European Telecoms for 2026 Industry action required for further outpe...

Over the past 3 years, the EU telecoms sector has had a great run – up >50%, despite modest underlying revenue/ EBITDA growth. This has almost entirely come from a deserved upwards re-rating in the multiple as the risk profile across the sector diminishes – which has been a key theme of ours in the past few years given improved regulation. So, we feel this has now largely played out.

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +26%) Safaricom buyout: More FCF accretive than ...

Vodafone and Vodacom have announced today that they will be taking control of Safaricom. Given the structure of the deal with Kenyan Government involving pre-paying dividends, we think the deal could offer better than expected accretion to Vodafone’s reported FCF for limited capital outflow.

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +30%) H1 26 - Multiple re-rating in play

Vodafone has reported a decent set of H1 results and guidance has been moved to the upper-end of the guidance range (albeit us and consensus were already there). We think there is still a story for the multiple to be re-rated further – and even though there is new dividend guidance today, we also think there is potential for incremental cash return to come at the FY results.

Iliad : Additional thoughts on potential market consolidation in Franc...

We published a Special Comment on Iliad on 3rd September 2023 in the context of Iliad SA’s issuance of € 600m of new unsecured notes due in January 2032 (long 6Y) at a yield of 4.25%. We touched briefly upon Iliad’s solid H1 2025 earnings, the group’s adequate liquidity, and its current Ba3/BB ratings with a positive outlook. In this report, we are adding some thoughts about the capital structure and the impact of a potential consolidation in France, in the light of a new article published by BF...

Iliad : Additional thoughts on potential market consolidation in Franc...

We published a Special Comment on Iliad on 3rd September 2023 in the context of Iliad SA’s issuance of € 600m of new unsecured notes due in January 2032 (long 6Y) at a yield of 4.25%. We touched briefly upon Iliad’s solid H1 2025 earnings, the group’s adequate liquidity, and its current Ba3/BB ratings with a positive outlook. In this report, we are adding some thoughts about the capital structure and the impact of a potential consolidation in France, in the light of a new article published by BF...

Why you should be reading the Tariff Tracker – a leading SR indicator

We publish monthly front book pricing data in our Tariff Tracker product. In this report we show some new analysis looking at how front book tariffs are a good leading indicator for service revenue trends in mobile and fixed, including new work looking at discounted and undiscounted prices.

Iliad : Recommandation Achat sur les nouvelles obligations Iliad SA 20...

Iliad : Buy recommendation on new Iliad SA 2032 notes

Vodafone (Buy, £1.20, +40%) Q1 26: Clearer evidence of value over volu...

Vodafone’s Q1 results do show some signs of improving revenue growth in Germany with a more disciplined approach to pricing. We think Vodafone still looks very attractively priced at the moment, but we believe a longer-term outlook from management would help to underpin more confidence in the investment case.

EU Telecoms: Half-time 2025 Review Sector has outperformed: More sele...

The European Telecoms continues to outperform: up 17% YTD vs. the market up 10%. While this is great to see, adding to the 12pp outperformance in 2024 and supporting our investment thesis of improving regulation, it does mean the equity upside story from here is becoming more selective.

Vodafone (Buy, £1.20, +50%) Tele Columbus (Overweight) German TV refr...

Over the past year, Vodafone and TeleColumbus have been hugely affected by the MDU bulk migration. However, going into the second half of 2025, we will start to lap this impact so trends will revert to something more “normal”.

Vodafone to Virgin spectrum sale: More details revealed

As part of the Vodafone-Three merger (VOD3UK), the merging companies committed to sell a portfolio of spectrum to VMO2. The details of that spectrum portfolio have now been formally disclosed by Ofcom, which has published a notification listing the frequencies that are due to be transferred (LINK). In this note, we run through the final decisions and implications for potential UK revenue share.

The company started seeing signs of recovery as subscriber losses begu...

As we expected, the UK merger completed this morning, so we wanted to take this opportunity to highlight the note we put out on Saturday, in which we published our new model (including the UK merger, and assuming Vodafone buys out the Hutchinson minority in 3 years’ time). The terms of the deal are as initially announced. We believe the value creation is +9p per share, included within our 120p price target. We still see >50% upside from current levels.

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +56%) Was 135p Target price/ model update: T...

We don't usually aim to publish price target updates over the weekend, so please do forgive us, but with today being May 31st and Vodafone's desire to close the UK merger during H1 and at a month-end, we would like to think that the UK deal closing could be very imminent - and maybe even today.