Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de «safe haven» et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaisson...
An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...
A director at Montea NV bought 460 shares at 62.200EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
A director at Floridienne S.A. sold 2,000 shares at 510.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
On this Friday the 13th we select for you 13 stocks to start 2025 with a bang : ABN Amro, Ackermans & van Haaren, Bekaert, D'Ieteren, EVS, Fagron, Fugro, Gimv, Melexis, Shurgard, Sofina, WDP and Xior However, we maintain a defensive stance in our Benelux selection at the start of 2025.. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks are expected to continue their decline into 2025 (see graph above). However, the Trump election victory in the US hits European stocks even before he tak...
BE-REITS suffer from macro-worries (logistics) and post-Trump knee-jerk reaction. We believe that especially money flows are pushing stocks down as interest rate fears resurfaced in the US. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balance sheet to continue their growth track record. WDP is also very cheap on cash earnings metrics vs. peers. Xior can grow and fix its balance sheet at the same time through contributions in kind.
We increased our FY24 numbers substantially as Floridienne recorded strong growth in 9M24 y/y as 9M24 sales came in at € 502.4m (+25% y/y), and 9M24 EBITDA was €84.9m (+€35.9m y/y) and a 9M24 net result came in at € 17.1m (+€8.0m y/y). Floridienne indicated that this was mainly thanks to the dynamism of its historical activities and the successful integration of Biotrop. The Foot Division is succeeding in increasing its profitability. BioFirst is growing significantly on its historical market of...
Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...
Montea invests EUR 29.7m in two prime locations in the Netherlands. In Diemen, Montea has acquired a highly coveted plot comprising c. 28k sqm, which will be let on a long-term lease to the current tenant. In Oss, Montea will develop a distribution center for Vos Logistics. This will add to the company's two existing properties in the same area. Montea targets to achieve an average initial yield of 6.9% across the two investments. Montea recently updated its Track27 program and estimated that 35...
>Positive tone on Capital Markets Day - Last week Xior showcased its Basecamp portfolio in Copenhagen (Denmark) and Malmo (Sweden) during its Capital Markets Day. The company is close to solving its leverage issues, while issues pressuring the share price in 2022 and 2023 have been resolved. Highlights to us were the strong visibility on future like-for-like growth and the quality of its Basecamp product. We think the Xior platform is one of the best growth platforms...
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
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