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Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kasemsun Koonnara

Origin Property (ORI TB) - Reiterates Conservative Strategy

Company Update | Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.02/Target: Bt2.17) The tone during ORI’s analyst meeting was neutral. While there is an expected near-term uplift in 4Q25 earnings, ORI is expected to adopt a conservative operational approach throughout 2026. Management remains cautious about the residential market. We expect ORI to face ongoing challenges, and lacks new positive catalysts. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt2.17.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Thursday, November 20, 2025

Top Stories Company Update | Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.02/Target: Bt2.17) The tone during ORI’s analyst meeting was neutral. While there is an expected near-term uplift in 4Q25 earnings, ORI is expected to adopt a conservative operational approach throughout 2026. Management remains cautious about the residential market. We expect ORI to face ongoing challenges, and lacks new positive catalysts. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt2.17. Company Update | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.50/Target: Bt38...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+10)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 20, 2025

Greater China Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY w...

Audrey Celia ... (+20)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, November 03, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...

ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
QH QUALITY HOUSES
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
1155 MALAYAN BANKING BHD.
C61U CAPITALAND COMMERCIAL TRUST
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
AP AP THAILAND
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
LPN LPN DEVELOPMENT PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CRPU SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
VST VSTECS BHD
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
002050 CH ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
002747 CH ESTUN AUTOMATION
EREIT ESR REIT
Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kasemsun Koonnara

Origin Property (ORI TB) - Backlog And Asset Disposals To Underpin 2H2...

In 2H25, earnings are likely to outpace 1H25, underpinned by backlog and gains from asset disposals. However, management is optimistic but cautious on the residential business, adopting a conservative approach to its business plan. Meanwhile, we remain cautious on liquidity and upcoming bond repayments, and will monitor the progress on planned asset sales. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt1.90.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Thursday, August 21, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update CH Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt14.40/Target: Bt20.20) Optimistic on core operations; upside expected in 2H25 earnings. Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.28/Target: Bt1.90) Backlog and asset disposals to underpin 2H25 earnings. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt32.00/Target: Bt37.00) Remains financially robust with a healthy dividend.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+19)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, August 21, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$87.25/Target: HK$88.00): 2Q25: Earnings missed expectations; release of next-gen Ernie bot in 2H25. Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$6.08/Target: HK$7.07): 1H25: Continuous margin expansion; strong order visibility into 3Q26. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$67.50/Target: HK$85.00): 2Q25: Core earnings beat estimates by 8%. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$68.00 to HK$85.00. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$44...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+13)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 17, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...

Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kasemsun Koonnara

Origin Property (ORI TB) - Expect 2Q25 Earnings To Improve qoq; Remain...

We remain cautious about the residential business after attending ORI’s analyst meeting. 2Q25 presales are expected to decline both yoy and qoq. Meanwhile, 2Q25 earnings are likely to decrease yoy but improve qoq, supported by transfers from newly-completed condominiums and one-off gains. Management continues to prioritise inventory reduction and liquidity management. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt1.90.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Thursday, May 22, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt1.74/Target: Bt1.90) Expect 2Q25 to improve qoq; remain cautious about business outlook. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.75/Target: Bt37.00) Adapting business strategies to navigate volatility. Quality Houses (QH TB/HOLD/Bt1.45/Target: Bt1.51) Expect 2Q25 earnings to improve qoq, but outlook remains challenging.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, May 22, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$86.10/Target: HK$91.00) 1Q25: Solid earnings beat, fuelled by AI cloud growth and monetisation visibility. XPeng Inc (9868 HK/BUY/HK$77.55/Target: HK$150.00) 1Q25: Results beat expectations. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$150.00. INDONESIA Strategy Indonesia’s State Budget Position As Of Apr 25 Surplus returns, mom improvement in revenue collections, spen...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+19)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, March 24, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.78/Target: HK$5.90) 2024: Core earnings in line; expect low single digit throughput growth in 2025. CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb37.00/Target: Rmb50.00) 2024: Smooth progress in R&D promises bright long-term outlook. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$20.10/Target:HK$29.00) 2024: Results beat; strong growth momentum continues. Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$167.60/Target: HK$216.00) ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+14)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 11, 2025

GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$1.82/Target: HK$2.42) Revitalising iconic pharma heritage brands. Results Wharf Real Estate Investment Co (1997 HK/BUY/HK$20.55/Target: HK$23.10) 2024: Underlying net profit met expectation; lower finance costs being key driver of profits amid top-line uncertainties. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/HOLD/HK$3.08/Target: HK$3.00) ...

Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kasemsun Koonnara

Origin Property (ORI TB) - Conservative 2025 Business Plan Focusing on...

ORI has announced an unexciting business plan for 2025, with presales expected to decrease yoy. The company is shifting its focus towards reducing inventory, strengthening its financial position, and limiting new investments. While we anticipate an earnings recovery in 2025, downside risks remain. Maintain HOLD. Target price reduced to Bt2.90.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara

Thailand Daily - Thursday, March 06, 2025

Update Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB/BUY/Bt195.50/Target: Bt232.00) Outlook for foreign patients remains under observation. Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt2.68/Target: Bt2.90) Conservative 2025 business plan focusing on financial stability. Stecon Group (STECON TB/BUY/Bt5.40/Target: Bt6.50) Overhang clears; earnings recovery in sight

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+11)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Guan An Tan
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, March 06, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Highlights From The NPC: A comprehensive response to economic challenges. Update Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK/HOLD/HK$10.76/Target: HK$11.30): Cathay’s stellar 2024 earnings performance is unlikely to be sustainable in the long run, but a potential beat of street estimates may still provide a near-term trading opportunity. INDONESIA Update Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ/BUY/Rp3,840/Target: Rp4,500): Spike in CoC in 1Q25; focus on cleaning up loans. MALAYSIA Sector Tec...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+10)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 11, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Growth potential and AI development trends following emergence of DeepSeek. Property Policy implementation and development remain the key focus and catalyst. INDONESIA Strategy Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TL...

Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kasemsun Koonnara

Origin Property (ORI TB) - Cautious Outlook; Management Lowers Presale...

Management remains cautious about the residential market, lowering its presales target and scaling back on project launches for 2024. 4Q24 earnings are expected to improve from a low base, supported by newly completed projects. However, challenges in the residential sector will persist in 2025, compounded by a tight financial position, and prompting a more conservative stance on new project launches. We recommend waiting for new catalysts. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt4.10.

Kasemsun Koonnara ... (+2)
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Thailand Research Team

Thailand Daily - Friday, November 22, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy 3Q24 Results Review Seasonality kicks in; earnings miss expectations from volatility in energy price and foreign exchange. Update Origin Property (ORI TB/HOLD/Bt4.22/Target: Bt4.10) Cautious outlook; management lowers presales target and project launches amid headwinds.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+20)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 22, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...

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