In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!
>Mulling exit from non-core countries: what are they and what do they represent? - In a review of options to increase the value of its share price, Carrefour is considering pullouts from noncore countries, a press article claims. The three core countries are i/ France (45% of sales), ii/ Brazil (23% of sales) and iii/ Spain (13% of sales).The other five non-core countries collectively account for around 20% of sales (€ 18.4bn in 2023 sales).They are Italy (5...
>Cession potentielle de pays non-core : que sont-ils et que représentent-ils ? - Un article de presse mentionne que Carrefour, dans une étude de ses options pour revaloriser son cours de Bourse, étudierait la possibilité de céder des pays non-core. Les 3 pays core sont i/ la France (45% du CA, ii/ le Brésil (23% du CA) et iii/ l’Espagne (13% du CA).Les 5 autres pays non-core représentent globalement c.20% du CA (18.4 Md€ de CA 2023).Il s’agit de l’Italie (5%...
With Carrefour reportedly in the early stages of discussions with advisors to consider capitalistic/operational scenarios that could revive the share price (source: Bloomberg), we have listed the six potential scenarios. More than half are unrealistic or negative to the share price in our view, whi
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the growing valuation gap between European and US retailers. Happy reading!
Last Friday, MEPs scrapped the exceptional additional corporate tax proposed by the French government in its PLF 2025. In our view, it would be risky to claim victory prematurely, and this provision could make a comeback during the remainder of the budget debate, in the form initially proposed by the government or in another form. We remain cautious on French equities, as the budget debate remains chaotic and fails to live up to the stakes, as underlined by Moody's downgrade of the so...
Les députés ont supprimé vendredi dernier la surtaxe d’Impôt sur les Sociétés proposée par le gouvernement français dans son PLF 2025. Il serait, selon nous, hasardeux de crier victoire trop tôt, et cette disposition pourrait faire son retour durant la suite du débat budgétaire, sous la forme initialement proposée par le gouvernement ou sous une autre. Nous restons prudents sur les actions françaises, le débat budgétaire restant chaotique et pas à la hauteur des enjeux, comme le souli...
Last Friday, MEPs scrapped the exceptional additional corporate tax proposed by the French government in its PLF 2025. In our view, it would be risky to claim victory prematurely, and this provision could make a comeback during the remainder of the budget debate, in the form initially proposed by the government or in another form. We remain cautious on French equities, as the budget debate remains chaotic and fails to live up to the stakes, as underlined by Moody's downgrade of the so...
Les députés ont supprimé vendredi dernier la surtaxe d’Impôt sur les Sociétés proposée par le gouvernement français dans son PLF 2025. Il serait, selon nous, hasardeux de crier victoire trop tôt, et cette disposition pourrait faire son retour durant la suite du débat budgétaire, sous la forme initialement proposée par le gouvernement ou sous une autre. Nous restons prudents sur les actions françaises, le débat budgétaire restant chaotique et pas à la hauteur des enjeux, comme le souli...
Constellium: challenging conditions led to disappointing Q3 results and guidanceVerallia is already marketing new 2032 bonds, a precocity that raises questions.Eramet: Q3 2024 sales below expectations and acquisition of Tsingshan's lithium stake for USD 699mKering: EBIT guidance revised down again after very poor Q3Auchan to sell its Russian subsidiary (La Lettre)>...
Constellium : Challenging conditions led to disappointing Q3 results and guidanceKering : nouvelle révision en baisse de la guidance d’EBIT après un très mauvais T3Verallia commercialise déjà des nouvelles obligations 2032, une précocité qui interpelleEramet : CA T3 2024 inférieur aux attentes et acquisition de la part de Tsingshan dans le lithium pour 699 m USD Auchan s'apprêterait à vendre sa filiale en Russie (La Lettre)>...
> Q3 sales somewhat weak in France and Europe - Yesterday evening, Carrefour published its sales figures for Q3 2024. Although the consolidated l-f-l growth appears in line with forecasts at 8.8% (vs ODDO BHF 8.7%e, css complied by the company 8.6%, and 7.3% according to the VA css), the reality by division is far more mixed and less rosy in our view, with the France and other Europe divisions below forecasts. Technical effects came to -0.2%, -1.2% and -11.4% for th...
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