Three Directors at Zavarovalnica Triglav D.D bought 1,017 shares at between 38.900EUR and 39.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...
EME Equity Market – July 2024 Greece the biggest winner, while Poland the clear loser in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.1% in EUR terms and 0.3% in USD terms in July. The Greek ASE Index posted the best performance for the month, advancing by 5.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a broadly similar performance in Hungary, Czechia and Romania (+ 2.9%, 2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Turkish ISE30 Index declined by 1.6% mom in EUR terms, but the clear loser was the Polis...
HEADLINES: • Krka: 2Q24 earnings review NEUTRAL • PZU: AGM refuses to discharge entire management board from performance of duties for 2023 • PKO BP: Supervisory Board updates its recommendations for the AGM, due to reconvene next week • Mo-BRUK: signs PLN 9m contract for ecological bomb decommissioning in Katowice NEUTRAL • Richter: EMA accepts Denosumab submission NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 2Q24E results preview (due on 30 July) NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 2Q24E results preview (due on 4 August) NE...
HEADLINES: • Text: 1Q24-25 (calendar 2Q24) preliminary results – USD 22.6m preliminary cash flow (up 12% yoy, 4% qoq) POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: to sell EUR 18.2m worth of Ellaktor shares (ELLAKTOR GA), as Reggeborgh exercises call option POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: awarded USD 733m contract for three new rigs POSITIVE • Krka: 2018 appeal against EU perindopril anticompetition case overturned NEUTRAL • Short News (HTO)
EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...
HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: announces two new buyback programmes POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q24 results – mildly above expectations POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line miss and further margin compression in the 1Q24 results NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q24 highlights – trading-related beat, but NIM and fees evolve better than expected • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q24 highlights – helped by trading income, but good quarter ove...
EME Equity Market – January 2024 Market performance – Turkey off to the races in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in the first month of the year. There was a V-shape recovery in the Turkish ISE30, with the index adding 12.6% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE and Hungarian BUX indices also reported strong performances, adding 5.7% and 5.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms. The Czech PX Index advanced by 2.2% mom, while the Romanian BET 0.9% mom in EUR...
• Turkey macro: the real assessment begins now • Macro Europe: ECB baby steps, as expected • Krka: 4Q23 earnings hit by an unspecified one-off • Richter: new pharma levy, but this can be offset against the Global Minimum Tax • PCF Group: over 30 people laid off, related to Project Gemini • Hidroelectrica: 2023 preliminary figures and 2024E budget to be published today, after the close • Petrom: 4Q23E earnings preview (due out on 1 February)
A director at Krka Tovarna Zdravil DD bought 400 shares at 109.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...
EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.
HEADLINES: • ADNOC Distribution: fuelled by non-fuel (stays BUY) • Allegro: 3Q23 results a notch above expectations; guidance for a strong 4Q23E in Poland POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: better-than-expected 3Q23, solid 2023-24E outlook but also higher capex guidance POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: qoq margin expansion in 3Q23 POSITIVE • Krka: 3Q results normalising, in line with our FY23E outlook NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 3Q23 numbers fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photon...
EME Equity Market – July 2023 Market performance – gains keep on rolling in all geographies, with special mention of Turkey’s stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 8.6% mom in EUR terms and 9.5% mom in USD in July. Turkey clearly outperformed its peers, gaining 18.6% mom in EUR terms. Most other geographies performed more or less at similar levels, with the Polish WIG20 in the upper part of the range, advancing 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and Czech PX indic...
HEADLINES: • Turkey macro: CBT delivers an underwhelming hike • Alro: 2Q23 trading update • Krka: takeaways from the 2Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • Polish media: Viaplay exits Poland POSITIVE • CCC: 2Q23E prelims preview - PLN 69m EBIT expected (due on 8-9 August, TBC) NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q23E preview - 10% yoy drop in adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 16 August) • Asseco Poland: 2Q23E preview -16% yoy net profit drop expected (due on 24 August)
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: MPC conveys dovish hint • Turkey macro: VAT increases as budget deteriorates • Krka: preliminary 2Q operating earnings in line with FY23E forecasts NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: PZU wants to change Supervisory Board mix • Wirtualna Polska: real users in June 2023 NEUTRAL
EME Equity Market – May 2023 Market performance – in its election month and with talks of a return to investment grade starting to materialise, Greece outperformed, posting a stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.3% mom in EUR terms, but lost 1.4% mom in USD in May. The Greek ASE Index saw the biggest gains (+12.3% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.2% mom in EUR terms) and the Turkish ISE 30 Index (+3.4% mom in EUR terms). The remaining geographies finis...
HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: untapped potential - from oil to dividends (BUY - initiation of coverage) • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q23 results - EBITDA beats expectations • Krka: strong 1Q23 numbers but margins should compress POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: 1Q23 results beat expectations but margin compression worrying NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 1Q23 in line with our estimates but below consensus, some upside to our FY GPM POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 1Q23 earnings call takeaways - greater LT market po...
EME Equity Market – April 2023 Market performance – in the black across all geographies, except for Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.9% mom in USD in April. The Polish WIG20 Index saw the biggest gains (+11.5% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+7.8% mom in EUR terms) and the Greek ASE Index (+2.9% mom in EUR terms). More muted performances were witnessed in the Czech PX Index and Romanian BET Index, both adding 1.7% mom in EUR terms for th...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP extends hold • Pilulka Lekarny: weak FY22 earnings, proposed capital increase of up to 500k new shares NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: to add PLN 821m of FX mortgage litigation risk provisions NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q23 bookings -15% yoy and -8% qoq NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: real users in March 2022 NEUTRAL • Greek banks: floating-rate mortgages to be frozen at current levels • Purcari Wineries: BoD proposes a RON 0.55 DPS (6% DY), in line with expec...
EME Equity Market – March 2023 Market performance – all geographies down in March. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 7.6% mom in EUR terms and 5.7% mom in USD in March. Among a sea of red, Romania’s BET saw the smallest decline (-2.6% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Czech PX Index (-5.5% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX indices saw similar declines (-7.4% and -7.5% mom ,respectively, in EUR terms), while the worst performer for the month was the Turkish ISE30, down 10.5% mo...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: discounted valuation call (upgraded to BUY) • EME macro/strategy: global macro - forecasts changes • OPAP: 4Q22 review - strongest GGR and EBITDA, total FY22 DPS of EUR 1.45 • Aegean Airlines: 4Q22 - strong performance at the year-end, and upbeat outlook for 2023E POSITIVE • Verbund: 4Q22 results in line, total proposed DPS at EUR 3.6 • Krka: final 4Q22 results slightly better than the prelims NEUTRAL • KazMunaiGas EP: 2022 financial results and conference call takeaway...
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