In 2H25, earnings are likely to outpace 1H25, underpinned by backlog and gains from asset disposals. However, management is optimistic but cautious on the residential business, adopting a conservative approach to its business plan. Meanwhile, we remain cautious on liquidity and upcoming bond repayments, and will monitor the progress on planned asset sales. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt1.90.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update CH Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt14.40/Target: Bt20.20) Optimistic on core operations; upside expected in 2H25 earnings. Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.28/Target: Bt1.90) Backlog and asset disposals to underpin 2H25 earnings. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt32.00/Target: Bt37.00) Remains financially robust with a healthy dividend.
GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$87.25/Target: HK$88.00): 2Q25: Earnings missed expectations; release of next-gen Ernie bot in 2H25. Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$6.08/Target: HK$7.07): 1H25: Continuous margin expansion; strong order visibility into 3Q26. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$67.50/Target: HK$85.00): 2Q25: Core earnings beat estimates by 8%. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$68.00 to HK$85.00. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$44...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
We remain cautious about the residential business after attending ORI’s analyst meeting. 2Q25 presales are expected to decline both yoy and qoq. Meanwhile, 2Q25 earnings are likely to decrease yoy but improve qoq, supported by transfers from newly-completed condominiums and one-off gains. Management continues to prioritise inventory reduction and liquidity management. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt1.90.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt1.74/Target: Bt1.90) Expect 2Q25 to improve qoq; remain cautious about business outlook. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.75/Target: Bt37.00) Adapting business strategies to navigate volatility. Quality Houses (QH TB/HOLD/Bt1.45/Target: Bt1.51) Expect 2Q25 earnings to improve qoq, but outlook remains challenging.
GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$86.10/Target: HK$91.00) 1Q25: Solid earnings beat, fuelled by AI cloud growth and monetisation visibility. XPeng Inc (9868 HK/BUY/HK$77.55/Target: HK$150.00) 1Q25: Results beat expectations. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$150.00. INDONESIA Strategy Indonesia’s State Budget Position As Of Apr 25 Surplus returns, mom improvement in revenue collections, spen...
GREATER CHINA Results COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.78/Target: HK$5.90) 2024: Core earnings in line; expect low single digit throughput growth in 2025. CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb37.00/Target: Rmb50.00) 2024: Smooth progress in R&D promises bright long-term outlook. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$20.10/Target:HK$29.00) 2024: Results beat; strong growth momentum continues. Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$167.60/Target: HK$216.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$1.82/Target: HK$2.42) Revitalising iconic pharma heritage brands. Results Wharf Real Estate Investment Co (1997 HK/BUY/HK$20.55/Target: HK$23.10) 2024: Underlying net profit met expectation; lower finance costs being key driver of profits amid top-line uncertainties. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/HOLD/HK$3.08/Target: HK$3.00) ...
ORI has announced an unexciting business plan for 2025, with presales expected to decrease yoy. The company is shifting its focus towards reducing inventory, strengthening its financial position, and limiting new investments. While we anticipate an earnings recovery in 2025, downside risks remain. Maintain HOLD. Target price reduced to Bt2.90.
Update Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB/BUY/Bt195.50/Target: Bt232.00) Outlook for foreign patients remains under observation. Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.68/Target: Bt2.90) Conservative 2025 business plan focusing on financial stability. Stecon Group (STECON TB/BUY/Bt5.40/Target: Bt6.50) Overhang clears; earnings recovery in sight
GREATER CHINA Economics Highlights From The NPC: A comprehensive response to economic challenges. Update Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK/HOLD/HK$10.76/Target: HK$11.30): Cathay’s stellar 2024 earnings performance is unlikely to be sustainable in the long run, but a potential beat of street estimates may still provide a near-term trading opportunity. INDONESIA Update Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ/BUY/Rp3,840/Target: Rp4,500): Spike in CoC in 1Q25; focus on cleaning up loans. MALAYSIA Sector Tec...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Growth potential and AI development trends following emergence of DeepSeek. Property Policy implementation and development remain the key focus and catalyst. INDONESIA Strategy Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TL...
Management remains cautious about the residential market, lowering its presales target and scaling back on project launches for 2024. 4Q24 earnings are expected to improve from a low base, supported by newly completed projects. However, challenges in the residential sector will persist in 2025, compounded by a tight financial position, and prompting a more conservative stance on new project launches. We recommend waiting for new catalysts. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt4.10.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy 3Q24 Results Review Seasonality kicks in; earnings miss expectations from volatility in energy price and foreign exchange. Update Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt4.22/Target: Bt4.10) Cautious outlook; management lowers presales target and project launches amid headwinds.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
The SETPROP index outperformed the SET index, gaining 15% vs the latter’s 10% increase. However, we maintain a cautious view on the residential market, with conditions expected to remain unchanged in 2H24. High interest rates and tightening banking policies continue to pose challenges to the sector. We recommend a selective BUY − AP. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Exports rebounded in August but outlook remains challenging. Sector IT Hardware Maintain preference for the more defensive AI-device plays as uncertainty remains high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/HOLD/Rp7,250/Target: Rp7,760) 7M24: Strong ...
GREATER CHINA Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$27.65/Target: HK$42.50) 1H24: Results missed on margins. Expect peak season to bolster profitability in 2H24. China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$4.04/Target: HK$5.22) 1H24: Steady profit growth; accelerated revenue expansion in 2H24. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.16/Target: HK$6.10) 1H24: Below expectations; power generation dragged by low wind speed. ...
ORI reported a net profit of Bt452m for 2Q24, down 48% yoy and flat qoq. The results are 13% below our expectations but in line with market consensus. We expect condo backlogs to underpin earnings in 2H24. However, there are still concerns about the quality of the backlog. We recommend investors wait and see as there is a lack of new catalysts and ORI's residential business is expected to continue facing challenges. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt4.80.
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