Company Update | PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt106.00/Target: Bt136.00) PTTEP announced a five-year capex plan for 2026-30 of US$33.3b. PTTEP expects average sales volume growth of 3.5% per year, while in 2026, sales are expected to increase by 9% qoq, partially mitigating the impact from expected lower selling prices in line with oil prices. We maintain a positive view on core earnings in 4Q25, driven by higher sales volume and lower unit costs. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13...
Top Stories Company Update | PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt106.00/Target: Bt136.00) PTTEP announced a five-year capex plan for 2026-30 of US$33.3b. PTTEP expects average sales volume growth of 3.5% per year, while in 2026, sales are expected to increase by 9% qoq, partially mitigating the impact from expected lower selling prices in line with oil prices. We maintain a positive view on core earnings in 4Q25, driven by higher sales volume and lower unit costs. Maintain BUY. Targe...
Greater China Small/Mid Cap Highlights | Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$5.90/Target: HK$7.60) We held a pre-blackout call with Plover Bay. In 2H25, growth momentum continued across all markets and management saw growing demand from new verticals. Meanwhile, subscription take-up rates continued to improve on enhanced software features and organic growth. Plover Bay has seen strengthened brand awareness for its Peplink routers since its collaboration with Starlink in Jan 24, and will cont...
Greater China Company Results | ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$83.85/Target: HK$104.00) ASMPT’s 3Q25 print missed expectations on a weaker product mix and one-off restructuring costs. Revenue was largely in line with the mid-point of its guidance, but gross margin was below expectations at 35.7% due to changes in product mix and inventory write-off from the restructuring. Nevertheless, ASMPT reported solid progress with TCB in both HBM4 and advanced logic C2W/C2S, while its mainstream tools continued to r...
Company Results | PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt108.00/Target: Bt136.00) PTTEP reported a net profit of Bt12.7b in 3Q25, down 6% qoq, in line with our expectations but 8% below consensus estimates. Core profit declined 14% qoq, pressured by lower ASP and higher unit costs. Looking ahead, core profit in 4Q25 is expected to rebound qoq, driven by a 6-10% increase in sales volume and reduced unit costs. For 2025, PTTEP is not expected to record any impairment losses from the Mozamb...
Top Stories Company Results | PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt108.00/Target: Bt136.00) PTTEP reported a net profit of Bt12.7b in 3Q25, down 6% qoq, in line with our expectations but 8% below consensus estimates. Core profit declined 14% qoq, pressured by lower ASP and higher unit costs. Looking ahead, core profit in 4Q25 is expected to rebound qoq, driven by a 6-10% increase in sales volume and reduced unit costs. For 2025, PTTEP is not expected to record any impairment losses f...
Highlights • We expect 3Q25 net profit to flat qoq. • The decrease in unit cost is sufficient to offset the impact of the reduced ASP. • Earrings are expected to recover qoq in 4Q25 due to increased sales volume. • Maintain BUY with a rolled-over target price of Bt136.00/share in 2026.
Top Stories Company Update | PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt114.00/Target: Bt136.00) We expect 3Q25 net profit to be flat qoq at Bt13.3b due to decreased unit cost offsetting the impact of reduced ASP. However, earnings are projected to recover qoq in 4Q25, supported by an anticipated 8-10% increase in sales volume. We have revised down our 2025–26 earnings forecasts to account for a downward revision in liquid prices, higher unit cost assumptions and extraordinary items recorde...
Indonesia Initiate Coverage | Adaro Andalan Indonesia (AADI IJ/BUY/Rp7,350/Target: Rp13,000) We expect 2026 EBITDA of US$1.25b. AADI’s expansion capex will end in 2025, and we assume annual maintenance capex of US$220m-250m from 2026 onwards. With expansion capex ending, free cash flow should rise and can be used for dividends. Based on ADRO’s historical 40-95% DPR, we forecast AADI’s dividend yield at 12-16%. Coal prices and demand have historically increased in winter, and will thus support AS...
PTTEP's net profit in 2Q25 was 7% higher than our estimate but in line with consensus expectations. The yoy and qoq declines in 2Q25 earnings were mainly due to lower ASP and rising unit costs. PTTEP declared a Bt4.1/share interim dividend (XD set for 8 Aug). 2H25 core earnings are likely to improve hoh, supported by increasing sales volume and a downward trend in unit costs. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt155.00.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Mainland market continues to weaken, while the Hong Kong residential market progresses with destocking; we highlight CR Land and CR Mixc as top picks. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Archi Indonesia (ARCI IJ/BUY/Rp770/Target: Rp1,280) Well-timed turnaround with true potential waiting to be unlocked. Results Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,750/Target: Rp6,000) 1H25: ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/SELL/Bt142.50/Target: Bt65.00) 2Q25: Earnings drop yoy and qoq, missing expectations. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt116.00/Target: Bt155.00) 2Q25: Net profit is better than expected and in line with consensus expectations. Update Plan B Media (PLANB TB/BUY/Bt5.65/Target: Bt7.70) Neutral view on 2Q25 earnings. PTT Oil & Retail Business (OR TB/SELL/Bt13.00/Target: Bt12.80) ...
We expect PTTEP to report a Bt12.6b net profit in 2Q25, down both yoy and qoq mainly on the sustainable high unit costs and lower ASP along with lower crude prices. Management foresees better gas sales volumes and lower unit costs outlooks in 2H25. We like the stock based on an attractive dividend yield of 7-9% annually. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt155.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt279.00/Target: Bt340.00) Expected to continue reporting robust earnings in 2Q25. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt110.00/Target: Bt155.00) 2Q25 earnings to be pressured by high unit costs but yield remains attractive.
GREATER CHINA Sector Logistics: Recent logistics sector data remains healthy; expect solid 2Q25 sector financial performance. Maintain OVERWEIGHT, with JDL remaining as our top pick. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Loan growth slows, all eyes on fiscal spending acceleration. MALAYSIA Update Sunway Construction (SCGB MK/HOLD/RM5.99/Target: RM5.55): Outlook remains optimistic with robust orderbook replenishment and multiple catalysts, but fairly priced in after ytd share price rally. Maintain HOLD. S...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
PTTEP remains attractive, supported by its earnings growth trend driven by increased sales and lower production costs, as well as its high dividend yield. In terms of major projects, developments remain interesting, with the Mozambique project progressing according to plan, while the Arthit CCS project is expected to reach FID in 2025. Maintain BUY and target price of Bt155.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results I-TAIL Corporation (ITC TB/HOLD/Bt13.10/Target: Bt13.30) 1Q25: Sluggish earnings; 2025 outlook remains challenging. Downgrade to HOLD. Update Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt28.00) Expect yoy earnings improvement in 1Q25. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt99.25/Target: Bt155.00) High dividend yield; steady earnings growth. PTT Oil & Retail Business (OR TB/BUY/Bt13.70/Target: Bt16.00) 1Q25 net profit expected to rise qoq and yoy.
We expect net profit for 1Q25 to decline both qoq and yoy, mainly due to reduced sales volumes and increased unit costs. Core profit in 1Q25 is likely to be the lowest for the year. For 2Q25, we expect a qoq improvement in core profit, supported by sustained high gas prices and a 4% qoq increase in sales volume. Meanwhile, the Mozambique project remains on schedule, with production expected to commence in 1H29. Maintain BUY with a new target price of Bt155.00.
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