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Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

ArcelorMittal/Model update ahead of 2Q25/BUY

We adjust our model to reflect recent market trends and increase our target price from €31 to €34 per share, driven by higher peer multiples. We maintain our BUY recommendation.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/17/2025

Auchan Retail in exclusive talks to sell 19 supermarkets to Lidl|Finnair conference call comments and downgrade of our FY 2025 estimates|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 17/07/2025

Auchan en négociations exclusives pour la cession de 19 supermarchés à Lidl|Finnair conference call comments and downgrade of our FY 2025 estimates|

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

ArcelorMittal : Un peu plus loin du rêve américain

Les bénéfices du deal Calvert se retrouvent plus que compensés par l’impact massif des droits de douane engendrant un OC réduit à 28 € vs 29 €. Aussi la part de l’Amérique du Nord (près du tiers de l’EBITDA pro forma) va désormais baisser au profit de l’Europe et du Brésil, limitant les perspectives de rerating. Les multiples actuels, près des plus hauts sur 5 ans, risquent donc de rester durablement plus proches des acteurs européens à ~4x l’EBITDA que des ~7x des américains. Nous maintenons no...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

ArcelorMittal : A little further from the American dream

The benefits of the Calvert deal are outweighed by the massive impact of fresh US tariffs, resulting in a target price reduced to € 28 from € 29. As such, the share of North America (close to one-third of pro forma EBITDA) will now drop over the forecast period in favour of Europe and Brazil, limiting rerating prospects. Current multiples, close to five-year highs, are therefore likely to remain durably closer to European players at ~4x EBITDA than to the ~7x of US players. We maintain our Neutr...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/16/2025

Renault lowers its 2025 targets after a very disappointing end to the first half|Ontex Q2 25 early results release: Revenue and margin decrease in a weaker than expected market|Loxam is issuing a new bond maturing in February 2031|Finnair: weaker-than-expected results and guidance|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 16/07/2025

Renault abaisse ses objectifs 2025 après une fin de S1 très décevante|Ontex Q2 25 early results release: Revenue and margin decrease in a weaker than expected market|Loxam lance le placement d’une nouvelle obligation à échéance en février 2031|Finnair: weaker-than-expected results and guidance|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 11/07/2025

Levi’s publie de très bon résultats T2 et relève sa guidance de chiffre d’affaires annuelle|ZF CFO sees cloudier H2 25 and necessity for additional cost measures|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/11/2025

Levi’s posted excellent Q2 results (ended 1 June) and raised its full-year sales guidance|ZF CFO sees cloudier H2 25 and necessity for additional cost measures|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/10/2025

Banks said to have asked Mulliez family to shore up ELO's capital (Le Monde)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 10/07/2025

Les banques demanderaient à la famille Mulliez de renforcer le capital d’ELO (Le Monde)|

Haidje Rustau ... (+4)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: CMA CGM, Cirsa, Ineos, Ineos Quattro, TalkTalk, Picard, Telecom Italia, Air France-KLM

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/04/2025

While the offer on Mediobanca will open on July 14, Monte has set a minimum threshold of 35%.|

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