We expect net profit for 1Q25 to decline both qoq and yoy, mainly due to reduced sales volumes and increased unit costs. Core profit in 1Q25 is likely to be the lowest for the year. For 2Q25, we expect a qoq improvement in core profit, supported by sustained high gas prices and a 4% qoq increase in sales volume. Meanwhile, the Mozambique project remains on schedule, with production expected to commence in 1H29. Maintain BUY with a new target price of Bt155.00.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Jan 25 GGR down 6% yoy but up slightly mom; below expectations. Visitations during first five days of CNY holiday recovered to 98% of 2019’s level. Results Sands China (1928 HK/BUY/HK$18.60/Target: HK$27.70): 4Q24: Normalised EBITDA up 1% qoq; expect The Londoner to return to full room inventory by May Golden Week. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Underperformance In Jan 25: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI and ASII. MALAYSIA...
Based on PTTEP's guidance, we expect its 1Q25 net profit to remain stable both qoq and yoy, partly due to efficient cost management. The company is also studying a unit cost and capex management plan under the GoT SAVE Concept, which will further reduce unit cost and capex in the long term. The Arthit CCS Project should be able to commence commercial production in the next three years. Maintain BUY and target price of Bt143.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Time To Reload Tourism Stocks We maintain a cautiously optimistic view on the Thai equities market for Feb 25. Take profit on KBANK and add AOT to our portfolio. Update PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt127.50/Target: Bt143.00) 1Q25 net profit expected to remain at a high level.
We forecast PTTEP’s 2024 net profit to reach Bt78.8b, up 3% yoy and marking another record high. For 4Q24, net profit is projected at Bt18.3b, up 2% qoq, driven by lower unit costs and higher sales volume. There was no impairment loss from the Mozambique LNG project in 4Q24, despite a slight delay. We have raised our 2024 net profit estimate by 11% after removing the impairment loss from our projections. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt143.00.
GREATER CHINA Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$40.65/Target: HK$60.00): Key takeaways from Kuaishou’s NDR meeting. Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$24.07/US$31.00): Offering US$550m of equity-linked securities; expects to expand directly-operated model in overseas markets. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: Average data traffic during the Christmas/New Year 2025 period up 10-19% vs normal days; maintain OVERWEIGHT. MALAYSIA Strategy JS-SEZ: Unlocking High Value Growth And Fostering Win-Win Cross-Border...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
PTTEP’s 3Q24 net profit declined qoq and yoy, in line with our and consensus expectations. We expect 4Q24 core profit to also decrease both qoq and yoy, reflecting lower crude oil prices qtd. Maintain BUY and target price of Bt160.00, following a 10% decline in the share price over the past month. Currently, PTTEP is trading at a forward PE of 7.9x for 2025. However, it continues to lack strong investment-supporting factors. We recommend shifting focus to BCP and IVL.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Intelligentisation is the new growth engine for the EV industry. Top BUYs: Desay SV, Tuopu, Joyson, Fuyao and ECARX. Results China Resources Building Materials Tech (1313 HK/BUY/HK$2.02/Target: HK$2.30): 3Q24: Below expectations; 2024 cement sales guidance trimmed to 63m tonnes. Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH/HOLD/Rmb45.37/Target: Rmb49.50): 3Q24: Core profit up 9% yoy; well-positioned for continued steady growth. Goldwind (2208 HK/BUY/HK$6.91/Target...
We expect PTTEP’s 3Q24 net profit to decline qoq and yoy due to increased unit costs and the write-off from the Mexico project. As a result, we cut 2024-25 net profit forecasts to account for the higher unit costs and concerns about an expected increase in crude oil supply. The stock is trading at an undemanding valuation of 8.6x 2025F PE. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt160.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt267.00/Target: Bt310.00) Expect earnings to improve yoy but decline slightly qoq due to seasonality. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt136.50/Target: Bt160.00) 3Q24 net profit expected to decline due to higher unit cost.
GREATER CHINA Sector Metals And Mining Gold: Rally takes a breather; downside cushioned by escalating geopolitical tensions. INDONESIA Update Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/HOLD/Rp850/Target: Rp930) 2Q24: Revenue from non-tower business jumps 30% yoy. Downgrade to HOLD. MALAYSIA Strategy Budget 2025 Preview: Building Sustainable Growth While Budget 2025 is seen as market-neutral, it is suppor...
PTTEP reported a 2Q24 net profit of Bt24.0b, up qoq and yoy, beating our and consensus estimates by 12% and 16% respectively, partly due to lower-than-expected unit costs. 2Q24 net profit was driven by higher sales, while ASP was flat qoq. 3Q24 core profit is expected to decline qoq due to lower sales and high unit costs. However, we believe that the overall net profit for 2H24 will remain high due to strong crude oil prices. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt200.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/BUY/Bt8.85/Target: Bt12.10) 2Q24: Earnings in line. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt147.00/Target: Bt200.00) 2Q24: Net profit better than our and consensus expectations. Update Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt22.80/Target: Bt30.00) 2Q24 results preview: Expect earnings to increase yoy and qoq. Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/BUY/Bt92.75/Target: Bt115.00) Better clarity on r...
GREATER CHINA Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/SELL/HK$29.85/Target: HK$22.00) 1H24: Results below expectations; draft bill remains a key risk for growth. Small-mid Cap Highlights Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$4.08/Target: HK$6.05) Takeaways from luncheon: Self-driven talents driving product upgrades. INDONESIA Results Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp5,475/Target: Rp5,800) 2Q24: NPAT up 28.1% yoy, ahead of consensus expectation. M...
We expect PTTEP to report a net profit of Bt21.4b for 2Q24, up qoq and yoy, driven by higher sales volume and increased ASP. However, the core profit in 3Q24 is expected to decline qoq due to low sales volume and increased unit costs. We also foresee PTTEP lowering its sales volume forecast for 2024. Additionally, close monitoring of the Mozambique project remains necessary. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt200.00.
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