We forecast Q1 organic sales growth of just 0.6% YOY, below the full-year guidance, owing to persistent headwinds in wholesale. However, with Managed Care headwinds set to annualise from Q2, better quarters should lie ahead. We expect an unchanged 2025 guidance of 3–7% organic sales growth and DKK4.5bn–4.9bn in EBIT, but we find the lower end most likely. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to DKK300 (320).
Demant ended the year at the low end of its guidance, with H2 organic growth of c2% YOY and EBIT before special items of DKK2,336m. While we see scope for a recovery in 2025, we forecast it to be back-end loaded, supported by easing headwinds related to Managed Care from Q2e. The 2025 guidance is for 3–7% organic sales growth and EBIT of DKK4.5bn–4.9bn. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to DKK320 (330).
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