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Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO new targets

ABN AMRO's new targets leave room for lower MDA headroom

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO new targets

ABN AMRO (ABNANV) outlined new financial targets for 2028 this morning. One of the main angles is the cost base and the substantial expected headcount reductions, following the integration of HAL and eventually NIBC. Regarding capital the new targets would entail at least 235bp headroom to MDA trigger levels. We consider the cost targets as ambitious and that they should support efficiency metrics going forward. That being said, reaching the return on equity target could come eventually with a l...

 PRESS RELEASE

NICE Recommends AUCATZYL® (obecabtagene autoleucel) as a Treatment Opt...

NICE Recommends AUCATZYL® (obecabtagene autoleucel) as a Treatment Option for Adult Patients (≥26 years) with Relapsed or Refractory B-Cell Precursor Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (R/R B-ALL)¹ AUCATZYL® will be available through routine commissioning by the UK National Health Service (NHS) LONDON, Nov. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Autolus Therapeutics plc (Nasdaq: AUTL), an early commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company developing, manufacturing and delivering next-generation programmed T cell therapies, announces that the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) has pu...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: CMD targets at higher end, bold FTE cut to clinch 55% C/I ratio, lower CoRisk. D'Ieteren: Key Belron US glass supplier Fuyao connected to US labour allegations. Elia: Preview 3Q25 update; fine-tuning guidance to upper end of range?. NSI: KPN to leave Glass House, c.7.5% additional vacancy. SBM Offshore: Another step towards SEAP 1+2 FPSO awards. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase its US subscription prices in 1Q26

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Bekaert Model update – Cash is king

We lowered our forecasts following the FY25 underlying EBIT margin guidance adjustment (from an 8-8.5% range to c. 8%), whilst welcoming the return to positive volume growth in 3Q. Bekaert has been struggling to grow recently as many of its important end markets (like automotive & construction) are inherently mature whilst some of the growth areas have not been living up to expectations (e.g. green hydrogen). Management is also looking at M&A to accelerate growth, but sizeable M&A is having a to...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+5)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Basic-Fit VAT from 6% to 12% on sports in Belgium

Yesterday, the Belgian federal government announced an agreement on the federal budget, which includes raising VAT on sports subscriptions from 6.0% to 12.0%. The BeNeLux region remains Basic-Fit's key profit driver, delivering a 46.5% EBITDA less rent margin in 1H25 compared to 12.0% across its other markets. For Belgium, we forecast FY25 revenue of approximately €250 million and underlying EBITDA less rent of €115 million. If the additional 6.0% VAT is absorbed without price adjustments, this ...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

Autolus Upping our Aucatzyl sales estimates in r/r ALL

Last week, Autolus reported 3Q25 results. Autolus reported 3Q25 sales of $21.1m, bringing the total for 9M25 to $51m. In our launch preview published in January 2025, we estimated Aucatzyl could generate $43m in FY25 sales vs. $37m CSS estimate. Ours and CSS initial estimates turned out to be conservative given that Aucatzyl generated $51m in 9M25. As such, we increase our Aucatzyl FY25 sales estimate in the US to $72.5m, and increase our peak market share to 50% (from 40%) supported by strong i...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

VGP Model update, recurrent EPS increases with pipeline acceleration

At the 10m25 update, VGP gave optimistic guidance on its pipeline and JV closings as it completes projects over 2H25 and 1H26. VGP differs from most REITS due to its JV-structure. Initially it develops for its own portfolio and recycles the capital afterwards by selling into a JV. Hence, VGP realises valuation gains in 2 stages. First, at the start of the asset construction as an unrealised gain estimated by experts (not included in EPRA EPS). Secondly, as the asset is transferred to a JV on the...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Switch on the Robots Automation and Energy Investments in Logistic/Ind...

Automation and Energy investments increase the value per sqm of landbank. Tenants are inclined to sign longer lease contracts to protect their significant investments. We expect to see more large warehouse automation projects over the next 12-18 months as the ROI increases thanks to technological innovations. The decision process seems to take longer due to the size of the investments. We believe the logistic segment offers an interesting investment opportunity. WDP trades at only 3% premium...

 PRESS RELEASE

ABN AMRO to sell Alfam to Rabobank

ABN AMRO to sell Alfam to Rabobank ABN AMRO to sell Alfam to RabobankPersonal loans offered via a third-party arrangement25 November 2025Today, ABN AMRO announces that it has reached an agreement on the sale of its fully-owned subsidiary Alfam, ABN AMRO’s personal loan business, to Rabobank. ABN AMRO will continue to offer personal loans to its clients, now via a third-party arrangement with Rabobank.The personal loans market is highly competitive, making scale increasingly important. By joining forces with Rabobank, a well-regarded and reliable partner, clients will continue to receive hig...

 PRESS RELEASE

ABN AMRO verkoopt Alfam aan Rabobank

ABN AMRO verkoopt Alfam aan Rabobank ABN AMRO verkoopt Alfam aan RabobankPersoonlijke leningen aangeboden via een ‘third-party arrangement’25 november 2025 ABN AMRO maakt vandaag bekend dat zij overeenstemming heeft bereikt over de verkoop van haar volledige dochteronderneming Alfam aan Rabobank. Alfam is het onderdeel van ABN AMRO dat persoonlijke leningen verstrekt. ABN AMRO blijft persoonlijke leningen aanbieden aan haar klanten, nu via een zogenoemde ‘third-party arrangement’ met Rabobank. De concurrentie op de markt voor persoonlijke leningen is zeer groot en schaalgrootte wordt daard...

 PRESS RELEASE

ABN AMRO presents roadmap for profitable growth and new financial targ...

ABN AMRO presents roadmap for profitable growth and new financial targets for 2028 ABN AMRO presents roadmap for profitable growth and new financial targets for 2028 25 November 2025 Today, ABN AMRO presents the bank’s new strategy and financial outlook for 2026-2028 at its Capital Markets Day. The new plan is designed to deliver profitable growth and enhanced value for all stakeholders. There are three strategic priorities for the coming years: accelerating profitable growth, right-sizing the bank’s cost base, including a net reduction of the workforce by 5,200 FTEs by 2028 compared...

 PRESS RELEASE

ABN AMRO presenteert strategie voor winstgroei en nieuwe financiële do...

ABN AMRO presenteert strategie voor winstgroei en nieuwe financiële doelen voor 2028 ABN AMRO presenteert strategie voor winstgroei en nieuwe financiële doelen voor 2028 25 november 2025 Vandaag presenteert ABN AMRO tijdens de Capital Markets Day haar nieuwe strategie en financiële vooruitzichten voor 2026 - 2028. Het nieuwe plan richt zich op winstgroei en het vergroten van de waarde voor alle stakeholders. Voor de komende jaren heeft de bank drie strategische prioriteiten geformuleerd: het versnellen van winstgevende groei, het optimaliseren van de kostenbasis van de bank, onder ander...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: 3Q TU mostly in line, better inflows, markets support AuMs. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 3Q25/26 results. Bekaert: Soft 3Q25 update, FY guidance further toned down. Corbion: Evolution, not revolution. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 11% revenue and 8% OIBDA beat

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Bekaert FIRST LOOK: 3Q sales -1% LFL, FY EBIT margin guidance adjusted...

3Q revenue declined by 1% on a like for like basis and came in slightly below our and consensus figures, whilst volumes were up 3%. Bekaert adjusted FY25 uEBIT margin guidance from an 8.0-8.5% range to around 8.0%, which compares to our and consensus forecasts of respectively 8.4% and 8.3%. Whilst the current momentum gives not much to cheer about, we continue to believe valuation is absolutely undemanding at a P/E26e of c. 7% and double digits free cash flow yields, which allow Bekaert to conti...

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