Top Stories Strategy | Singapore Stock Picks In A Turbulent Market With war clouds, an oil shock, and market volatility, we focus on Singapore’s defensive sectors and quality blue-chip names. Deployment of funds from MAS’ Equity Market Development Programme could provide some respite in March and April. Key stock picks are CLAR, CLI, CIT, DBS, DFI, KEP, SE, ST, YZJSGD, ASL, CAREIT, CSE, DELFI, FEH, IFAST, UGAI and VALUE. Market Spotlight US stocks were higher on Monday, with all indexes risi...
Greater China Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and ...
Singapore equities extended gains in February, with the STI rising 1.8% to near the 5,000 level after reaching a record high above 5,040. Market sentiment was supported by steady manufacturing expansion and selective corporate strength, including Yangzijiang Shipbuilding’s strong earnings. Global markets remained cautious amid AI-related concerns, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East raised risks of higher oil prices.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
GREATER CHINA Sector Dairy: Retail demand remains weak; expect raw milk supply and demand to reach a temporary balance in 3Q25. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Hong Kong Landlords: Improved liquidity supporting local spending and lowering finance costs of landlords; upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT; top pick: Wharf REIC. INDONESIA Update Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,140/Target: Rp5,200): NIM pressure likely to persist in 2Q25; expect NIM to stabilise in 2H25. MALAYSIA Sector Healthcare: Upgrade ...
THBEV faces stronger competition for its spirits business due to the upcoming regulatory changes but is expected to benefit from lower molasses costs. The domestic beer segment is set to post better margins and has maintained its market share leadership. However, Sabeco continues to face ongoing headwinds from stringent drink-driving laws and higher excise taxes. Management has reiterated that plans for the BeerCo IPO are still ongoing. Maintain HOLD with the same target price of S$0.45.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand stays weak. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$413.60/Target: HK$470.00): More listings, enhanced liquidity and high turnover to drive further upside. Reiterate BUY. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp9,025/Target: Rp10,500): Steady growth with a focus on efficiency and risk discipline. MALAYSIA Update TIME dotCom (TDC MK/BUY/RM5.22/Target: RM6.00): TIME to deliver sustainable growth over peers on the back o...
In a bid to curb alcohol consumption, Vietnam recently announced that it would increase its special consumption tax on beer and other alcoholic beverages to 90% by 2031, affecting domestic beer products such as THBEV. With the beer sector already facing a challenging outlook, we reckon that THBEV is likely to fully pass on the higher excise tax to consumers, resulting in softer beer volumes. We maintain HOLD but with a lower SOTP-based target price of S$0.45 (S$0.51 previously).
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Channel check of Shanghai’s primary residential market; closer look at Hong Kong properties’ rental yields. MALAYSIA Results Westports Holdings (WPRTS MK/HOLD/RM4.53/Target: RM4.40): 1Q25: Results in line. WPRTS believes global acclimation towards tariff impact will rebalance trades; maintaining its 0-5% volume growth expectation. SINGAPORE Sector Banking: 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWE...
For 1HFY25, THBEV reported higher overall revenue (+1.0% yoy) but saw EBITDA (-5.3% yoy) and PATMI (-3.2% yoy) fall due to higher raw material and operating costs. Driven by a higher sales volume in 2QFY25, the spirits segment posted higher revenue but saw EBITDA drop from increased A&P spending and raw material costs. The beer segment was dragged by a weak performance in Vietnam despite lower raw material costs. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower SOTP-based target price of S$0.51.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Results Civmec (CVL SP/HOLD/S$0.815/Target:S$0.80) - 3QFY25: Results in line; outlook remains challenging as project delays extend. Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.044/Target:S$0.066) - 1HFY25: Earnings in line; poised for growth in offshore wind sector. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCB...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Liquidity growth edges lower. INDONESIA Update Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ/BUY/Rp3,860/Target: Rp4,500): 15.0% net profit cut in 2025 on higher credit cost and lower loan growth. MALAYSIA Update Gas Malaysia (GMB MK/HOLD/RM4.23/Target: RM4.40): Expect a strong 4Q24 finish. Share price is close to our fair value; downgrade to HOLD. The stock offers a 6% dividend yield. SINGAPORE Results Civmec (CIVMEC SP/HOLD/S$0.895/Target:S$0.98): 1HFY25: Results belo...
THBEV released its 1QFY25 business update whereby overall revenue grew 2.4% yoy, driven by the beer and NAB segments. However, 1QFY25 EBITDA decreased slightly by 0.8% yoy, dragged by the spirits segment on lower sales volumes and rising costs. Both the beer and NAB segments posted robust results on strong growth in key markets and ongoing cost efficiencies. In our view, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -1.5SD to its mean PE. Maintain BUY with the same SOTP-based target price of S$0.56.
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