo Yee Ng
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 12, 2024
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
6012 MAXIS BHD.
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
INCO VALE INDONESIA
6888 AXIATA GROUP BHD.
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
BRC BRC ASIA LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
ME 23ANDME HLDG CO
CK CH. KARNCHANG PUBLIC CO LTD
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
TIMECOM 029 GROUP SE
- Limartha Adhiputra
Mining – Sensitivity Analysis On The Impact Of Higher Metal Prices
The ban on Russian metals, especially aluminium, copper and nickel, could benefit Indonesian metal miners as prices hiked on fears of tighter supply. Escalating tensions in the Middle East also drove gold prices higher. Our sensitivity analysis showed that MDKA will benefit the most if metal prices continue rising, followed by INCO and NCKL. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the mining sector as we think that the fluctuation in metal prices might be temporary. Top pick: NCKL.
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Jo Yee Ng
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Ken Lee
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Philip Wong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Singapore Research Team
- Stella Guo Yuting
Regional Morning Notes - Monday, February 19, 2024
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer: Tourism, catering and movie consumption: Strong performances during CNY. Update Yadea Group Holdings (1585 HK/BUY/HK$12.18/Target: HK$16.00): Premiumisation and external battery sales as new growth drivers. Maintain BUY. Cut target price from HK$20.00 to HK$16.00. INDONESIA Results Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/BUY/Rp3,690/Target: Rp4,400): 4Q23: NPAT exceeds expectation, rising 66.3% yoy on higher nickel deliveries. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Results KPJ Healthcare (K...
- Limartha Adhiputra
Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ) - 4Q23: Core NPAT Within Expectation, Droppin...
INCO reported 4Q23 NPAT of US$53.2m (+66.3% yoy), driven by higher nickel deliveries and a gain on recognition of fair value of derivative asset. 2023 NPAT rose 36.9% yoy to US$274m. For 2024, we expect EBITDA to reach US$317m (-33.4% yoy) with NPAT of US$139m (-49.3% yoy) as we expect an average 2024 LME nickel price of US$17,000/ tonne. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Rp4,300 as we think the recent share price decline was mainly due to temporary sentiment.
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Limartha Adhiputra
Mining – Expecting Nickel Prices To Bottom Out In 2024 With Potential ...
We reduce our 2024 and 2025 nickel price assumptions to US$16,500/tonne and US$17,000/tonne respectively considering the weak demand due to the uncertainties in China’s economic recovery and increasing refined nickel productions. 2024-25 earnings growth could be softer and remain supported by the expansion in production capacity, higher sales, and lower production costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the mining sector. NCKL is our top pick. Downgrade MDKA and INCO to HOLD.
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Greater China Research Team
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Jun Sian Tan
- Ken Lee
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Malaysia Research Team
- Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Notes - Monday, October 30, 2023
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: 3Q23 results broadly in line; bottom line turned around in the seasonal peak quarter. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.90): 3Q23: In line; 3Q23 wind power utilisation hours down 34 hours yoy. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/HOLD/HK$3.76/Target: HK$4.00): 3Q23: Below expectations; 3Q23 WTG sales growth slows to +6.0% yoy. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$10.82/Target: HK$13.50): 3Q23: Earnings tripl...
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
LPPF PT MATAHARI DEPARTMENT STORE TBK CLASS A
INCO VALE INDONESIA
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601633 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS A
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO LTD
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
2202 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE&TECHNOLOGY
916 CHINA LONGYUAN POWER GROUP-H
EKO EKOVEST BHD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
CTOS CTOS DIGITAL BHD
- Limartha Adhiputra
Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ) - 3Q23: NPAT Down 25.3% qoq Due To Lower ASP;...
INCO’s NPAT declined 25.3% qoq to US$52.6m in 3Q23, driven by lower ASP, slightly higher cost of revenue and higher operating expenses. 9M23 NPAT rose 31.3% yoy to US$221m, within expectations and accounting for 83% and 82% of our and consensus’ 2023 NPAT forecast respectively. 2023 NPAT is still on track to grow 32.2% yoy to US$265m, with a potential 4.9% yoy decline in 2024 due to lower average nickel price. Upgrade to BUY with a target price of Rp6,000.
- Limartha Adhiputra
- Maskun Ramli
- Stevanus Juanda
Indonesia Daily - Monday, October 30, 2023
Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ/HOLD/Rp2,160/Target: Rp2,100): 3Q23: A loss of Rp53.4b – below expectations. Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/BUY/Rp5,125/Target: Rp6,000): 3Q23: NPAT fell 25.3% qoq due to lower ASP; within expectations. Upgrade to BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ): Technical BUY Indosat (ISAT IJ): Technical BUY
- Limartha Adhiputra
Mining – Price Normalisation Continues On Potentially Slower Demand An...
Risk of slower global (including China) economic growth in 2024 could result in lower nickel and copper prices. We expect 2023/24 nickel prices to average US$22,000/tonne and US$20,000/tonne respectively and 2023/24 copper prices to average US$3.82/lb and US$3.68/lb respectively. Gold prices could rise to US$2,050/toz in 2024 from US$1,940/toz in 2023 on rising tension in the Middle East. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT on the mining sector. NCKL is our top pick.
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