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Cedric Rossi ... (+2)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Loic Morvan

Luxury goods: The trend should gradually improve in 2025 after a chall...

After a poor 2024 vintage, we expect a gradual recovery during 2025, which will nevertheless remain a soft year as we anticipate an average sales increase of just 4% for our luxury groups sample (+3% excluding Hermès). Q1 is set to be challenging with a 1% average sales decline (-2% excluding Hermès

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again

EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 03/31/2025

Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone: preliminary full-year earnings|Fnac Darty launches the repurchase invitation for 2027 OCEANES at a price of € 77.25|Maxeda bondholders start to organize (9fin)|Telecom Italia: Poste Italiane replaces Vivendi as the largest shareholder|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 31/03/2025

Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone : résultats annuels préliminaires|Fnac Darty annonce le lancement de l’offre de rachat des OCEANES 2027 au prix de 77,25 EUR|Maxeda : Les principaux créanciers auraient commencé à s’organiser|Telecom Italia : Poste Italiane remplace Vivendi en tant que principal actionnaire|

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #64

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

H&M: business model still fragile in an uncertain world

The mild reaction yesterday confirmed that investors had mixed feelings about the sharp 33% miss on Q1 EBIT and the scenario of gradual improvement throughout the year. Although management guided for a positive markdown impact in H2 2024, soft organic growth, rising inventory levels and volatile co

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Mister Spex: all eyes on execution of "SpexFocus" plan

When MRX announced its SpexFocus plan last summer, we commented that its initiatives would bring short-term pains before delivering long-term gains. In 2025, these short-term pains will be visible at the revenue level, while margins and FCF should show a sequential improvement thanks to the SpexFoc

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 03/27/2025

OpenAI is said to be close to finalizing a $ 40bn funding round led by SoftBank Group (Bloomberg)|Emeria: disposals more than necessary after a worrying Q4|URW adjusts its hybrid structure with a new issue and a buyback offer|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 27/03/2025

OpenAI serait proche de finaliser une levée de fonds de 40 mds USD mené par SoftBank Group (Bloomberg)|Emeria : les cessions plus que nécessaires après un T4 inquiétant|URW ajuste sa structure d’hybrides avec une nouvelle émission et une offre de rachat|

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Mister Spex: Reassuring FY24 numbers; priority for FY25 is margin impr...

Mister Spex reported this morning in-line FY sales of EUR217m (-3% YoY) reflecting the Group's decision to close all its nine International stores. On the positive side, FY aEBITDA of -EUR5.8m was less negative than anticipated by the market (-EUR7.1m). For FY25, i.e. "discount detox" and the negat

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

H&M: Soft Q1 sales momentum despite margin sacrifices

Arguably, with +2% FX-n in Q1 2025 H&M achieved two consecutive quarters of positive organic growth for the first time since Q4 2019-Q1 2020 (stripping out the atypical period of post Covid-related lockdowns until H1 2022), but it was fuelled by painful price reinvestments and marketing efforts

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #63

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how sub-sectors within our Consumer coverage have fared since the beginni

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