The current context heralds a new period of uncertainty, but this will not undermine the growth cycle for utilities, marked by price normalisation, accelerating demand and the increasing complexity of the electricity system, due to the intermittency of renewables, congestion and the need for flexibility. In this context, selectivity is key, between players seeking profitable growth internationally and those waiting on their domestic market. We maintain our sector hierarchy in favour of earnings ...
Le contexte actuel ouvre une nouvelle période d’incertitude mais qui ne remettra pas en cause le cycle de croissance des Utilities, marqué par la normalisation des prix, l’accélération de la demande et la complexification accrue du système électrique, en raison de l’intermittence des renouvelables, des congestions et du besoin de flexibilité. Dans ce contexte, la sélectivité est déterminante, entre les acteurs qui cherchent la croissance rentable à l’international et ceux qui patientent sur leur...
The tariff war between US and China has eased, but with the Iran conflict and an erratic Trump, uncertainty will continue into 2027. Energy prices have gone ballistic, with gas prices doubling in Europe and has hit the cyclical stocks hard. The highly anticipated AI productivity gains also will have to transpire sooner or later or a US market correction becomes unavoidable. While the macro-economic impact has been limited so far, a prolonged uncertain situation will result in economic damage. We...
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