reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ILRA CZ; MGROS TI; KLKIM TI; FROTO TI; TUPRS TI; THYAO TI;...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: ADRs growth pace cools, cost inflation persists (NOT RATED) • Migros: good set of operating results in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Kalekim: strong bottom-line performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Ford Otosan: 3Q24 results – quarterly margin improvement tempered by lower export guidance NEUTRAL • Tupras: 3Q24 results – net income beats the consensus; comment on the fire at the Izmit refinery NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 3Q24 – strong cargo and investments offset steep growth in staff cost...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO SHOPER SA
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: no end to the price war and css downward revisions i...
Post-Q3, we understand that Biedronka will continue to evolve on deflation and negative operating leverage in Q4 and at least part of 2025, depending on when the price war ends in Poland. Despite real cost-cutting and capex efforts to preserve FCF, we believe Jeronimo Martins will need to revive Lf
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only the Czech Republic in the bla...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHL DHL GROUP
AXA AXA
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
AMUN AMUNDI SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
NXT NEXT PLC
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
KGX KION GROUP AG
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHL DHL GROUP
AXA AXA
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
AMUN AMUNDI SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
NXT NEXT PLC
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EBS AV; MBK PW; ING PW; JMT PL; KOMB CP; MCOVB SS; TKNSA T...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q24 results – strong NII delivery • mBank: underlying 3Q34 business delivery in line; beat on headline net profit due to tax charges NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24 results – minor miss on high credit risk charges, as corporate NPL ratio surges NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 3Q24, Biedronka at -2% lfl and stable margin erosion; price war continues POSITIVE • Komercni Banka: 3Q24 results – net profit largely in line with expectations • Medicover: 3Q24 operating numbers in l...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
- Juan Ros-Padilla
Jeronimo Martins : Q3 EBITDA somewhat above. Margin pressure continues
>Q3 l-f-ls, albeit still negative, slightly beat street expectation - Sales grew at a pace of +7% y-o-y to € 8.5bn (vs +7% in Q2) with the group’s l-f-l contracting at -1% (vs -3% in Q2). By business, Biedronka sales grew +8% to € 5.9bn, posting a modest acceleration vs Q2 (+6%) negatively impacted by 1 extra Sunday closure and very tough comps (13% l-f-l in Q3 2023), which is partially offset by FX (+5pp) and space growth (4pp). L-f-l improved q-o-q to -1.9% (bette...
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #45
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at spending patterns in Europe, which show a clear reallocation towards the f
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: Reviving Polish growth estimates will be key to rera...
With a new Polish peer floating, we have reviewed the growth/profitability profile and valuation metrics of Jeronimo Martins, Dino and Zabka. The conclusion is that Jeronimo Martins can still rerate from its depressed 0.4x EV/Sales multiple, provided growth prospects improve when visibility clears
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/10/2024
Thanks to unit revenue that has proven more resilient than anticipated, real discipline on capacity and a decline in the fuel bill, we expect margins to recover, especially for the legacies. IAG remains our top pick. We are upgrading Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Neutral and downgrading Ryanair to Underperform as well as WizzAir on Neutral. - ...
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 10/10/2024
Grâce à une recette unitaire qui se tient mieux que prévu, une discipline capacitaire notable et une baisse de la facture carburant, nous anticipons un rebond des marges tout particulièrement pour les majors. IAG reste notre valeur préférée. Nous relevons Air France-KLM et Lufthansa à Neutre et abaissons Ryanair à Sous-performance ainsi que Wizz Air à Neutre. - ...
- Research Team
- Juan Ros-Padilla
Jeronimo Martins : Q3 preview: still a challenging environment
>Q3 2024 earnings preview - Jeronimo Martins is due to publish its Q3 2024 results on 30 October. We expect sales to grow 6% y-o-y to € 8.4bn (vs +7% in Q2) while we expect margin deterioration of 68bp to 6.7% (vs -79bp in Q2) as the competitive environment in all regions remains challenging with no sign of uptrading for now. Lastly, we expect the bottom line to post a negative y-o-y trend of -20% impacted by EBITDA (-4% y-o-y), bigger depreciation charges and somew...
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: negative LfL and operating leverage for Q3
Ahead of Q3 results on 30th October, we have cut our FY 2024-26 EPS by c.5% and our PT from EUR19 to EUR18 to reflect negative LfL and negative operating leverage throughout H2 as the group commits to further reinvesting in prices to drive volume growth on toughening comps. We see no risk of a new
- Nicolas David
ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 2
We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
MAP MAPFRE SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FER FERROVIAL SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; BFT PW; PCF PW; Polish consumer staples; 11B PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: summer traffic in line, but consensus seems too bullish on earnings • Benefit Systems: net additions of 20k sport cards in 3Q24 POSITIVE • PCF Group: earnings call takeaways - Echo to be smaller than the other WFH projects NEUTRAL • Polish consumer staples: Netto plans to open 350 discount stores in Poland by 2028E NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: delays the release of The Alters to 1Q25E NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: September bookings estimate up 10% mom, but flat for the flagship ...
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Paul Rouviere
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #41
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the endless reshuffling of European purchasing alliances among food retai
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek ASE – best performer in July
EME Equity Market – July 2024 Greece the biggest winner, while Poland the clear loser in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.1% in EUR terms and 0.3% in USD terms in July. The Greek ASE Index posted the best performance for the month, advancing by 5.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a broadly similar performance in Hungary, Czechia and Romania (+ 2.9%, 2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Turkish ISE30 Index declined by 1.6% mom in EUR terms, but the clear loser was the Polis...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Jerôme Bodin
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
CA CARREFOUR SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
SK SEB SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
NESN NESTLE S.A.
VIV VIVENDI SE
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
RF EURAZEO SA
KER KERING SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
EZJ EASYJET PLC
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
SIX2 SIXT SE
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
AZN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
VOD ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM VODAFONE GROUP PLC
BESI STMICROELECTRONICS NV
ULA BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ERF UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
STLA EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
UMG STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
ML DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
GSK COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 GSK PLC
SGSN DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
NOVO B SGS SA
NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Jerôme Bodin
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
CA CARREFOUR SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
SK SEB SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
NESN NESTLE S.A.
VIV VIVENDI SE
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
RF EURAZEO SA
KER KERING SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
VER SANOFI
EZJ VERBUND AG CLASS A
REP EASYJET PLC
SOI REPSOL SA
SIX2 SOITEC SA
MOCORP SIXT SE
MONC METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
IBE MONCLER SPA
SAN IBERDROLA SA
AZN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
VOD ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM VODAFONE GROUP PLC
BESI STMICROELECTRONICS NV
ULA BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ERF UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
STLA EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
UMG STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
ML DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
GSK COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 GSK PLC
SGSN DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
NOVO B SGS SA
NOVO NORDISK A/S
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