HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: paid to wait (stays BUY) • Polish utilities: 2030 capacity market price set at PLN 465/kW/year NEUTRAL • Orlen: receives response from Grupa Azoty about offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: new government aiming to reduce power bills by c.10% or more NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: preparing to drill offshore Bulgaria by the year-end NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • CCC: shareholders ask for 2m share buyback POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: court approves PLN 160m fine from Antimonopoly Office NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: EU to introduce EUR 3 payment for all packages coming from outside the community NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: PLN 19m 2017 waste-fee case closed NEUTRAL • Kety: 4Q25E preliminary results preview – flat yoy EBITDA in a tough environment (due on 17 December) • Pepco Group: 2H25E preview – EBITDA decline of 5% yoy expected (due on 17 December) N...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 3Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • CEZ: 3Q25 operating results miss, bottom line beats by 9% NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q25 highlights – 2025 continues to be soft; USD 100m buyback NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q25 – EBITDAR down 17% yoy, despite 15% ASK growth NEGATIVE • Optima Bank: small bottom-line miss in 3Q25, but FY25E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Aselsan: second Steel Dome serial production contract, and signs MOU with ROMARM POSITIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth d...
Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 3Q25 results review – 55% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 3Q25 results review – 10% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 28% yoy, to PLN 18.4m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Richter: weak 3Q25 across all segments NEGATIVE • CTP: 3Q25 – in line, FY targets reiterated NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 3Q25 results in line operationally NEUTRAL • Sok ...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: 3Q25 results – improved margins, strong NI beat and record backlog additions POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25 results – recovery in operating performance begins POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q25 results – in line, except for a small NI beat • Medicover: soft 3Q25 top line, but adjusted EBITDA beats on admin costs NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA 9% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply, Generation and Distribution NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 conference...
OMV Petrom reported a Clean CCS EBIT of RON 1,368 mn, slightly missing consensus by 2.6%, mainly due to the E&P segment. E&P was heavily impacted by impairment charges and higher-than-expected depreciation; excluding the increase in depreciation, its Clean CCS EBIT would have been around RON 510 mn, roughly halfway between the analyst consensus and Concorde’s estimate. We had been more optimistic on realized gas prices, depending on the share of gas sold at market versus capped prices. Oth...
Somewhat disappointing H1, but H2 set to be better – Jumbo’s H1 results were rather disappointing, with adj. EBITDA up just 7% yoy but shaping c5% below our estimates. The disappointment stemmed from a 1.4pps yoy contraction in gross margins, contrary to our expectation for expansion and out of sync with the appreciation of the EUR vs the USD. This led to net profit of €117m, -4% yoy, or -8% vs our number, with the optics of reported numbers affected further by the tough comp due to last year’s ...
Somewhat disappointing H1, but H2 set to be better – Jumbo’s H1 results were rather disappointing, with adj. EBITDA up just 7% yoy but shaping c5% below our estimates. The disappointment stemmed from a 1.4pps yoy contraction in gross margins, contrary to our expectation for expansion and out of sync with the appreciation of the EUR vs the USD. This led to net profit of €117m, -4% yoy, or -8% vs our number, with the optics of reported numbers affected further by the tough comp due to last year’s ...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q25 beat, mostly on one-off, but core result also stronger; current valuation levels justified, while waiting for finalisation of acquisition in Poland POSITIVE • Brisa: delivers 3Q25 earnings turnaround POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 financial results review – mixed NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 3Q25 results – operating recovery overshadowed by bottom-line losses NEUTRAL • Yapi Kredi: 3Q25 – first look • ADNOC Distribution: 3Q25 results POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 3Q25 high...
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