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Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: November Edition

What you need to know: • Gold held strong in the low-$4,000/oz range (rising at the end of the month), silver extended its rally with an 18.5% increase, while copper capped off the month above $5.25/lb. • Mining equities rebounded sharply in November, with the GDX (+15.5%), GDXJ (+16.6%), SILJ (+16.7%), and COPX (+4.1%) massively outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 +0.4%, TSX +3.8%). • Policy momentum improved as the U.S. added copper and silver to its critical minerals list, G20 leaders opp...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: October Edition

What you need to know: • Gold reached new record highs above $4,300/oz before settling around $4,000/oz, while silver climbed for the sixth consecutive month. • Despite this rise in metal prices, mining equities underperformed, with the GDX down 5.7%, GDXJ down 5.5%, and SILJ down 7.3%, and COPX up 3.1%, compared to the S&P 500 (+2.5%) and TSX (+0.8%). • Geopolitical developments, including the U.S. $5B critical minerals fund, G7 stockpiling alliance, and Trump's new partnerships with Australi...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

RIO: Q3 Construction Update; Ore Being Placed on Pad, Gold In Jan/26

What you need to know: • Rio2 reported that construction at Fenix Gold reached 63% in Q3, showing strong momentum as it remains on schedule and on budget for first gold in January 2026. • Progress accelerated across key areas, including leach pad extensions, ADR plant work, and ore stacking, positioning the project for commissioning. • With gold prices rising dramatically, Rio2 is nearing a key inflection point as it transitions to production and begins generating heavy cashflows. • On Sept ...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Q3/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Q3/25 marked a particularly strong quarter for Atrium, as precious metal prices continued to rise rapidly, driving notable outperformance across our coverage. Our covered stocks increased 46% on average in Q3/25 and are up 227% over the past year, outperforming the TSX, which gained 12% during the quarter and 37% YoY, and TSXV, which gained 29% and 67%, respectively. This builds on the 27% increase from our coverage universe in Q2/25. Top performers from our coverage this quarter include Andean ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: September Edition

What you need to know: • In September, gold rose 10.8% to approach $3,900/oz and silver surged 14.4% toward $46/oz, marking five straight months of gains. • Mining equities strongly outperformed, with GDX, GDXJ, SILJ, and COPX up 20.9%, 23.7%, 23.9%, and 20.1%, respectively, versus the S&P 500 (+3.4%) and TSX (+5.1%). • Sector momentum was reinforced by the Fed rate cut, record financing activity among juniors, and the announcement of the $53B Teck–Anglo American merger, the largest deal in ove...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

RIO: Desalinated Water Update Setting Up Expansion Plans

What you need to know: • Rio2 announced two MOUs for the potential supply of desalinated water to the Fenix Gold Mine. The two studies will evaluate the potential expansion of the two companies’ desalination facilities through operating plants and constructing a pipeline from their distribution facilities. • This would allow Fenix to move forward with its expansion plan, where annual production scales from 82Koz per year to over 300Koz. Management outlined a five-year plan for achieving this. • ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: August Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market saw a resurgence in August, reaching record highs, following a subpar couple of previous months. • In August, gold was up 5%, silver was up 7%, and copper was down 2%. The equities massively outperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX up 22.2%, 24.6%, 22.9%, and 15.8%, respectively. • Sector multiples are beginning to expand as gold firmly holds above $3,000/oz and silver surpasses $40/oz. Sentiment Update The mining se...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: July Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market settled in July, following a tremendous run over the last six months. • In July, gold was down 1%, silver was up 2%, and copper down 13%. The equities underperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX down 0.8%, 5.0%, 1.5%, and 4.2%, respectively. • Financings remained elevated during July, with various juniors raising funds as capital continues to trickle down. Sentiment Update The mining sector saw mixed sentiment in July,...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

RIO: Increasing Target Price on Construction Progress

What you need to know: • Rio2 provided an update on the construction progress at the Fenix Gold Project. As of the end of Q2, construction is 41% complete and remains on track and on budget for first gold in Q1/26. • With Q2 behind us, RIO approaches an inflection point of becoming a gold producer and taking advantage of the elevated gold price. There exists further upside with the Mine Expansion Study expected at year end. • Rio2 also announced that it has received the third deposit from Wheat...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Q2/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Quarterly Coverage Update Q2/25 was another strong quarter for Atrium, with continued outperformance from the precious metals space, once again led by silver equities. Our coverage universe climbed 27% on average during the quarter and is up 80% over the last year, compared to the TSX which rose 7% and 23%, respectively. This builds on the 13% gain from our coverage in Q1/25. Top performers include Santacruz Silver (+102%), Allegiant Gold (+79%) and Capitan Silver (+77%). Atrium Research was a...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: June Edition

What you need to know: • The mining sector posted another solid month in June with gold breaking its streak of gains but silver and copper performing well. This was led by increased geopolitical uncertainty, continued government spending, and potential for lower interest rates. • Gold was down 2%, silver was up 4%, and copper was up 5% compared to the GDX up 3%, GDXJ up 4%, SILJ up 12%, and COPX up 10%. • Financings remained strong in June led by a $200M equity raise for the Sprott Physical Uran...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: May Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and geopolitical tensions. • In May, gold was up 1.8%, silver was up 1.7%, and copper was also up 1.7%. The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 3.3%, GDXJ up 6.4%, SIL up 5.9%, and COPX up 8.7%. • Financings remained elevated during May, with multiple juniors raising over $10M as generalist capital returns to the sector. • M&A activity con...

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