Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 30th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Telecom capex was flat year-on-year in 4Q25 and operator guidance implies this trend will continue in 2026. The outlook for equipment vendors is in line with our expectations: mobile stable,...
The whole EU Telco sector has been on a tear YTD (+18% vs STOXX E600 +5%), as macro factors give support (AI-resilience, sector rotation). For Swisscom and Sunrise this has been augmented by perceptions that Switzerland is a “safe haven” thanks to the strong CHF and low 10-year risk free rate.
In this note, we update our model and thoughts following the Q4 results (HERE) incorporating conference call feedback and compare our new estimates to guidance and consensus. Swisscom trades at a significant premium to the sector thanks to favourable macro factors (rates, yield, Italy M&A, CHF strength) but the telco issues (Swiss SR, Salt share gains, ARPU weakness), do not warrant such an elevated multiple in our view.
Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 11% YoY. RAN revenues declined 1% YoY, reflecting the ongoing weak demand following the 5G cycle. Telecom semis ...
FWA has reached 38% penetration in Austria today, 13% in Italy, but is just 1-2% elsewhere in Europe. Furthermore, the EC has just made a major decision to dedicate a further 540MHz of spectrum to mobile carriers increasing their bandwidth by 60%.
Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed
Swisscom has reported a set of Q3 numbers very similar to the Q2s: a small SR miss, a good EBITDA beat, and guidance has been reiterated, suggesting a pull forward of cost out, rather than a more material fundamental improvement. As at Q2, SR trends have deteriorated - Swiss MSR trends are better, but these have been offset by FSR weakness.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.