HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 4Q FY25 – core numbers in line with our estimates, but weaker than the consensus • CEZ: KHNP, government and CEZ sign EDU II deal POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Jumbo: May sales growth picks up speed to a strong 12%; declares EUR 0.50/share dividend POSITIVE • Titan: signs MOA with Carbon Upcycling to develop low-carbon construction materials POSITIVE • PCF Group: decision to reduce project Bifrost development team • Mavi: 1Q25E earnings preview (due on 10 June)
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
For a third consecutive trading session SOFIX (1007.26, +0.79%) gained altitude and crossed the resistant level of 1000. Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.54, +5.48%) and Shelly (SLYG, BGN 46.90, +2.96%) flew over the day while the most traded name Sopharma (SFA, BGN 6.76, +0.30%) moved slightly North registering a few block trades. Advance Terrafund (ATER, BGN 2.90, -0.68%) and Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 9.50, -0.52%) booked negative trading days and slipped with insignificant daily volum...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank Group: smart leverage, strong thesis (stays BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: no such thing as plug and play in M&A (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: CIS plus – a good growth juncture, amid global policy shifts • PCF Group: 1Q25 results miss expectations, on lower portion of costs being capitalised NEGATIVE • Echo Investment (HOLD, PT PLN 3.1): 1Q25 – only a handful of deliveries means a weak P&L • Duna House: 1Q25 results– first look positive POSITIVE • DataWalk: ke...
The Bulgarian stocks marked a positive week, while the global markets suffered pullbacks and volatility, as new threats were tapping the brakes on investor optimism. The local benchmark SOFIX added 2.6% to settle at 981.32 and the broader BGBX40 (183.32, +1.7%) and BGTR30 (922.11, +2.6%) moved similar. Three SOFIX members were the top gainers in our list of selected securities – the technology blue chips Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.43, +19.2%) and Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 5.35, +7.4%) a...
SOFIX (987.54, -0.83%) lost altitude as most index members closed in the red zone on Wednesday. Smart Organic (SO, BGN 31,00, -3.13%), Shelly (SLYG, BGN 45,00, -2.17%) and Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 9.10, -2.15%) suffered from selling pressure and weighed on the main index. Doverie United Holding (DUH, BGN 8.68, +0.23%) was the only SOFIX member that closed positive but registered insignificant daily turnover. BGREIT (219.07, -0.97%) also stepped bаck, reflecting the drop of Sopharma Bui...
The Bulgarian equity market finished a volatile session on firmly higher note with SOFIX (995.81, +1.45%) on its way to 1000 points, followed by BGBX40 (185.17, +1.01%) and BGTR30 (926.39, +0.46%) in the first trading day of the week. Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 9.30, +8.14%), Shelly (SLYG, EUR 46.00, +5.99%) and Sopharma (SFA, BGN 6.68, +2.14%) began on a high note and steady added to their gains as the session carried on, though Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.40) and Smart Organic (SO, BGN 32....
The Bulgarian equity market had another strong showing on Wednesday and continued its upside trend, building on recent gains. The major indexes endured significant positive actions on broad base and advanced in range between 0.31% and 1.21%. The upside bias was supported by large cap names - First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.24, +4.80%), Smart Organic (SO, BGN 33.80, +2.42%), Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.50, +2.66%) as Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.43, +13.49%) stepped in front of this list after a significant...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today affirmed the Baa1/(P)Baa1 senior unsecured debt/senior unsecured MTN program ratings of CEZ, a.s. (CEZ) and the baa2 Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA). At the same time, we have changed the outlook to positive from negative. RATINGS RATIONALE On 28 April [1], C...
The major indexes closed near session highs on Wednesday, reflecting the continuous buying interest in Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 8.60, +3.61%), Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.26, +4.13%) and Smart Organic (SO, BGN 33.00, +3.13%). First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.00) attracted more investors after the announcement of additional items to be voted on the GSM and led the gainers with 13.64% advance, revealing the investors optimism about some key phrases in the proposal. Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.28, -...
The local stock market gained some steam last week and ended on a positive note, ranging from 0.8% to 3.2%. The benchmark SOFIX added 3.2% to settle at 956.86, strongly supported by the renewed buying interest in high-tech blue chip Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 42.80, +17.3%). The share became the weekly top gainer within our list of selected companies, followed by the less interesting Industrial Capital Holding (HIKA, BGN 2.56, +4.9%) and Monbat (MONB, BGN 2.60, +4.0%). On the other side, Speedy (SP...
The Bulgarian equity market had another strong showing on Thursday due to carryover upside momentum and recorded new 18-year high. SOFIX (961.55, +2.13%) outperformed all major indexes, while BGREIT (217.32) alone registered loss in this trading session, following Bulgarian Real Estate Fund’s (BREF, BGN 4.40, -0.45%) decline. Shelly (SLYG, EUR 43.50, +11.54%) continued to lead the gainers and the positive bias was supported by Sirma (SGH, BGN 1.21, +4.31%), Smart Organic (SO, BGN 32.40, +3.18%) ...
HEADLINES: • VIGO Photonics: top Polish defence industry exposure (downgraded to HOLD) • PGE: strong 1Q25 recurring EBITDA, 26% above our expectations POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: weak 1Q25, misses our forecast, on higher opex NEGATIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA beats in 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Krka: 1Q25 – record net profit, on high FX revaluation gains POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations, but 2025E guidance implies an EBITDA margin contraction POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q25 r...
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
The Bulgarian stock market finished the last week on an upbeat mode as world markets continued to recover from the sharp pullback during the last months. The positive sentiment pushed the benchmark SOFIX up with 3.7% to settle at 927.04, while all other major indexes closed in green, ranging from 2.8% to 0.1%. The news about starting the procedure for dual listing of Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.21, +11.0%) put the company on the top of the gainers in our list of selected securities, followed...
HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: a touch of Midas, none of Icarus (BUY - initiation of coverage) • PKO BP: solid 1Q25 results, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: 1Q25 results – significant miss NEGATIVE • Richter: 1Q25 results in line NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 1Q25 results NEUTRAL • Tauron: 1Q25 preliminary EBITDA 16% above our expectations POSITIVE • Kaspi.kz: 1Q25 highlights; 2025E guidance revised down NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q25 results highlights • Zabka (NOT RATED): ...
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