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ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Lars Trongaard Brattli
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Lars Trongaard Brattli
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Lars Trongaard Brattli
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Lars Trongaard Brattli
  • Njål Kleiven
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • Njål Kleiven
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad

Crude Quarterly Q3'24: Lower oil price

Oil inventory draws for the rest of 2024. IEA is wrong – peak demand is not imminent. Both E&P and oil service shares look highly attractive.

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad

Crude Quarterly Q2'24: tighter oil market ahead

Oil inventory draws for the rest of 2024. IEA is wrong – peak demand is not imminent. Both E&P and oil service shares look highly attractive.

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

About to streamline the portfolio

Aker ASA reported a NAV of NOK 60.4bn, or NOK 813/share in Q1, down from NOK 851/share in Q4'23. The drop is mostly attributed to the share price development in AKERBP.

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Limited change in EP spending

After reviewing oil companies’ most recent spending plans, we estimate offshore spending growth of c7% YOY for 2024, in line with our November update. Growth is concentrated, with Petrobras being the key driver, favouring service companies with Brazil exposure. Looking ahead, further spending growth is likely to be partly limited by total spending already being on a par with operating cash flow. Delayed energy transition spending is seen as positive for oil services, while recent E&P consolidati...

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Large-cap commentary supports long-term offshore upcycle

Key takeaways from SLB, Halliburton and Baker Hughes Q4 earning calls include positive commentary on the ongoing offshore upcycle. They see continued growth in global EP spending in 2024 (high-single to low-doble digits), driven by offshore and international markets, while North America onshore outlook are less favourable. Lastly, SLB sees potential for more than USD100bn in global offshore FIDs in 2024 and 2025, while Baker Hughes expects over 300 subsea tree awards annually for the next 2–3 ye...

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Solid medium-term, but mixed long-term signals from Petrobras

As the largest global consumer of deepwater oil services, Petrobras’ strategic plans tend to attract investor attention. We consider its new 5-year plan mixed, but with solid support for near- to medium-term offshore activity from increased and high spending in 2024–2026. On the other hand, 2027–2028 spending looks set to trend down c20% sequentially, despite having been revised higher compared to its previous plan. Total spending is seen up 31% compared to the previous plan, driven by downstrea...

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