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ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Alexander Krämer

Evolution AB: 1 director

A director at Evolution AB bought 3,500 shares at 644.600SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Morten Larsen
ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Morten Larsen
Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Rune Majlund Dahl

Demant (Buy, TP: DKK300.00) - Headwinds set to persist in Q1

We forecast Q1 organic sales growth of just 0.6% YOY, below the full-year guidance, owing to persistent headwinds in wholesale. However, with Managed Care headwinds set to annualise from Q2, better quarters should lie ahead. We expect an unchanged 2025 guidance of 3–7% organic sales growth and DKK4.5bn–4.9bn in EBIT, but we find the lower end most likely. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to DKK300 (320).

Patrik Ling
  • Patrik Ling

Oncopeptides (Buy, TP: SEK2.00) - Softer-than-expected earnings

Although Q4 earnings were weaker than we expected, operating expenses were higher (partly due to borderline one-off costs; R&D-related for an EMA facility inspection). We have lowered our sales forecasts for Pepaxti in Europe. However, we believe 2025 will be important for the company, as sales should start to ramp up in Italy and Spain. We reiterate our BUY, but have reduced our target price to SEK2.0 (2.5).

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Alexander Krämer
Oliver Metzger
  • Oliver Metzger
ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Morten Larsen
Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Rune Majlund Dahl

Demant (Buy, TP: DKK320.00) - Back-end-loaded 2025e recovery

Demant ended the year at the low end of its guidance, with H2 organic growth of c2% YOY and EBIT before special items of DKK2,336m. While we see scope for a recovery in 2025, we forecast it to be back-end loaded, supported by easing headwinds related to Managed Care from Q2e. The 2025 guidance is for 3–7% organic sales growth and EBIT of DKK4.5bn–4.9bn. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to DKK320 (330).

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Morten Larsen
ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Morten Larsen
Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Rune Majlund Dahl

Demant (Buy, TP: DKK330.00) - Headwinds set to ease in 2025

We forecast 2.2% organic revenue growth YOY in Q4 (consensus 2.3%) and H2 EBIT before special items of DKK2,312m (consensus DKK2,310m), implying 2024 earnings at the lower end of the guidance. We expect Demant to guide for 3–7% organic revenue growth and EBIT of DKK4.6bn–5.0bn for 2025, with easing headwinds (Managed Care and competitive pressure). We reiterate our BUY and DKK330 target price.

Patrik Ling
  • Patrik Ling

Oncopeptides (Buy, TP: SEK2.50) - Germany leads Q3 sales miss

Q3 sales were roughly half the level we expected – admittedly from a small base, but still a concern for us, since the miss was led by Germany, with much slower growth than recently. However, operating expenses were also less than we forecast, leaving an operating loss of SEK61m, a fraction better than our cSEK-63m. End-Q3 cash was SEK250m, which the company said would see it to positive cash flow in 2026e. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to SEK2.5 (4.5) on increased uncertain...

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Alexander Krämer
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