HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 July) • EU macro: US tariff announcement worse than expected • PKO BP: to book PLN 1.25bn of FX mortgage saga costs in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: MSCI to keep the stock in the Greece Standard index, as largely expected • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25E preview – soft quarter, with 1% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 August)
The Bulgarian stock market edged slightly lower last week, as investor activity did not improve and there was no clear point for the market during ongoing summer season. The benchmark SOFIX retreated 0.2% to settle at 1023.43, as the broad ones- BGBX40 (188.48, -0.2%) and BGTR30 (938.83, -0.3%) performed the same. The weekly volume (-68.5%) showed weak performance, while the turnover (+50.7%) was pushed up by intense trade with bonds and some particular positions. The top gainers within our list...
The Bulgarian equity market finished on a weak note on Thursday as trading activity remaining narrowly ranged with lower volumes. The main indexes ended in negative territory with declines ranging from -0.30% to -0.48%. BGTREIT (227.19, +0.33%) performed differently, supported by the advance of the Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 5.05, +1.41%). Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 5.10, -4.67%), Smart Organic (SO, BGN 32.00, -3.61%) and Agria Group (AGH, BGN 20.00, -3.85%) topped the laggards lis...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
Yesterday was the first trading day of the third quarter, and it was dominated by a narrow range of large-cap names. The tech sector – represented by Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 5.15, -3.74%), Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.40, -2.78%), and Shelly (SLYG, EUR 47.60, -0.63%) – took a step back during the session, dragging SOFIX (1019.96) down by 0.51%. A small trade in Speedy (SPDY, BGN 202.00), amid a widened order book, registered an 8.02% gain for the courier company and helped push the broader inde...
HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext bids for 100% all-share takeover POSITIVE • Wizz Air: June pax up by 10% yoy • Mo-BRUK: NSA verdicts on 2015 and 2017 increased fees NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.73%, while WP TV at 0.70% in June 2025 NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2Q25E preview – flat EBITDAaL yoy expected (due on 28 July)
Green color and huge weekly turnover set SOFIX at 1025.22 (+1.8%) – level we haven’t seen since September 2008. Weekly turnover tripled and reached BGN 44m., compared to the average one YTD of BGN 15.6m. Main distributors for the increased volume were Doverie Unted Holding’s buy-back and Sopharma’s sales of its treasury shares. The week was highlighted also by the first IPO this year of Green Innovation which raised almost BGN 8m. on Tuesday.
The real estate sector led Thursday’s gains on the local stock exchange with Advance Terrafund (ATER, BGN 2.95, +2.08%) and Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 4.94, +2.07%) acting as key drivers. Their performance supported broad-based growth across all major indexes, which closed higher in a range between 0.46% and 1.35%. SOFIX added 0.53% to reach 1 013.89 points, supported by gains in Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 49.40, +0.61%). Meanwhile, the broader indexes also advanced: BGBX40 rose 0.46% to...
The Bulgarian equity market saw some sharp moves in the first day of the week but finally the main indexes finished with losses as the exception was BGREIT (220.53, +0.21%) supported by Advance Terrafund (ATER, BGN 2.83, +1.07%). The tech sector, represented by Shelly (SLYG, EUR 49.10, -2.19%), Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 5.25, -2.78%) and Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.37, -1.44%) met some profit taking action from the retail. The daily volumes barely reached 60% of the 3-months average though the t...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
SOFIX (999.39, +0.58%) closed a few ticks away from the psychological level of 1000, something we haven’t witnessed since 2008. The excellent Q1 financial results raised Doverie United Holding (DUH, BGN 9.00, +3.45%) while Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.46, +2.10%) jumped on the back of buy-back buying power. Ex-dividend date weighed on Advance Terrafund (ATER, BGN 2.92, -2.01%) while Smart Organic (SO, BGN 31.20, -2.50%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.10, -1.54%) suffered from small spe...
The Bulgarian stocks marked a positive week, while the global markets suffered pullbacks and volatility, as new threats were tapping the brakes on investor optimism. The local benchmark SOFIX added 2.6% to settle at 981.32 and the broader BGBX40 (183.32, +1.7%) and BGTR30 (922.11, +2.6%) moved similar. Three SOFIX members were the top gainers in our list of selected securities – the technology blue chips Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.43, +19.2%) and Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 5.35, +7.4%) a...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
In line quarter; comps to get tougher in H2 – OPAP has reported results in line with our projections delivering 8% revenue growth (to €595m) and 9% higher EBITDA (to €207m). In general, Q1 looks in symphony with the recent experience, namely strong online growth (+20%, powered by Stoiximan) and healthy retail (+4%). Across the verticals, betting (+13%, helped by strong sports margins) and online casino (+20%) stood out. We remind that the quarter benefited from favourable sports results and the ...
In line quarter; comps to get tougher in H2 – OPAP has reported results in line with our projections delivering 8% revenue growth (to €595m) and 9% higher EBITDA (to €207m). In general, Q1 looks in symphony with the recent experience, namely strong online growth (+20%, powered by Stoiximan) and healthy retail (+4%). Across the verticals, betting (+13%, helped by strong sports margins) and online casino (+20%) stood out. We remind that the quarter benefited from favourable sports results and the ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
The Bulgarian equity market had another strong showing on Wednesday and continued its upside trend, building on recent gains. The major indexes endured significant positive actions on broad base and advanced in range between 0.31% and 1.21%. The upside bias was supported by large cap names - First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.24, +4.80%), Smart Organic (SO, BGN 33.80, +2.42%), Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.50, +2.66%) as Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.43, +13.49%) stepped in front of this list after a significant...
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