reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Oil & Gas; AKCNS TI; EME Macro/Strategy – Dividends; HU...
HEADLINES: • Romanian oil & gas: just have a little patience (OMV Petrom stays BUY, Romgaz downgraded to HOLD – transfer of coverage) • Akcansa: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – if growth is in doubt, opt for payout • Huuuge Games: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations, slightly above the consensus NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 3Q24 results – slow quarter; FY24E guidance confirmed NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT signals a dovish turn • Cyfrowy Polsat:...
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jonathan Lamb
Romanian Oil & Gas: just have a little patience (OMV Petrom stays BUY,...
To be the owners of the biggest gas project in the EU, at a time when the former biggest supplier is threatening, once again, to cut supply off, is perhaps an enviable situation to be in, in our view. The contracts have been signed, construction has begun, and the drilling rig has arrived. However, we still need to wait until 2027E for completion, and the partners are boosting their capital expenditure to record levels. While the future is being constructed, the past continues to fade, with both...
Cognor Holding S.A.: 1 director
A director at Cognor Holding S.A. bought 484,931 shares at 4.930PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EAT PW; EUR PW; CBF PW; MBR PW; ALE PW; VRC PW; TEN PW; PK...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 3Q24 in line, on a EUR 9m positive one-off NEGATIVE • Eurocash: 3Q24 weak, as expected; FY25E guidance cancelled NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: 3Q24 results review – 26% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q24 EBITDA up 26% yoy, 22-28% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q24 EBITDA beat, but yoy decline guided for 4Q24E, due to international operations NEUTRAL • Vercom: 3Q24 results - 28% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with ou...
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
R22 R22
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
VRC VERCOM SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; CEZ CP; PGSUS TI; RICHT HB; APR PW; SNP RO; PPC ...
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak operating results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • CEZ: 3Q24 bottom-line miss due to accounting changes; EBITDA guidance raised by 7% POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q24 – 22% higher caskx alleviated by 4% higher RASK and 12% lower fuel cask (in line with the consensus) • Richter: 3Q24 operating results in line NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: preliminary 3Q24 EBIT falls 22% yoy, 9-12% below our expectations and the market NEGATIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth at 13% yoy, broadly as expect...
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ENX EURONEXT NV
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
HOT HOCHTIEF AG
GRF GRIFOLS S.A. CLASS A
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
CRG CRH PLC
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
INX IMCD N.V.
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
GRF.P GRIFOLS S.A. PREF CLASS B
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
RMV RIGHTMOVE PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
INPST INPOST S.A.
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ENX EURONEXT NV
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
HOT HOCHTIEF AG
GRF GRIFOLS S.A. CLASS A
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
CRG CRH PLC
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
INX IMCD N.V.
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
GRF.P GRIFOLS S.A. PREF CLASS B
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
RMV RIGHTMOVE PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
INPST INPOST S.A.
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Stefano Toffano
- Wim Gille
InPost : Solid progress in all regions
>Continued good margin expansion - InPost published yet another good set of results, with good progress on almost all KPIs. Group parcel volumes grew +24.8% yoy in Q3 24 (ccs +22.1%, AAOBe +19.6%), pushing group revenues up +22.6% yoy in (~25% ex FX, ccs +23.0%). InPost was able to continue to generate operating leverage, expanding the group’s adj. EBITDA margin by +2.7ppt yoy to 33.6% (ccs 32.4%, AAOBe 33.1%). We are pleased to once again see healthy free cash flow g...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; CCC PW; DNP PW; INPST NA; MOL HB; WIZZ LN; EUROB G...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: solid 3Q24 results, in line with our forecasts; future share price performance depends on growth guidance and/or capital distribution NEUTRAL • CCC: historically-best quarterly EBITDA 9% above our expectations, due to opex control POSITIVE • Dino Polska: 4-8% EBITDA beats in 3Q24, EBITDA back on the rise POSITIVE • InPost: 3Q24 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • MOL: 3Q24 results – EBITDA in line with our and the consensus estimates NEUTRAL • Wizz...
MOL MOL NYRT
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
CCC CCC SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
NLBR NLB GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only the Czech Republic in the bla...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MIL PW; SPL PW; OMV AV; SNP RO; BDX PW; EUR PW
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: ambitious, but achievable, 2025-28E strategy implies a return to growth and more of a focus on the corporate segment POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: 3Q24 results in line; key focus on 2025-28E strategic update • Santander Bank Polska: posts solid 3Q24 profits, as NII peaks and FX mortgage saga costs are very low for the quarter • OMV: 3Q24 results – CCS EBIT in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 results in line with consensus NEUTRAL • Budimex: key takea...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ACP PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; GE Macro; ARCLK TI; SOL...
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: profitability rebound slower than expected (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (21-27 October) • Georgia macro: early takes following the parliamentary election • Arcelik: weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • Budimex: 3Q24 EBIT marginally above our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Cimsa: 3Q24 conference call takeaways • PKO BP: three of four largest minority shareholders act jointly to call EGM...
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Maria Mickiewicz
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
Asseco Poland: profitability rebound slower than expected (downgraded ...
We have downgraded Asseco Poland (ACP) to HOLD (from Buy) and cut our price target (PT) to PLN 102.5 (from PLN 103.0), implying 12% upside potential. We take profit after ACP’s stock price has rallied 31% ytd, but we remain positive on the name and would take advantage of any price correction. We continue to believe that ACP should benefit from easing pressure on salaries, AI-powered tools application and EU funds inflows into Poland. However, the profitability improvement story is unfolding mor...
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/17/2024
We measured the impact of the contribution from Michel Barnier’s exceptional tax on 88 stocks exposed to France. Some 17 of them would experience a (negative) impact on their EPS of more than 4% on average over 2024 and 2025: LDC (-8.3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7.9%), ADP (-7.9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6.9%), Derichebourg (-6.3%), Hermès (-5.6%), Safran (-5.6%), Bouygues (-5.6%), M6 (-5.2%), Thales (-5%), TF1 (-4.9%), Nexans (-4.9%), Vinci (-4.7%), Compagnie des Alpes (...
FP TOTAL SE
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GFC GECINA SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
ABB ABB LTD.
KORI KORIAN SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
KER KERING SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
AIR AIRBUS SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
SHEL SHELL PLC
EAPI EUROAPI
ORP ORPEA
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 17/10/2024
Nous avons mesuré l’impact de la contribution exceptionnelle Barnier sur 88 valeurs exposées à la France. 17 d’entre elles auraient un impact (négatif) sur leurs BPA de plus de 4% en moyenne sur 2024 et 2025 : LDC (-8,3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7,9%) ADP (-7,9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6,9%), Derichebourg (-6,3%), Hermès (-5,6%), Safran (-5,6%), Bouygues (-5,6%), M6 (-5,2%), Thalès (-5%), TF1 (-4,9%), Nexans (-4,9%), Vinci (-4,7%), Compagnie des Alpes (-4,4%), FDJ (-4%). - ...
FP TOTAL SE
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GFC GECINA SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
ABB ABB LTD.
KORI KORIAN SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
KER KERING SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
AIR AIRBUS SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
SHEL SHELL PLC
EAPI EUROAPI
ORP ORPEA
- Stefano Toffano
- Wim Gille
InPost : Preview Q3 24 results (8 November)
>InPost’s international operations are notching it up - InPost’s performance over H1 24 was overall slightly better than our expectations and ahead of ccs. More importantly, the company’s growth units (i.c. its international activities) are now clearly stepping up to the plate. At Q2 24 results (September 6) InPost noted that Q3 24 trading so far reflected group volume growth of roughly 20% yoy, with Poland volumes growing in the mid to high teens % and international ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ELPE GA; MOH GA; VGO PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; OPL PW; CPS PW;...
HEADLINES: • Greek oil refiners: need a little time to shake things up (HELLENiQ Energy downgraded to HOLD, Motor Oil Hellas stays BUY) • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 sales down 5% yoy, to PLN 15.7m NEGATIVE • Allegro: announces another change in CEO post NEGATIVE • InPost: acquisition of remaining 70% stake in Menzies for GBP 60m POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from an interview with the CFO NEUTRAL • Polish media: TVN put on sale for PLN 5bn, according to Newsweek NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24E prev...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GSPARK HB (stays BUY); OMV AV; SNP RO; WPL PW; Polish tele...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: still great value (stays BUY) • OMV: 3Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: real users in September 2024 NEGATIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q24 NEUTRAL • EME macro/strategy: macro all-in-one (30 September-6 October)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CAI AV (upgraded to BUY); OMV AV; TXT PW; Polish banks; Tü...
HEADLINES: • CA Immo: easing alleviates risks; stock at fair levels after dip (upgraded to HOLD) • OMV: force majeure lifted on Libyan oil exports POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q24-25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Polish banks: FinMin on potential sector consolidation and bank tax changes • Türkiye macro: inflation declines to 49.4% yoy in September • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2024 - Brent, refining margins down • Wizz Air CMD: show me the money NEUTRAL
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CCC PW (stays BUY); TXT PW; DOM PW; MIL PW; Poland macro; ...
HEADLINES: • CCC: Shaq attaq (stays BUY) • Text: 2Q24-25 (calendar 3Q24) preliminary results - MRR of USD 7.04m (-0.4% qoq, +8.8% yoy) NEGATIVE • Dom Development: strong sales performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to set aside PLN 470m of FX mortgage provisions in 3Q24E, cost of credit holidays lower NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • GEVORKYAN: EUR 31m long-term contract in the defence industry xx POSITIVE • Cimsa: completes the acquisition of Mannok DAC POSITIVE • Dino P...
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