A director at Lagardere S.A. bought 1,403 shares at 20.500EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
The recovery in growth in the IT & engineering services sector is undermined by the still mixed macroeconomic climate and the setbacks in the automotive and aerospace sectors. The improvement in sector momentum will therefore be minimal in H2 2024 with a growing decorrelation between the US which should be robust and a stagnating Europe. This leads us to adopt a more cautious approach on companies in our sector (revision to our 2025 growth estimates for 12 companies) and to prefer Acc...
La reprise de la croissance du secteur IT & Engineering Services est mise à mal par un contexte macro toujours mitigé et par les déboires des secteurs Auto et Aéro. Ainsi, l’amélioration de la dynamique du secteur sera minimale au S2 2024 et probablement aussi au S1 2025, avec une décorrélation grandissante entre les US qui devraient être solides et une Europe stagnante. Ceci nous amène à adopter une approche plus prudente pour les sociétés de notre secteur (révision de croissance 202...
>Neutral rating reiterated - Lagardère reported on Thursday, 17 October, Q3 2024 revenues of € 2,417m compared with our forecast of € 2,400m. This performance is therefore in line with our expectations, but slightly below those we had for Publishing (mainly due to a more difficult educational business in France). Momentum remains very sound at Lagardère Travel Retail. The group did not hold a conference call. Our full-year estimates are unchanged following this publi...
>Opinion Neutre réitérée - Lagardère a publié jeudi son CA T3 2024 de 2 417 M€ alors que nous tablions sur 2 400 M€. La performance est donc en ligne mais un peu inférieure à notre attente pour Publishing (essentiellement liée à une activité plus difficile dans l’éduction en France). La dynamique reste très bonne chez Lagardère Travel Retail. Le groupe n’a pas tenu pas de conférence téléphonique. Nos attentes annuelles sont inchangées suite à cette publication. Nous ...
The Platform Group (TPG) is a software company that is active across 20 industries through its digital platform solutions. Via its four segments (consumer goods, freight goods, industrial goods, service and retail goods), it serves both B2B and B2C customers. Given the growing revenues (2023-2026e CAGR +14.7%) and adjusted EBITDA margins (+270bp to 7.8% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as a solid financial profile (equity ratio >30%, average positive FCF of c.€ 8m for 2024e to 2026e) and un...
The Platform Group (TPG) is a software company that is active across 20 industries through its digital platform solutions. Via its four segments (consumer goods, freight goods, industrial goods, service and retail goods), it serves both B2B and B2C customers. Given the growing revenues (2023-2026e CAGR +14.7%) and adjusted EBITDA margins (+270bp to 7.8% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as a solid financial profile (equity ratio >30%, average positive FCF of c.€ 8m for 2024e to 2026e) and un...
>Neutral recommendation reiterated - Yesterday, Lagardère published interim results that came in well above our forecasts (EBIT of € 212m vs our forecast of € 170m). The main difference stemmed from Lagardère Publishing which posted a very solid performance in the US and the UK in Q2. Our forecasts have been revised up on the strength of this publication. We maintain our Neutral rating with a target price raised to € 25.5 (vs € 25). We think that the valuation is rea...
>Opinion Neutre réitérée - Lagardère a publié hier ses résultats semestriels ressortis assez nettement supérieurs à nos attentes (EBIT de 212 M€ alors que nous tablions sur 170 M€). La principale différence provient de Lagardère Publishing qui enregistre une très solide performance aux USA/RU au T2. Nos attentes annuelles sont revues en hausse suite à cette publication. Nous réitérons notre opinion Neutre sur le titre et notre OC est porté à 25,5 € (vs 25 €). Nous est...
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
>Neutral rating maintained - Lagardère’s Q1 2024 sales, reported this morning, were in line with our expectations. The group is not holding a conference call but its AGM is scheduled today for 10am. Momentum remains good in the travel retail segment and momentum should, we think, remain good in Q2 and Q3, thanks particularly to the sequence of sporting events (Euro 2024 and Olympics). We reiterate our Neutral rating and our target price of € 25.0 as we think the valua...
>Opinion Neutre réitérée - Lagardère a publié ce matin un CA du T1 2024 en ligne avec notre attente. Le groupe ne tient pas de conférence téléphonique mais son AG aujourd’hui à 10 h. La dynamique reste bonne sur la partie Travel retail et le momentum devrait, selon nous, rester bon au T2 et T3, notamment grâce à la séquence d’événements sportifs (Euro de football et JO). Nous réitérons notre opinion Neutre sur le titre et notre OC de 25,0 € car nous estimons la valori...
In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Som...
En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être l...
>Opinion Neutre réitérée - Lagardère a publié hier soir ses résultats annuels 2023 ressortis supérieurs aux attentes avec un EBIT récurrent de 520 M€ alors que nous tablions sur 484 M€. La surprise ressort au niveau de Lagardère Travel Retail dont l’EBIT ressort à 245 M€ vs 185 M€ attendus. La bonne dynamique pour le Travel Retail se poursuit, la croissance organique ressort à 15% au T4. Lagardère Publishing affiche une croissance organique de 6% au T4 vs notre attent...
>Neutral rating maintained - Lagardère’s full-year 2023 results, reported yesterday evening, beat expectations, with recurrent EBIT of € 520m, vs our € 484m forecast. The surprise came from Lagardère Travel Retail where EBIT topped our expectations (€ 245m vs € 185m expected). Travel retail continues to see good momentum, with organic growth at 15% in Q4. Lagardère Publishing posted organic growth of 6% in Q4 vs our forecast of 1% while EBIT was in line with our expec...
We stopped covering the company following its takeover by Vivendi and the repayment of almost all of Lagardère's bond debt. - > - Following the repayment option available to holders of Lagardère's (MMBFP, not rated) bonds as part of its acquisition by Vivendi (VIVFP, Baa2), the residual amounts on each issue are as follows:- € 39.5m for the 1.625% bonds maturing on 21 June 2024 (ISIN code: FR0013262912), the initial amount of which was € 300m;- € 48.8m for th...
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