reports
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 3Q25 – Telecom: Growth in fixed & semis; mobile stabilizing
Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 11% YoY. RAN revenues declined 1% YoY, reflecting the ongoing weak demand following the 5G cycle. Telecom semis ...
- James Ratzer
European Telecoms for 2026 Industry action required for further outpe...
Over the past 3 years, the EU telecoms sector has had a great run – up >50%, despite modest underlying revenue/ EBITDA growth. This has almost entirely come from a deserved upwards re-rating in the multiple as the risk profile across the sector diminishes – which has been a key theme of ours in the past few years given improved regulation. So, we feel this has now largely played out.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +26%) Safaricom buyout: More FCF accretive than ...
Vodafone and Vodacom have announced today that they will be taking control of Safaricom. Given the structure of the deal with Kenyan Government involving pre-paying dividends, we think the deal could offer better than expected accretion to Vodafone’s reported FCF for limited capital outflow.
- Ben Rickett
- James Ratzer
FWA is on the horizon It has the potential to be disruptive: Keep a v...
FWA has reached 38% penetration in Austria today, 13% in Italy, but is just 1-2% elsewhere in Europe. Furthermore, the EC has just made a major decision to dedicate a further 540MHz of spectrum to mobile carriers increasing their bandwidth by 60%.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +30%) H1 26 - Multiple re-rating in play
Vodafone has reported a decent set of H1 results and guidance has been moved to the upper-end of the guidance range (albeit us and consensus were already there). We think there is still a story for the multiple to be re-rated further – and even though there is new dividend guidance today, we also think there is potential for incremental cash return to come at the FY results.
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHLN DHL GROUP
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
LR LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
G1A GEA GROUP AG
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
GFC GECINA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
RF EURAZEO SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
CRG CRH PLC
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
CTPNV CTP NV
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
SYENS SYENSQO
UN0 UNIPER SE
AENA AENA S.M.E. SA
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Snam, Veolia, Engie, CTP, Vonovia, SES, BT...
Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHLN DHL GROUP
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
LR LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
GFC GECINA SA
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
RF EURAZEO SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
CRG CRH PLC
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
CTPNV CTP NV
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
SYENS SYENSQO
UN0 UNIPER SE
AENA AENA S.M.E. SA
- Russell Waller
Swisscom (Neutral, TP: CHF 575, -2%) Q3 25: SR miss, but good EBITDA ...
Swisscom has reported a set of Q3 numbers very similar to the Q2s: a small SR miss, a good EBITDA beat, and guidance has been reiterated, suggesting a pull forward of cost out, rather than a more material fundamental improvement. As at Q2, SR trends have deteriorated - Swiss MSR trends are better, but these have been offset by FSR weakness.
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
Why you should be reading the Tariff Tracker – a leading SR indicator
We publish monthly front book pricing data in our Tariff Tracker product. In this report we show some new analysis looking at how front book tariffs are a good leading indicator for service revenue trends in mobile and fixed, including new work looking at discounted and undiscounted prices.
- Emira Sagaama
- Jean-François Granjon
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Emira Sagaama
- Jean-François Granjon
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Stephane Beyazian
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Stephane Beyazian
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 2Q25 – Telecom Infrastructure: Fixed and semis recover; mobile s...
Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, ...
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